玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.587.210.0913.919.164.56N/A-
2024/91.47-2.543.4412.339.044.470.05-
2024/81.511.3621.9410.869.854.40.05-
2024/71.496.6219.129.358.124.270.06-
2024/61.40.7213.467.866.264.10.06-
2024/51.395.3512.596.464.824.070.06-
2024/41.32-3.93-4.365.072.883.890.06-
2024/31.3714.4413.53.765.693.760.07-
2024/21.20.712.792.391.674.090.06-
2024/11.19-30.110.561.190.564.350.06-
2023/121.716.82.5115.911.384.590.06-
2023/111.461.642.4414.212.554.310.06-
2023/101.430.7317.8212.7413.844.090.06-
2023/91.4214.8817.7811.3113.353.910.03-
2023/81.24-0.97-7.499.8812.743.720.03-
2023/71.251.5510.658.6516.393.710.03-
2023/61.23-0.051.157.417.423.840.03-
2023/51.23-10.518.126.1621.313.820.03-
2023/41.3814.0238.524.9325.133.750.03-
2023/31.213.6412.143.5620.623.560.04-
2023/21.17-1.4720.742.3525.54.010.03-
2023/11.18-28.7630.571.1830.574.260.03-
2022/121.6616.7235.9914.2720.834.30.03-
2022/111.4216.919.9212.6119.083.850.04-
2022/101.220.77.1211.1918.973.760.04-
2022/91.21-9.7621.679.9820.63.680.07-
2022/81.3418.4432.898.7720.463.690.07-
2022/71.13-7.1610.127.4318.463.490.07-
2022/61.226.8217.216.320.093.350.06-
2022/51.1414.6422.95.0820.83.210.06-
2022/40.99-7.699.43.9420.213.040.07-
2022/31.0811.633.542.9524.352.950.07-
2022/20.966.5317.041.8719.613.090.07-
2022/10.91-25.822.470.9122.473.310.06-
2021/121.222.93-4.4311.818.253.540.05-
2021/111.194.423.0610.599.933.310.05-
2021/101.1414.3922.569.4110.863.140.06-
2021/90.99-1.4512.678.279.433.030.07-
2021/81.01-1.846.897.289.03.070.07-
2021/71.03-1.1819.616.279.352.990.07-
2021/61.0412.0116.945.247.552.870.06-
2021/50.932.0513.274.215.452.640.06-
2021/40.9112.673.763.283.442.540.07-
2021/30.81-2.182.472.373.312.370.03-
2021/20.8211.4710.011.563.752.840.03-
2021/10.74-42.1-2.430.74-2.433.170.03-
2020/121.2811.0122.0910.9112.743.350.02-
2020/111.1524.1812.779.6311.612.960.02-
2020/100.935.158.728.4811.452.750.02-
2020/90.88-6.51-0.067.5611.82.680.06-
2020/80.949.838.686.6813.582.690.06-
2020/70.86-3.3910.075.7314.422.560.07-
2020/60.898.4914.54.8815.232.580.04-
2020/50.82-6.51-5.583.9915.392.480.04-
2020/40.8811.2746.543.1722.412.410.04-
2020/30.795.0138.72.2915.172.290.04-
2020/20.75-1.1316.361.515.82.620.04-
2020/10.76-31.68-2.890.76-2.892.890.03-
2019/121.118.75-0.79.7410.390.0N/A-
2019/111.0219.7234.198.6311.990.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.192023/11.182022/10.912021/10.742020/10.76
2024/21.22023/21.172022/20.962021/20.822020/20.75
2024/31.372023/31.212022/31.082021/30.812020/30.79
2024/41.322023/41.382022/40.992021/40.912020/40.88
2024/51.392023/51.232022/51.142021/50.932020/50.82
2024/61.42023/61.232022/61.222021/61.042020/60.89
2024/71.492023/71.252022/71.132021/71.032020/70.86
2024/81.512023/81.242022/81.342021/81.012020/80.94
2024/91.472023/91.422022/91.212021/90.992020/90.88
2024/101.582023/101.432022/101.222021/101.142020/100.93
N/AN/A2023/111.462022/111.422021/111.192020/111.15
N/AN/A2023/121.72022/121.662021/121.222020/121.28
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 182.59%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)6.46-5.6912.54
24Q2 (19)6.85-7.6823.2
24Q1 (18)7.4210.0921.44
23Q4 (17)6.7417.4225.05
23Q3 (16)5.743.2417.14
23Q2 (15)5.56-9.016.32
23Q1 (14)6.1113.3628.9
22Q4 (13)5.3910.023.34
22Q3 (12)4.92.5118.36
22Q2 (11)4.780.8426.79
22Q1 (10)4.748.4732.4
21Q4 (9)4.375.5646.15
21Q3 (8)4.149.8141.3
21Q2 (7)3.775.3127.8
21Q1 (6)3.5819.7321.36
20Q4 (5)2.992.0517.25
20Q3 (4)2.93-0.680.0
20Q2 (3)2.950.00.0
20Q1 (2)2.9515.690.0
19Q4 (1)2.550.00.0

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