玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1114.88-1.483.66157.374.0145.08N/A-
2024/1015.10.029.8142.54.0545.45N/A-
2024/915.1-0.9720.8127.393.444.660.56-
2024/815.256.5310.92112.31.4443.850.57-
2024/714.310.165.9897.050.0942.740.59-
2024/614.291.038.8382.74-0.8542.550.53-
2024/514.140.15-1.4168.45-2.6641.720.54-
2024/414.124.86-1.4154.31-2.9739.590.56-
2024/313.4612.11-5.8140.19-3.5140.190.5-
2024/212.01-18.41-9.7226.73-2.3140.330.5-
2024/114.728.234.6814.724.6842.670.48-
2023/1213.6-5.25-13.1164.9-24.5641.70.51-
2023/1114.354.35-9.62151.3-25.4440.60.53-
2023/1013.7510.04-19.92136.95-26.7840.00.53-
2023/912.5-9.07-29.21123.2-27.4839.750.6-
2023/813.751.79-25.93110.7-27.2740.380.59-
2023/713.52.86-28.6196.95-27.4640.970.58-
2023/613.13-8.48-33.2983.45-27.2741.790.59-
2023/514.340.15-28.270.32-26.0342.960.58-
2023/414.320.18-22.7655.98-25.4541.920.59-
2023/314.297.46-29.5341.66-26.3341.660.6-
2023/213.3-5.38-21.6627.36-24.5443.010.59-
2023/114.06-10.15-27.0814.06-27.0845.590.55-
2022/1215.65-1.45-20.78218.595.7448.70.57-
2022/1115.88-7.52-15.99202.948.5550.710.54-
2022/1017.17-2.73-6.5187.0511.3153.390.52-
2022/917.66-4.86-2.76169.8813.4955.130.54-
2022/818.56-1.881.88152.2215.7457.150.52-
2022/718.92-3.883.07133.6617.9758.570.51-
2022/619.68-1.4913.05114.7520.8458.20.5-
2022/519.987.7427.6695.0722.5958.810.49-
2022/418.54-8.5916.2575.0921.3155.810.52-
2022/320.2919.4622.456.5523.0756.550.48-
2022/216.98-11.9327.3836.2623.4556.020.49-
2022/119.28-2.3920.1819.2820.1857.940.47-
2021/1219.764.530.41206.7125.8557.030.44-
2021/1118.92.9122.03186.9525.3955.430.45-
2021/1018.371.1533.72168.0525.7854.740.46-
2021/918.16-0.3126.45149.6824.8754.720.43-
2021/818.22-0.7341.29131.5224.6553.970.43-
2021/718.355.4135.21113.322.3351.410.45-
2021/617.4111.2329.5294.9520.1249.010.45-
2021/515.65-1.8713.1377.5518.248.170.45-
2021/415.95-3.7514.8661.919.5545.850.48-
2021/316.5724.3217.7445.9521.2845.950.44-
2021/213.33-16.9110.4629.3723.3744.520.45-
2021/116.045.9236.6316.0436.6346.680.43-
2020/1215.15-2.2211.26164.246.244.370.42-
2020/1115.4912.7716.41149.095.7143.590.43-
2020/1013.74-4.34-8.77133.64.640.990.46-
2020/914.3611.385.89119.876.3840.820.43-
2020/812.89-5.01-4.44105.516.4539.90.44-
2020/713.570.97-8.7992.618.1740.840.43-
2020/613.44-2.846.379.0411.7441.160.42-
2020/513.83-0.3720.165.612.9241.790.41-
2020/413.89-1.3416.551.7711.1540.030.43-
2020/314.0816.6417.7437.889.3137.880.43-
2020/212.072.7620.2723.814.8737.420.44-
2020/111.74-13.74-7.3211.74-7.320.0N/A-
2019/1213.612.2915.55154.64-1.850.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/114.722023/114.062022/119.282021/116.042020/111.74
2024/212.012023/213.32022/216.982021/213.332020/212.07
2024/313.462023/314.292022/320.292021/316.572020/314.08
2024/414.122023/414.322022/418.542021/415.952020/413.89
2024/514.142023/514.342022/519.982021/515.652020/513.83
2024/614.292023/613.132022/619.682021/617.412020/613.44
2024/714.312023/713.52022/718.922021/718.352020/713.57
2024/815.252023/813.752022/818.562021/818.222020/812.89
2024/915.12023/912.52022/917.662021/918.162020/914.36
2024/1015.12023/1013.752022/1017.172021/1018.372020/1013.74
2024/1114.882023/1114.352022/1115.882021/1118.92020/1115.49
N/AN/A2023/1213.62022/1215.652021/1219.762020/1215.15
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 40.79%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.966.86-18.23
24Q2 (19)2.77-6.1-16.31
24Q1 (18)2.95-8.67-8.39
23Q4 (17)3.23-10.77-21.6
23Q3 (16)3.629.37-1.36
23Q2 (15)3.312.818.21
23Q1 (14)3.22-21.8443.75
22Q4 (13)4.1212.26102.96
22Q3 (12)3.6731.07121.08
22Q2 (11)2.825.0113.74
22Q1 (10)2.2410.34117.48
21Q4 (9)2.0322.2991.51
21Q3 (8)1.6626.72-7.78
21Q2 (7)1.3127.18-17.09
21Q1 (6)1.03-2.83-28.97
20Q4 (5)1.06-41.11-34.16
20Q3 (4)1.813.920.0
20Q2 (3)1.588.970.0
20Q1 (2)1.45-9.940.0
19Q4 (1)1.610.00.0

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