玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.73-7.11106.6431.7942.9611.62N/A本年度出貨數增加
2024/94.013.6791.1528.0637.3411.510.43出貨增加
2024/83.876.9975.4124.0431.1710.720.46出貨增加
2024/73.6212.1737.7520.1725.119.680.51-
2024/63.2313.9216.0216.5522.659.260.59-
2024/52.83-11.652.7813.3224.379.080.6-
2024/43.215.4217.1410.4931.858.170.67-
2024/33.0458.3933.07.2939.577.290.65-
2024/21.92-17.4555.934.2544.686.610.71本年度出貨數增加
2024/12.33-1.8236.552.3336.557.120.66-
2023/122.37-2.2547.6827.03-17.586.60.65-
2023/112.4234.2927.4424.66-20.946.330.68-
2023/101.8-14.073.6222.23-24.086.110.7-
2023/92.1-4.863.7120.43-25.836.940.53-
2023/82.21-15.974.018.33-28.187.620.49-
2023/72.63-5.52-3.216.12-31.18.160.45-
2023/62.780.92-10.9613.49-34.768.270.43-
2023/52.760.69-21.5110.71-38.997.780.46-
2023/42.7419.69-30.827.96-43.366.250.57-
2023/32.2985.7-41.85.22-48.285.220.91-
2023/21.23-27.71-53.662.93-52.44.541.05由於歐美市場持續調整庫存,外加去年基期較高所致
2023/11.76.18-51.441.7-51.445.210.91去年因疫情影響致出貨遞延,今年受全球景氣影響需求不振所致
2022/121.6-15.65-64.4132.79-9.115.250.882021年因疫情出貨遞延,基期較高
2022/111.99.19-56.2131.19-1.225.670.81因去年疫情封控大量出貨,今年歐洲客戶因經濟環境不佳,下半年持續調整庫存,致營收下滑
2022/101.74-14.0-47.7929.297.545.890.78-
2022/92.03-4.59-37.2527.5515.276.860.72-
2022/82.12-21.8-24.3725.5223.477.960.62-
2022/72.71-13.0922.5523.430.999.350.53-
2022/63.12-11.0244.2820.6832.1910.590.5-
2022/53.51-11.2514.517.5630.2511.390.46-
2022/43.960.6929.214.0534.8810.540.5-
2022/33.9347.8424.7610.0937.2510.090.66-
2022/22.66-24.2568.166.1646.5910.670.62去年2月因新冠疫情影響,營收大幅下降。本月則無此情形
2022/13.51-22.1833.613.5133.6112.360.54-
2021/124.513.881.5936.0825.1912.190.52較去年同月遽增,係因銷售額成長及塞港未能出貨之商品,已陸續出貨所致
2021/114.3430.1877.7331.5719.8810.910.58較去年同月遽增,係因銷售額成長及塞港未能出貨之商品,已陸續出貨所致
2021/103.343.3550.927.2313.969.370.67本月較去年同月遽增,係因塞港未能出貨之商品,已陸續出貨所致
2021/93.2314.9819.0423.910.198.250.81-
2021/82.8126.724.9520.678.937.190.93-
2021/72.212.31-14.8817.869.587.450.89-
2021/62.16-29.38-16.315.6514.238.290.74-
2021/53.070.1327.4413.4821.349.280.66-
2021/43.06-2.7528.5110.4219.667.790.79-
2021/33.1599.277.597.3516.327.350.66-
2021/21.58-39.81132.894.2123.846.690.72主要係因去年受COVID-19影響,工廠停工營收大減,本年度無此情形。
2021/12.635.76-3.382.63-3.387.550.64-
2020/122.481.59-19.4128.82-16.877.140.6-
2020/112.4410.54-14.126.34-16.637.360.59-
2020/102.21-18.46-15.1723.89-16.887.60.57-
2020/92.711.37-4.321.68-17.057.990.44-
2020/82.672.776.2718.97-18.67.860.44-
2020/72.60.6-12.0216.3-21.617.590.46-
2020/62.597.52-16.7413.7-23.27.370.49-
2020/52.410.97-22.3811.11-24.567.710.46-
2020/42.38-18.58-25.168.7-25.145.990.6-
2020/32.93331.31-4.76.32-25.136.320.66-
2020/20.68-75.03-71.393.4-36.86.480.65因受新冠肺炎疫情的影響,大陸工廠復工展延,致營收減少。
2020/12.72-11.78-9.462.72-9.468.640.49-
2019/123.088.285.3634.6716.410.0N/A-
2019/112.849.162.5631.5917.610.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.332023/11.72022/13.512021/12.632020/12.72
2024/21.922023/21.232022/22.662021/21.582020/20.68
2024/33.042023/32.292022/33.932021/33.152020/32.93
2024/43.212023/42.742022/43.962021/43.062020/42.38
2024/52.832023/52.762022/53.512021/53.072020/52.41
2024/63.232023/62.782022/63.122021/62.162020/62.59
2024/73.622023/72.632022/72.712021/72.212020/72.6
2024/83.872023/82.212022/82.122021/82.812020/82.67
2024/94.012023/92.12022/92.032021/93.232020/92.71
2024/103.732023/101.82022/101.742021/103.342020/102.21
N/AN/A2023/112.422022/111.92021/114.342020/112.44
N/AN/A2023/122.372022/121.62021/124.512020/122.48
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.15%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.08-38.46-70.37
24Q2 (19)0.138.33-53.57
24Q1 (18)0.12-62.5-63.64
23Q4 (17)0.3218.5233.33
23Q3 (16)0.27-3.5735.0
23Q2 (15)0.28-15.15115.38
23Q1 (14)0.3337.543.48
22Q4 (13)0.2420.04.35
22Q3 (12)0.253.85-65.52
22Q2 (11)0.13-43.48-56.67
22Q1 (10)0.230.0-23.33
21Q4 (9)0.23-60.34-23.33
21Q3 (8)0.5893.3393.33
21Q2 (7)0.30.0-9.09
21Q1 (6)0.30.0-9.09
20Q4 (5)0.30.0-30.23
20Q3 (4)0.3-9.090.0
20Q2 (3)0.330.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.33-23.260.0
19Q4 (1)0.430.00.0

免責聲明

本網站所有資料僅供參考,如使用者依本資料交易發生交易損失需自行負責,本網站對資料內容錯誤﹑更新延誤不負任何責任。