玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.5514.53-7.6634.79-7.4210.73N/A-
2024/103.1-24.29-1.5531.24-7.3910.21N/A-
2024/94.0935.3333.4428.15-7.999.690.75-
2024/83.0217.33-32.6724.06-12.618.950.81-
2024/72.58-23.23-1.8521.03-8.79.360.78-
2024/63.36-2.28-10.3718.46-9.589.40.78-
2024/53.4331.6916.2615.1-9.49.20.8-
2024/42.61-17.55-17.411.67-14.938.360.88-
2024/33.1621.98-14.479.06-14.199.060.68-
2024/22.59-21.59-24.885.9-14.0410.120.61-
2024/13.31-21.58-3.083.31-3.0811.360.54-
2023/124.229.78-19.141.8-3.8411.20.64-
2023/113.8422.122.2337.58-1.7610.050.71-
2023/103.152.615.8733.74-2.210.70.67-
2023/93.06-31.72-26.8130.59-2.9610.180.68-
2023/84.4971.0439.3127.530.6910.860.64-
2023/72.62-29.89-10.9823.04-4.469.320.75-
2023/63.7426.76-12.6320.41-3.559.850.67-
2023/52.95-6.4416.9616.67-1.259.810.68-
2023/43.16-14.63-0.6913.72-4.4610.310.64-
2023/33.77.13-20.6810.56-5.5210.560.74-
2023/23.451.1634.146.865.3112.080.65-
2023/13.41-34.54-13.493.41-13.4912.380.63-
2022/125.2138.73-5.0243.471.7411.940.68-
2022/113.7626.47-20.5438.252.7410.920.74-
2022/102.97-29.06-5.634.56.1310.380.78-
2022/94.1929.97-5.6331.537.3910.360.83-
2022/83.229.28-3.027.349.7110.460.82-
2022/72.95-31.19-5.6524.1211.679.760.88-
2022/64.2969.7270.621.1714.69.990.69因本月有大型專案驗收,故本月營收增加50%以上。
2022/52.52-20.571.3116.885.7910.430.66-
2022/43.18-32.76-12.5814.366.6110.480.65-
2022/34.7383.7541.3811.2514.3911.250.57-
2022/22.57-34.76-7.06.520.4712.010.53-
2022/13.94-28.136.033.946.0314.160.45-
2021/125.4916.0755.0342.72-0.3213.360.48主要係1.本期認列大型專案收入;2. 因疫情因素,部分專案延後至年底認列收入。
2021/114.7350.269.2137.23-5.3112.310.53-
2021/103.15-29.099.0532.5-7.110.910.59-
2021/94.4433.5818.8329.36-8.5610.880.63-
2021/83.326.3-13.3324.92-12.168.960.77-
2021/73.1324.41-24.0821.6-11.988.130.85-
2021/62.510.79-30.0518.47-9.548.640.76-
2021/52.49-31.47-23.9115.96-5.169.470.69-
2021/43.648.74-9.4913.47-0.639.750.67-
2021/33.3420.8611.779.833.099.830.7-
2021/22.77-25.6-11.596.49-0.8610.030.69-
2021/13.725.068.973.728.9711.590.59-
2020/123.54-18.23-7.9542.866.3910.750.67-
2020/114.3350.032.2139.327.910.950.66-
2020/102.89-22.73-13.7234.998.6510.450.69-
2020/93.73-2.57-9.032.111.2411.680.63-
2020/83.83-6.8813.9828.3714.611.540.64-
2020/74.1214.6330.6124.5414.710.980.67-
2020/63.599.647.6320.4211.9510.880.8-
2020/53.28-18.4823.7416.8312.9110.290.84-
2020/44.0234.330.1413.5510.5710.140.86-
2020/32.99-4.41-7.419.533.999.530.9-
2020/23.13-8.317.496.5410.210.370.83-
2020/13.41-10.894.263.414.260.0N/A-
2019/123.83-9.56-17.0140.278.80.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.312023/13.412022/13.942021/13.722020/13.41
2024/22.592023/23.452022/22.572021/22.772020/23.13
2024/33.162023/33.72022/34.732021/33.342020/32.99
2024/42.612023/43.162022/43.182021/43.642020/44.02
2024/53.432023/52.952022/52.522021/52.492020/53.28
2024/63.362023/63.742022/64.292021/62.512020/63.59
2024/72.582023/72.622022/72.952021/73.132020/74.12
2024/83.022023/84.492022/83.222021/83.322020/83.83
2024/94.092023/93.062022/94.192021/94.442020/93.73
2024/103.12023/103.152022/102.972021/103.152020/102.89
2024/113.552023/113.842022/113.762021/114.732020/114.33
N/AN/A2023/124.222022/125.212021/125.492020/123.54
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 21.12%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.8718.3526.35
24Q2 (19)1.582.65.33
24Q1 (18)1.54-2.53-5.52
23Q4 (17)1.586.7615.33
23Q3 (16)1.48-1.3314.73
23Q2 (15)1.5-7.9863.04
23Q1 (14)1.6318.9879.12
22Q4 (13)1.376.273.42
22Q3 (12)1.2940.220.78
22Q2 (11)0.921.1-28.12
22Q1 (10)0.9115.195.81
21Q4 (9)0.79-38.2829.51
21Q3 (8)1.280.075.34
21Q2 (7)1.2848.846.67
21Q1 (6)0.8640.98-36.3
20Q4 (5)0.61-16.44-47.86
20Q3 (4)0.73-39.170.0
20Q2 (3)1.2-11.110.0
20Q1 (2)1.3515.380.0
19Q4 (1)1.170.00.0

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