- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/11 | 3.29 | -11.7 | 35.85 | 35.08 | 42.26 | 11.04 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/10 | 3.73 | -7.11 | 106.64 | 31.79 | 42.96 | 11.62 | N/A | 本年度出貨數增加 | ||
| 2024/9 | 4.01 | 3.67 | 91.15 | 28.06 | 37.34 | 11.51 | 0.43 | 出貨增加 | ||
| 2024/8 | 3.87 | 6.99 | 75.41 | 24.04 | 31.17 | 10.72 | 0.46 | 出貨增加 | ||
| 2024/7 | 3.62 | 12.17 | 37.75 | 20.17 | 25.11 | 9.68 | 0.51 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 3.23 | 13.92 | 16.02 | 16.55 | 22.65 | 9.26 | 0.59 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 2.83 | -11.65 | 2.78 | 13.32 | 24.37 | 9.08 | 0.6 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 3.21 | 5.42 | 17.14 | 10.49 | 31.85 | 8.17 | 0.67 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 3.04 | 58.39 | 33.0 | 7.29 | 39.57 | 7.29 | 0.65 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 1.92 | -17.45 | 55.93 | 4.25 | 44.68 | 6.61 | 0.71 | 本年度出貨數增加 | ||
| 2024/1 | 2.33 | -1.82 | 36.55 | 2.33 | 36.55 | 7.12 | 0.66 | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 2.37 | -2.25 | 47.68 | 27.03 | -17.58 | 6.6 | 0.65 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 2.42 | 34.29 | 27.44 | 24.66 | -20.94 | 6.33 | 0.68 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 1.8 | -14.07 | 3.62 | 22.23 | -24.08 | 6.11 | 0.7 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 2.1 | -4.86 | 3.71 | 20.43 | -25.83 | 6.94 | 0.53 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 2.21 | -15.97 | 4.0 | 18.33 | -28.18 | 7.62 | 0.49 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 2.63 | -5.52 | -3.2 | 16.12 | -31.1 | 8.16 | 0.45 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 2.78 | 0.92 | -10.96 | 13.49 | -34.76 | 8.27 | 0.43 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 2.76 | 0.69 | -21.51 | 10.71 | -38.99 | 7.78 | 0.46 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 2.74 | 19.69 | -30.82 | 7.96 | -43.36 | 6.25 | 0.57 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 2.29 | 85.7 | -41.8 | 5.22 | -48.28 | 5.22 | 0.91 | - | ||
| 2023/2 | 1.23 | -27.71 | -53.66 | 2.93 | -52.4 | 4.54 | 1.05 | 由於歐美市場持續調整庫存,外加去年基期較高所致 | ||
| 2023/1 | 1.7 | 6.18 | -51.44 | 1.7 | -51.44 | 5.21 | 0.91 | 去年因疫情影響致出貨遞延,今年受全球景氣影響需求不振所致 | ||
| 2022/12 | 1.6 | -15.65 | -64.41 | 32.79 | -9.11 | 5.25 | 0.88 | 2021年因疫情出貨遞延,基期較高 | ||
| 2022/11 | 1.9 | 9.19 | -56.21 | 31.19 | -1.22 | 5.67 | 0.81 | 因去年疫情封控大量出貨,今年歐洲客戶因經濟環境不佳,下半年持續調整庫存,致營收下滑 | ||
| 2022/10 | 1.74 | -14.0 | -47.79 | 29.29 | 7.54 | 5.89 | 0.78 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 2.03 | -4.59 | -37.25 | 27.55 | 15.27 | 6.86 | 0.72 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 2.12 | -21.8 | -24.37 | 25.52 | 23.47 | 7.96 | 0.62 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 2.71 | -13.09 | 22.55 | 23.4 | 30.99 | 9.35 | 0.53 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 3.12 | -11.02 | 44.28 | 20.68 | 32.19 | 10.59 | 0.5 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 3.51 | -11.25 | 14.5 | 17.56 | 30.25 | 11.39 | 0.46 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 3.96 | 0.69 | 29.2 | 14.05 | 34.88 | 10.54 | 0.5 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 3.93 | 47.84 | 24.76 | 10.09 | 37.25 | 10.09 | 0.66 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 2.66 | -24.25 | 68.16 | 6.16 | 46.59 | 10.67 | 0.62 | 去年２月因新冠疫情影響，營收大幅下降。本月則無此情形 | ||
| 2022/1 | 3.51 | -22.18 | 33.61 | 3.51 | 33.61 | 12.36 | 0.54 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 4.51 | 3.8 | 81.59 | 36.08 | 25.19 | 12.19 | 0.52 | 較去年同月遽增,係因銷售額成長及塞港未能出貨之商品,已陸續出貨所致 | ||
| 2021/11 | 4.34 | 30.18 | 77.73 | 31.57 | 19.88 | 10.91 | 0.58 | 較去年同月遽增,係因銷售額成長及塞港未能出貨之商品,已陸續出貨所致 | ||
| 2021/10 | 3.34 | 3.35 | 50.9 | 27.23 | 13.96 | 9.37 | 0.67 | 本月較去年同月遽增,係因塞港未能出貨之商品,已陸續出貨所致 | ||
| 2021/9 | 3.23 | 14.98 | 19.04 | 23.9 | 10.19 | 8.25 | 0.81 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 2.81 | 26.72 | 4.95 | 20.67 | 8.93 | 7.19 | 0.93 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 2.21 | 2.31 | -14.88 | 17.86 | 9.58 | 7.45 | 0.89 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 2.16 | -29.38 | -16.3 | 15.65 | 14.23 | 8.29 | 0.74 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 3.07 | 0.13 | 27.44 | 13.48 | 21.34 | 9.28 | 0.66 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 3.06 | -2.75 | 28.51 | 10.42 | 19.66 | 7.79 | 0.79 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 3.15 | 99.27 | 7.59 | 7.35 | 16.32 | 7.35 | 0.66 | - | ||
