玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.37-3.096.7613.122.964.11N/A-
2024/91.428.086.1711.752.534.110.0-
2024/81.31-5.080.8310.332.053.90.0-
2024/71.3815.111.169.022.233.880.0-
2024/61.2-7.09-1.277.640.763.770.0-
2024/51.291.21-6.066.431.153.860.0-
2024/41.28-0.79.895.143.143.690.0-
2024/31.2914.48-12.663.861.093.860.0-
2024/21.12-22.741.482.589.723.940.0-
2024/11.456.617.071.4517.074.20.0-
2023/121.36-1.0-2.2315.493.394.030.0-
2023/111.387.04-1.0214.133.974.00.0-
2023/101.29-3.63-1.212.754.543.930.0-
2023/91.342.65-0.9811.465.233.880.0-
2023/81.34.630.5710.126.113.760.0-
2023/71.242.2312.048.826.983.840.0-
2023/61.22-11.64.567.586.193.760.0-
2023/51.3818.418.996.366.514.010.0-
2023/41.16-21.081.54.995.843.740.0-
2023/31.4733.0314.793.827.243.820.0-
2023/21.11-10.879.12.352.993.750.0-
2023/11.24-10.98-1.891.24-1.894.030.0-
2022/121.40.2210.8214.986.484.090.0-
2022/111.396.845.9613.596.064.050.0-
2022/101.3-3.418.6512.196.073.950.0-
2022/91.354.2610.9910.894.743.750.0-
2022/81.2916.572.099.543.913.570.0-
2022/71.11-4.59-13.518.254.23.540.0-
2022/61.16-7.85-10.277.147.633.570.0-
2022/51.2610.273.545.9711.993.690.0-
2022/41.15-10.7513.254.7114.493.440.0-
2022/31.2826.4415.773.5614.893.560.0-
2022/21.01-19.8612.22.2814.413.540.0-
2022/11.270.5616.241.2716.243.840.0-
2021/121.26-4.1733.3214.0737.773.670.0-
2021/111.3119.6331.8512.8138.223.630.0-
2021/101.1-9.6427.511.4938.993.580.0-
2021/91.22-4.0926.710.440.333.770.0-
2021/81.27-1.2545.39.1842.353.850.0-
2021/71.28-1.0146.317.9141.893.80.0-
2021/61.36.3353.316.6341.073.530.0因應疫情網路消費蓬勃發展,導致本公司會員及代收金流量同步成長所致
2021/51.2220.6155.575.3338.383.340.0因應疫情網路消費蓬勃發展,導致本公司會員及代收金流量同步成長所致
2021/41.01-8.7729.974.1133.993.020.0-
2021/31.1122.5434.043.135.353.10.0-
2021/20.9-16.9729.011.9936.092.940.0-
2021/11.0915.3442.591.0942.593.030.0-
2020/120.94-5.2320.5910.2121.042.80.0-
2020/111.015.6933.899.2721.082.820.0-
2020/100.86-10.214.628.2719.72.690.0-
2020/90.969.9834.327.4120.322.710.0-
2020/80.87-0.5624.386.4518.492.60.0-
2020/70.883.7216.05.5817.622.510.0-
2020/60.857.8930.34.717.922.410.0-
2020/50.780.766.993.8515.512.390.0-
2020/40.78-5.9110.143.0717.912.310.0-
2020/30.8317.9324.452.2920.812.290.0-
2020/20.7-8.2329.661.4718.842.250.0-
2020/10.76-2.4510.390.7610.392.290.0-
2019/120.785.245.668.4448.810.0N/A-
2019/110.74-0.9530.197.6549.140.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.452023/11.242022/11.272021/11.092020/10.76
2024/21.122023/21.112022/21.012021/20.92020/20.7
2024/31.292023/31.472022/31.282021/31.112020/30.83
2024/41.282023/41.162022/41.152021/41.012020/40.78
2024/51.292023/51.382022/51.262021/51.222020/50.78
2024/61.22023/61.222022/61.162021/61.32020/60.85
2024/71.382023/71.242022/71.112021/71.282020/70.88
2024/81.312023/81.32022/81.292021/81.272020/80.87
2024/91.422023/91.342022/91.352021/91.222020/90.96
2024/101.372023/101.292022/101.32021/101.12020/100.86
N/AN/A2023/111.382022/111.392021/111.312020/111.0
N/AN/A2023/121.362022/121.42021/121.262020/120.94
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 75.53%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.396.9214.88
24Q2 (19)1.34.8410.17
24Q1 (18)1.24-1.594.2
23Q4 (17)1.264.138.62
23Q3 (16)1.212.5410.0
23Q2 (15)1.18-0.8411.32
23Q1 (14)1.192.5914.42
22Q4 (13)1.165.4513.73
22Q3 (12)1.13.7715.79
22Q2 (11)1.061.9229.27
22Q1 (10)1.041.9636.84
21Q4 (9)1.027.3741.67
21Q3 (8)0.9515.8566.67
21Q2 (7)0.827.8949.09
21Q1 (6)0.765.560
20Q4 (5)0.7226.320
20Q3 (4)0.573.640.0
20Q2 (3)0.5500.0

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