玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.309.2411.111.8516.3560.8770.26-7.94-9.8749.13-14.36-37.840.73-10.999.7378.67-10.53-34.34
24Q2 (19)1.19-18.4940.01.59-3.0555.8876.3222.72-28.6757.373.52-35.9945.7619.45-6.0687.9310.88-40.54
24Q1 (18)1.4628.0753.681.6418.8419.7162.19-21.99-35.4155.42-16.09-16.7538.3111.923.6279.30-28.9-37.0
23Q4 (17)1.14-2.5620.01.3820.0-0.7279.722.27-17.1666.05-16.380.5934.23-7.793.01111.54-6.91-13.31
23Q3 (16)1.1737.6542.681.1512.75-17.2777.95-27.14-29.6378.99-11.8620.337.12-23.79-3.06119.82-18.98-13.26
23Q2 (15)0.85-10.532.411.02-25.55-27.66106.9911.12-2.7589.6234.6339.0548.7131.7633.2147.8917.487.26
23Q1 (14)0.950.04.41.37-1.443.0196.280.05-3.9166.571.39-2.6936.9711.25-15.28125.88-2.160.73
22Q4 (13)0.9515.854.41.390.0-17.2696.23-13.13-3.4165.660.020.933.23-13.21-39.65128.66-6.8630.13
22Q3 (12)0.82-1.2-15.461.39-1.42-28.72110.770.6917.6565.661.8840.8138.294.7-38.86138.140.1976.76
22Q2 (11)0.83-8.79-23.851.416.02-44.05110.019.7931.4864.45-5.7978.3336.57-16.2-38.28137.8810.33127.68
22Q1 (10)0.910.0-18.751.33-20.83-52.33100.200.5723.4468.4125.96109.5943.64-20.74-23.91124.9726.4121.38
21Q4 (9)0.91-6.19-22.881.68-13.85-40.2199.635.8229.4954.3116.4767.8355.06-12.097.8698.8726.5169.73
21Q3 (8)0.97-11.01-42.61.95-22.62-16.3194.1512.5374.7446.6329.0319.4762.635.796.2178.1529.0528.14
21Q2 (7)1.09-2.6860.292.52-9.68193.0283.673.08-37.0936.1410.72-65.8659.253.3172.6460.567.28-70.39
21Q1 (6)1.12-5.08-18.842.79-0.71153.6481.175.522.8732.640.87-60.5757.3512.34105.4856.45-3.09-53.32
20Q4 (5)1.18-30.1819.192.8120.6202.1576.9442.8-16.4732.36-17.09-66.9551.0559.9324.8558.25-4.49-60.94
20Q3 (4)1.69148.530.02.33170.930.053.88-59.490.039.03-63.130.031.92-6.990.060.99-70.180.0
20Q2 (3)0.68-50.720.00.86-21.820.0133.01101.350.0105.8627.870.034.3222.970.0204.5569.150.0
20Q1 (2)1.3839.390.01.1018.280.066.06-28.280.082.79-15.430.027.91-31.740.0120.93-18.90.0
19Q4 (1)0.990.00.00.930.00.092.110.00.097.900.00.040.890.00.0149.120.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)3.93-6.875.10-8.4492.927.3271.639.2840.16-7.51124.3914.42
2022 (9)4.221.935.57-35.4686.58-1.8865.5555.043.42-19.79108.7142.27
2021 (8)4.140.738.6329.9788.24-0.642.29-23.0154.133.5876.41-16.44
2020 (7)4.11-29.146.6437.7688.7741.0454.93-27.4452.2661.391.44-13.93
2019 (6)5.807.614.82-30.0462.94-7.1175.7042.832.40-23.31106.2435.3
2018 (5)5.39-0.926.89-33.4367.761.053.0150.342.25-13.7978.5247.18
2017 (4)5.4418.7810.35-28.4267.09-15.7635.2739.7449.01-12.953.359.75
2016 (3)4.5830.1114.46-35.5979.64-23.1425.2455.2356.27-17.6548.61-5.68
2015 (2)3.52300.022.45232.1103.62-74.9316.26-69.8668.33-79.7551.54-60.34
2014 (1)0.88-57.286.76-72.17413.38133.5153.95258.95337.37166.19129.9698.96

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