玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.72.940.0959.64-11.2418.54N/A-
2024/96.5122.24-10.3952.94-12.4918.050.53-
2024/85.33-14.15-31.8346.43-12.7817.550.55-
2024/76.213.16-11.3141.1-9.519.330.5-
2024/66.02-15.42-13.0734.89-9.1719.770.48-
2024/57.117.017.1428.88-8.3219.170.5-
2024/46.6522.88.3721.77-12.4515.940.6-
2024/35.4139.53-16.7315.12-19.2715.120.69-
2024/23.88-33.45-30.869.71-20.6216.250.64-
2024/15.83-10.89-11.945.83-11.9418.790.55-
2023/126.541.938.3480.167.8419.660.48-
2023/116.42-4.190.1873.617.820.380.46-
2023/106.7-7.848.1867.28.5921.780.43-
2023/97.27-6.992.8360.58.6322.080.49-
2023/87.8111.679.1553.239.4721.730.5-
2023/77.01.119.7445.429.5320.560.53-
2023/66.924.246.5938.429.4919.690.53-
2023/56.648.245.2431.510.1519.270.54-
2023/46.13-5.647.4424.8611.5418.240.57-
2023/36.515.8418.2818.7312.9518.730.55-
2023/25.61-15.2415.7712.2310.3118.270.56-
2023/16.629.626.086.626.0819.060.54-
2022/126.04-5.73-5.7574.33-13.3618.630.63-
2022/116.413.450.8768.29-13.9719.660.59-
2022/106.19-12.4-3.261.88-15.2720.420.57-
2022/97.07-1.280.7155.69-16.4220.60.55-
2022/87.1612.28-14.7548.62-18.4420.030.56-
2022/76.38-1.79-23.741.46-19.0519.180.59-
2022/66.492.92-19.5535.09-18.1418.510.59-
2022/56.3110.51-13.928.59-17.8117.510.62-
2022/45.713.87-28.7222.29-18.8516.050.68-
2022/35.4913.38-32.1116.58-14.7916.580.6-
2022/24.85-22.33-7.3411.09-2.4617.490.57-
2022/16.24-2.611.696.241.6919.00.52-
2021/126.410.89-13.0885.794.3119.150.46-
2021/116.35-0.73-7.5379.386.0319.760.44-
2021/106.4-8.851.3673.037.421.810.4-
2021/97.02-16.448.9466.648.0223.770.34-
2021/88.40.510.4459.627.9124.830.33-
2021/78.363.5511.1251.227.5123.750.34-
2021/68.0710.158.0742.866.8323.40.29-
2021/57.33-8.510.8634.796.5423.430.29-
2021/48.01-1.069.127.478.1721.330.32-
2021/38.0954.7511.8519.467.7919.460.37-
2021/25.23-14.75-8.2111.375.0818.740.39-
2021/16.14-16.7619.896.1419.8920.370.36-
2020/127.377.33-9.3482.24-14.0320.550.32-
2020/116.878.83-13.8374.87-14.4619.620.33-
2020/106.31-2.04-12.2768.0-14.5320.360.32-
2020/96.44-15.291.161.69-14.7521.570.33-
2020/87.61.1123.9355.25-16.2822.590.32-
2020/77.520.71-8.2947.64-20.422.250.32-
2020/67.472.8-7.5940.12-22.3322.070.35-
2020/57.26-1.03-15.3532.65-25.0621.840.36-
2020/47.341.43-19.8225.39-27.4420.270.38-
2020/37.2426.98-14.7918.05-30.1418.050.57-
2020/25.711.35-30.9310.82-37.6518.950.55-
2020/15.12-37.06-43.745.12-43.7421.220.49-
2019/128.132.01-15.9995.6618.120.0N/A-
2019/117.9710.8-13.8287.5322.750.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.832023/16.622022/16.242021/16.142020/15.12
2024/23.882023/25.612022/24.852021/25.232020/25.7
2024/35.412023/36.52022/35.492021/38.092020/37.24
2024/46.652023/46.132022/45.712021/48.012020/47.34
2024/57.112023/56.642022/56.312021/57.332020/57.26
2024/66.022023/66.922022/66.492021/68.072020/67.47
2024/76.212023/77.02022/76.382021/78.362020/77.52
2024/85.332023/87.812022/87.162021/88.42020/87.6
2024/96.512023/97.272022/97.072021/97.022020/96.44
2024/106.72023/106.72022/106.192021/106.42020/106.31
N/AN/A2023/116.422022/116.412021/116.352020/116.87
N/AN/A2023/126.542022/126.042021/126.412020/127.37
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 49.3%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)5.836.3915.67
24Q2 (19)5.48-5.6810.48
24Q1 (18)5.8116.923.88
23Q4 (17)4.97-1.399.47
23Q3 (16)5.041.6132.28
23Q2 (15)4.965.76-6.59
23Q1 (14)4.693.323.75
22Q4 (13)4.5419.16-7.54
22Q3 (12)3.81-28.25-32.33
22Q2 (11)5.3140.11-21.8
22Q1 (10)3.79-22.81-37.56
21Q4 (9)4.91-12.79-24.92
21Q3 (8)5.63-17.08-25.03
21Q2 (7)6.7911.86-7.49
21Q1 (6)6.07-7.197.05
20Q4 (5)6.54-12.9212.76
20Q3 (4)7.512.320.0
20Q2 (3)7.3429.450.0
20Q1 (2)5.67-2.240.0
19Q4 (1)5.80.00.0

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