玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.488.8213.851.1557.535.561.39-8.52-12.1679.16-36.35-5.0247.9918.35-18.0992.56-38.67-2.2
24Q2 (19)1.3623.6417.240.7317.742.8267.11-18.62-14.36124.37-15.4-2.4240.55-21.3815.1150.93-15.16-11.52
24Q1 (18)1.1014.5830.950.62-33.335.0882.47-13.21-24.19147.0149.72-5.1451.58-28.13-8.97177.9046.5-14.1
23Q4 (17)0.96-26.15-63.910.93-14.68-62.9595.0235.96178.098.1917.82171.0271.7722.5392.93121.4328.31117.42
23Q3 (16)1.3012.0715.041.0953.5255.7169.89-10.81-12.8783.34-34.61-35.8258.5966.31140.9194.64-44.52-49.05
23Q2 (15)1.1638.112.620.7120.34-1.3978.36-27.96-11.18127.45-17.760.6835.23-37.8243.91170.58-17.63-10.38
23Q1 (14)0.84-68.42-26.320.59-76.49-19.18108.78218.2636.49154.97327.7424.4156.66289.15154.65207.09270.813.78
22Q4 (13)2.66135.4135.42.51258.57311.4834.18-57.39-57.6836.23-72.1-75.7114.56-40.13-51.5255.85-69.93-72.06
22Q3 (12)1.139.7111.880.70-2.7822.8180.21-9.08-10.62129.862.58-18.0524.32-0.65-14.46185.75-2.41-15.48
22Q2 (11)1.03-9.650.980.72-1.3720.088.2210.69-1.13126.591.63-16.7224.4810.0224.08190.334.57-14.07
22Q1 (10)1.140.8818.750.7319.6740.3879.70-1.31-16.05124.56-16.5-28.3122.25-25.9111.7182.01-8.95-26.84
21Q4 (9)1.1311.88-10.320.617.027.0280.76-10.0111.49149.18-5.86-6.6530.035.6336.75199.91-9.04-4.94
21Q3 (8)1.01-0.98-7.340.57-5.032.5689.740.577.94158.464.25-24.6828.4344.1-42.69219.77-0.78-9.9
21Q2 (7)1.026.2522.890.6015.3830.4389.23-6.01-18.24152.00-12.52-22.9619.73-0.95-70.21221.50-10.97-7.79
21Q1 (6)0.96-23.81-11.930.52-8.77-34.1894.9431.0613.62173.768.7351.1619.92-9.29-68.12248.7818.382.89
20Q4 (5)1.2615.624.750.5732.56-39.3672.44-12.87-19.32159.81-24.0464.3621.96-55.73-63.4210.29-13.7965.54
20Q3 (4)1.0931.330.00.43-6.520.083.14-23.820.0210.396.630.049.61-25.090.0243.921.540.0
20Q2 (3)0.83-23.850.00.46-41.770.0109.1430.610.0197.3171.650.066.236.00.0240.2276.590.0
20Q1 (2)1.097.920.00.79-15.960.083.56-6.940.0114.9518.220.062.484.130.0136.037.080.0
19Q4 (1)1.010.00.00.940.00.089.790.00.097.230.00.060.000.00.0127.030.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)3.95-19.553.64-6.4392.4724.49100.256.8248.4232.44144.309.68
2022 (9)4.9123.373.8976.8274.28-19.0793.85-43.4736.5665.28131.57-44.17
2021 (8)3.980.762.20-7.5691.78-0.71166.028.0422.12-59.37235.6822.97
2020 (7)3.95-8.992.38-34.4492.449.94153.6652.6454.44-26.26191.6672.78
2019 (6)4.346.373.6310.6784.08-6.13100.67-9.6373.83-29.91110.9315.99
2018 (5)4.0818.263.281.8689.57-15.27111.40-1.62105.33-6.6295.64-9.89
2017 (4)3.45-4.173.22-22.6105.714.15113.2329.04112.8059.1106.14-10.32
2016 (3)3.60-0.834.16-10.54101.500.8287.7511.870.908.38118.354.06
2015 (2)3.634.914.651.09100.67-4.6178.49-1.065.42-17.15113.737.43
2014 (1)3.46-0.864.60-4.76105.541.0379.284.9278.969.23105.86-1.74

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