玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.72-18.7733.9872.9915.2421.01N/A-
2024/98.2837.716.8466.2713.6220.750.17-
2024/86.01-6.8826.8757.9913.1825.190.14-
2024/76.46-49.2513.1651.9811.7823.10.15-
2024/612.72224.031.745.5311.5923.890.16-
2024/53.93-45.7418.5532.815.9717.910.21-
2024/47.247.295.2928.8815.6217.940.21-
2024/36.7470.57.2721.6419.5521.640.17-
2024/23.96-63.84-24.0714.926.0823.770.16-
2024/110.9423.3465.6510.9465.6523.060.16去年1月適逢農曆春節工作天數較少及今年1月接獲客戶新訂單
2023/128.87173.293.1175.464.7817.130.17-
2023/113.25-35.326.4966.595.0115.350.19-
2023/105.02-29.160.5263.344.9316.840.18-
2023/97.0849.526.3558.325.3317.530.13-
2023/84.74-16.94-13.1251.245.1922.950.1-
2023/75.7-54.39-5.8646.57.521.530.11-
2023/612.51277.728.7640.799.6822.690.12-
2023/53.31-51.81-10.3128.2910.0916.470.16-
2023/46.879.319.0924.9713.5118.370.15-
2023/36.2920.6710.7218.111.5318.10.17-
2023/25.21-21.1114.2811.8111.9620.420.15-
2023/16.6-23.2210.196.610.1918.250.17-
2022/128.6182.2533.7772.0116.8316.640.26-
2022/113.05-38.95-8.2663.4114.8614.70.3-
2022/104.99-25.0510.7360.3616.3417.110.26-
2022/96.6622.13-5.7155.3716.8818.180.16-
2022/85.45-10.017.9548.7120.8423.010.13-
2022/76.06-47.345.5143.2521.2121.250.14-
2022/611.5211.4725.6237.1918.020.960.15-
2022/53.69-36.01-16.1525.6914.8815.140.2-
2022/45.771.6235.5522.022.516.010.19-
2022/35.6824.558.3816.2318.4416.230.17-
2022/24.56-23.9437.8910.5524.6716.980.16-
2022/15.99-6.7916.195.9916.1915.750.18-
2021/126.4393.55-6.0861.6313.5214.260.22-
2021/113.32-26.33.9455.216.3514.90.21-
2021/104.51-36.18-30.0751.8817.2516.20.19-
2021/97.0652.7842.2347.3725.3215.850.14-
2021/84.6211.0337.4140.3122.7617.940.13-
2021/74.16-54.513.635.6821.0917.720.13-
2021/69.16107.88-2.6731.5223.8517.820.09-
2021/54.43.45111.1522.3639.4113.90.11受疫情影響,企業數位化需求增加,致營收成長
2021/44.26-18.7417.2317.9628.6912.80.12-
2021/35.2458.4636.6513.732.7213.70.09-
2021/23.31-35.916.988.4630.415.020.09-
2021/15.16-21.3340.745.1640.7414.910.09-
2020/126.56105.1544.4954.013.3516.20.14-
2020/113.2-50.42-20.6247.4410.070.0N/A-
2020/106.450.020.0944.2513.230.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/110.942023/16.62022/15.992021/15.162020/106.45
2024/23.962023/25.212022/24.562021/23.312020/113.2
2024/36.742023/36.292022/35.682021/35.242020/126.56
2024/47.242023/46.872022/45.772021/44.26N/AN/A
2024/53.932023/53.312022/53.692021/54.4N/AN/A
2024/612.722023/612.512022/611.52021/69.16N/AN/A
2024/76.462023/75.72022/76.062021/74.16N/AN/A
2024/86.012023/84.742022/85.452021/84.62N/AN/A
2024/98.282023/97.082022/96.662021/97.06N/AN/A
2024/106.722023/105.022022/104.992021/104.51N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/113.252022/113.052021/113.32N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/128.872022/128.62021/126.43N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 409.9%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)16.992.851.31
24Q2 (19)16.522.161.72
24Q1 (18)16.17-9.04.26
23Q4 (17)17.775.969.83
23Q3 (16)16.773.266.07
23Q2 (15)16.244.716.21
23Q1 (14)15.51-4.146.31
22Q4 (13)16.182.348.23
22Q3 (12)15.813.49.49
22Q2 (11)15.294.86.92
22Q1 (10)14.59-2.419.04
21Q4 (9)14.953.5318.65
21Q3 (8)14.440.980
21Q2 (7)14.36.8814.49
21Q1 (6)13.386.190
20Q4 (5)12.6016.99

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