| 2021/2 | 1.58 | -39.81 | 132.89 | 4.21 | 23.84 | 6.69 | 0.72 | 主要係因去年受COVID-19影響，工廠停工營收大減，本年度無此情形。 | ||
| 2021/1 | 2.63 | 5.76 | -3.38 | 2.63 | -3.38 | 7.55 | 0.64 | - | ||
| 2020/12 | 2.48 | 1.59 | -19.41 | 28.82 | -16.87 | 7.14 | 0.6 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 2.44 | 10.54 | -14.1 | 26.34 | -16.63 | 7.36 | 0.59 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 2.21 | -18.46 | -15.17 | 23.89 | -16.88 | 7.6 | 0.57 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 2.71 | 1.37 | -4.3 | 21.68 | -17.05 | 7.99 | 0.44 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 2.67 | 2.77 | 6.27 | 18.97 | -18.6 | 7.86 | 0.44 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | -12.02 | 16.3 | -21.61 | 7.59 | 0.46 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 2.59 | 7.52 | -16.74 | 13.7 | -23.2 | 7.37 | 0.49 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 2.41 | 0.97 | -22.38 | 11.11 | -24.56 | 7.71 | 0.46 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 2.38 | -18.58 | -25.16 | 8.7 | -25.14 | 5.99 | 0.6 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 2.93 | 331.31 | -4.7 | 6.32 | -25.13 | 6.32 | 0.66 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 0.68 | -75.03 | -71.39 | 3.4 | -36.8 | 6.48 | 0.65 | 因受新冠肺炎疫情的影響，大陸工廠復工展延，致營收減少。 | ||
| 2020/1 | 2.72 | -11.78 | -9.46 | 2.72 | -9.46 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 3.08 | 8.28 | 5.36 | 34.67 | 16.41 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 2.33 | 2023/1 | 1.7 | 2022/1 | 3.51 | 2021/1 | 2.63 | 2020/1 | 2.72 |
| 2024/2 | 1.92 | 2023/2 | 1.23 | 2022/2 | 2.66 | 2021/2 | 1.58 | 2020/2 | 0.68 |
| 2024/3 | 3.04 | 2023/3 | 2.29 | 2022/3 | 3.93 | 2021/3 | 3.15 | 2020/3 | 2.93 |
| 2024/4 | 3.21 | 2023/4 | 2.74 | 2022/4 | 3.96 | 2021/4 | 3.06 | 2020/4 | 2.38 |
| 2024/5 | 2.83 | 2023/5 | 2.76 | 2022/5 | 3.51 | 2021/5 | 3.07 | 2020/5 | 2.41 |
| 2024/6 | 3.23 | 2023/6 | 2.78 | 2022/6 | 3.12 | 2021/6 | 2.16 | 2020/6 | 2.59 |
| 2024/7 | 3.62 | 2023/7 | 2.63 | 2022/7 | 2.71 | 2021/7 | 2.21 | 2020/7 | 2.6 |
| 2024/8 | 3.87 | 2023/8 | 2.21 | 2022/8 | 2.12 | 2021/8 | 2.81 | 2020/8 | 2.67 |
| 2024/9 | 4.01 | 2023/9 | 2.1 | 2022/9 | 2.03 | 2021/9 | 3.23 | 2020/9 | 2.71 |
| 2024/10 | 3.73 | 2023/10 | 1.8 | 2022/10 | 1.74 | 2021/10 | 3.34 | 2020/10 | 2.21 |
| 2024/11 | 3.29 | 2023/11 | 2.42 | 2022/11 | 1.9 | 2021/11 | 4.34 | 2020/11 | 2.44 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 2.37 | 2022/12 | 1.6 | 2021/12 | 4.51 | 2020/12 | 2.48 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.08 | -38.46 | -70.37 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 0.13 | 8.33 | -53.57 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.12 | -62.5 | -63.64 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.32 | 18.52 | 33.33 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.27 | -3.57 | 35.0 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 0.28 | -15.15 | 115.38 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 0.33 | 37.5 | 43.48 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 0.24 | 20.0 | 4.35 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 0.2 | 53.85 | -65.52 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.13 | -43.48 | -56.67 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.23 | 0.0 | -23.33 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.23 | -60.34 | -23.33 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 0.58 | 93.33 | 93.33 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 0.3 | 0.0 | -9.09 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 0.3 | 0.0 | -9.09 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.3 | 0.0 | -30.23 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 0.3 | -9.09 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 0.33 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 0.33 | -23.26 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 0.43 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
