玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.70162.1440.630.22-31.25-94.2933.73-61.83-28.67420.7249.01680.45376.3531.781236.4778.10-8.2682.65
24Q2 (19)1.0363.49-34.390.32-40.74-93.5288.37-38.4452.89282.3668.891433.73285.6056.41745.9785.13-33.56100.54
24Q1 (18)0.63-75.95-24.10.54-92.73-93.5143.56312.8831.44167.191264.821428.24182.60733.79122.55128.14410.31236.24
23Q4 (17)2.6236.460.07.4392.99159.7934.77-26.470.0312.25-48.16-61.5321.90-22.23-44.425.11-41.28-7.72
23Q3 (16)1.9222.29-12.333.85-22.06520.9747.29-18.1813.9523.6328.35-83.828.16-16.59-82.7442.760.7376.77
23Q2 (15)1.5789.16153.234.94-40.55308.2657.80-47.08-60.3318.4168.28-75.5633.76-58.85-82.7942.4511.3970.69
23Q1 (14)0.83-68.32-73.988.31190.56297.61109.22214.21282.2910.94-65.64-74.982.05108.3383.2238.1140.06-30.94
22Q4 (13)2.6219.633.972.86361.291330.034.76-16.24-3.8231.84-78.17-92.9539.39-75.86-57.527.2112.48-93.11
22Q3 (12)2.19253.2317.110.62-48.76376.9241.50-71.52-14.8145.8693.6-79.78163.17-16.82-63.7924.19-2.73-92.43
22Q2 (11)0.62-80.56-56.641.21-42.11656.25145.70409.98128.9875.3472.84-87.07196.171055.3-67.824.87-54.93-32.58
22Q1 (10)3.1926.59293.832.09945.0-39.9428.57-20.95-74.4543.59-90.3566.6316.98-81.68-73.3555.18-86.03-25.71
21Q4 (9)2.5234.768.620.2053.85-92.9136.14-25.81-7.88451.58-37.41301.5592.69-79.4363.33395.0323.672587.28
21Q3 (8)1.8730.77-16.890.13-18.75-92.9348.71-23.4520.54721.3723.851361.15450.65-26.03528.35319.43765.91668.72
21Q2 (7)1.4376.54-13.330.16-95.4-95.1463.63-43.115.52582.472126.572008.11609.21856.221168.1336.89-50.346.43
21Q1 (6)0.81-65.09-48.733.4823.461.86111.83185.0694.6626.16-18.81-38.263.7112.2620.5374.28405.3158.35
20Q4 (5)2.323.11-2.932.8253.2658.4339.23-2.922.8832.22-34.74-36.8156.75-20.878.5114.70-18.6-60.08
20Q3 (4)2.2536.360.01.84-44.070.040.41-26.630.049.3778.680.071.7249.290.018.06-47.890.0
20Q2 (3)1.654.430.03.2953.020.055.08-4.130.027.63-34.730.048.04-9.120.034.66-26.110.0
20Q1 (2)1.58-33.890.02.1520.790.057.4550.670.042.33-16.980.052.861.070.046.9127.40.0
19Q4 (1)2.390.00.01.780.00.038.130.00.050.990.00.052.300.00.036.820.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)3.63-52.2448.631396.31100.53109.397.51-93.3161.9999.5246.04-64.35
2022 (9)7.6073.523.25225.048.01-42.44112.18-69.3331.07-69.09129.13-62.96
2021 (8)4.3812.891.00-80.5883.41-11.28365.73415.77100.52-3.09348.62469.73
2020 (7)3.8822.45.158.4294.01-18.3270.91-7.8103.72-7.7161.19-23.16
2019 (6)3.17-10.74.75-52.69115.1011.976.91111.58112.3810.079.63114.93
2018 (5)3.55-26.3510.04-27.87102.8635.8836.3538.69102.16-8.8637.050
2017 (4)4.8233.8913.92-46.0575.70-25.3326.2185.36112.0994.7-10.180
2016 (3)3.6015.7625.80-20.3101.38-13.5914.1425.3557.57113.1457.96-42.95
2015 (2)3.1162.8332.378.62117.33-38.6111.28-7.9227.01-58.48101.60-26.55
2014 (1)1.91-21.7229.8016.04191.1227.5912.25-13.7965.0513.76138.3229.48

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