玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.7450.038.826.815.121.8N/A-
2024/100.49-12.522.936.074.691.64N/A-
2024/90.56-3.84-18.915.584.851.740.54-
2024/80.590.28-6.465.018.421.80.52-
2024/70.58-6.71-2.54.4310.762.060.45-
2024/60.63-26.14-29.573.8413.12.130.39-
2024/50.8530.2927.583.2228.261.970.42-
2024/40.6539.1346.322.3728.51.560.53-
2024/30.476.08-46.621.7222.821.720.53-
2024/20.44-45.2360.171.25140.081.80.51本月主要客戶出貨量較去年同期增加所致
2024/10.8146.46230.340.81230.342.040.45本月主要客戶出貨量較去年同期大幅增加所致
2023/120.55-19.09-33.477.03-30.911.710.5-
2023/110.6841.93.576.48-30.691.850.46-
2023/100.48-31.0811.395.8-33.281.80.48-
2023/90.710.92-46.095.32-35.61.920.42-
2023/80.634.52-4.94.62-33.662.120.38-
2023/70.6-32.6137.394.0-36.672.160.37-
2023/60.8933.79-33.763.4-42.172.00.67-
2023/50.6749.4341.392.51-44.661.990.68-
2023/40.45-49.24-43.61.84-55.381.60.84本月主要客戶出貨量較去年同期大幅減少所致
2023/30.88218.32-39.181.4-58.171.40.71本期主要客戶出貨量較去年同期減少所致
2023/20.2812.94-55.860.52-72.611.350.74本月主要客戶出貨量較去年同期大幅減少所致
2023/10.24-70.5-80.820.24-80.821.730.57本月主要客戶出貨量較去年同期大幅減少所致
2022/120.8325.97101.7610.17177.51.910.49本期合併營收新增代理線所致
2022/110.6652.61217.559.35187.032.380.39本期合併營收新增代理線所致
2022/100.43-66.6529.248.69184.972.380.39本期合併營收新增代理線所致
2022/91.2995.68568.748.26197.712.390.49本期合併營收新增代理線所致
2022/80.6651.01125.236.97169.982.440.48本期合併營收新增代理線所致
2022/70.44-67.51104.216.31175.72.250.52本期合併營收新增代理線所致
2022/61.34185.611039.215.87183.072.60.44本期合併營收新增代理線所致
2022/50.47-40.3977.314.53133.862.630.44本期合併營收新增代理線所致
2022/40.79-42.57350.184.06142.842.790.41本期合併營收新增代理線所致
2022/31.37120.13307.413.27128.933.270.34合併營收增加係因新增代理產品線所致
2022/20.62-50.9291.661.973.772.310.48合併營收增加係因新增代理產品線所致
2022/11.27210.3659.891.2759.891.890.59合併營收增加係因新增代理產品線所致
2021/120.4198.28-81.553.67-80.970.950.77於110年3月停止部分產品線之代理所致
2021/110.21-37.88-87.833.26-80.90.731.0於110年3月已結束部分產品線之代理所致
2021/100.3372.54-80.43.05-80.130.820.89於110年3月已結束部分產品線之代理所致
2021/90.19-34.09-88.642.77-79.670.71.3於110年3月已結束部分產品線之代理所致
2021/80.2936.92-84.22.58-78.40.621.46於110年3月已結束部分產品線之代理所致
2021/70.2181.21-89.042.29-77.340.61.52於110年3月已結束部分產品線之代理所致
2021/60.12-55.54-91.312.08-74.530.563.19於110年3月已結束部分產品線之代理所致
2021/50.2751.34-82.891.94-71.480.782.29於110/3/3已結束部分產品線之代理所致
2021/40.18-48.02-87.191.67-68.10.842.12於110/3/3已結束部分產品線之代理所致
2021/30.343.56-69.411.43-63.11.460.673月底停止主要供應商代理,客戶已陸續移轉出貨所致
2021/20.33-59.06-72.831.09-60.593.340.29預計3月底停止主要供應商代理,部分客戶已陸續將出貨移轉所致
2021/10.8-64.19-49.340.8-49.344.720.21-
2020/122.2230.8241.0219.28-16.425.620.17-
2020/111.70.0211.3617.05-20.635.10.19-
2020/101.7-0.0531.2215.35-23.085.250.19-
2020/91.7-8.287.6213.66-26.845.50.01-
2020/81.85-5.06-23.3511.96-30.035.160.01-
2020/71.9543.78-14.3810.1-31.134.860.01-
2020/61.36-12.48-17.978.15-34.214.280.1-
2020/51.5513.32-28.066.79-36.724.020.1-
2020/41.3724.11-11.215.24-38.893.670.11-
2020/31.1-8.03-53.043.87-44.963.870.13因疫情關係,客戶需求下降所致
2020/21.2-23.65-41.382.77-40.914.350.12-
2020/11.57-0.31-40.541.57-40.540.0N/A-
2019/121.583.3-6.7423.06-35.660.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.812023/10.242022/11.272021/10.82020/11.57
2024/20.442023/20.282022/20.622021/20.332020/21.2
2024/30.472023/30.882022/31.372021/30.342020/31.1
2024/40.652023/40.452022/40.792021/40.182020/41.37
2024/50.852023/50.672022/50.472021/50.272020/51.55
2024/60.632023/60.892022/61.342021/60.122020/61.36
2024/70.582023/70.62022/70.442021/70.212020/71.95
2024/80.592023/80.632022/80.662021/80.292020/81.85
2024/90.562023/90.72022/91.292021/90.192020/91.7
2024/100.492023/100.482022/100.432021/100.332020/101.7
2024/110.742023/110.682022/110.662021/110.212020/111.7
N/AN/A2023/120.552022/120.832021/120.412020/122.22
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.25%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.020.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.020.0100.0
24Q1 (18)0.020100.0

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