玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.5226.4353.533.962.121.28N/A本月營收增加係因發行村上春樹新書所致
2024/100.4116.39-10.673.44-2.791.11N/A-
2024/90.352.912.123.03-1.610.981.48-
2024/80.3420.442.32.68-2.080.991.46-
2024/70.28-21.47-28.252.34-2.70.941.54-
2024/60.3622.7239.62.052.360.961.46-
2024/50.3-0.68-18.391.69-3.180.981.43-
2024/40.3-22.34-20.791.390.81.031.36-
2024/30.389.92-0.321.18.861.11.31-
2024/20.35-4.0526.210.7114.551.11.3-
2024/10.36-5.675.220.365.221.091.32-
2023/120.3913.82-16.144.27-8.991.181.25-
2023/110.34-26.44-20.393.88-8.211.141.29-
2023/100.4633.065.263.54-6.851.141.3-
2023/90.353.0918.953.08-8.421.081.37-
2023/80.34-15.53-25.542.74-11.010.991.49-
2023/70.452.83.482.4-8.521.021.45-
2023/60.26-28.26-42.72.0-10.571.01.43-
2023/50.36-3.5911.031.74-2.431.121.27-
2023/40.38-2.2816.461.38-5.431.041.38-
2023/30.3839.19-2.471.01-11.641.011.4-
2023/20.28-20.0-10.640.62-16.491.081.3-
2023/10.35-24.83-20.650.35-20.651.231.15-
2022/120.468.05-4.574.696.261.321.06-
2022/110.43-2.73-2.24.237.591.151.21-
2022/100.4450.385.263.88.811.181.19-
2022/90.29-35.470.043.379.291.121.25-
2022/80.4517.4-8.193.0810.261.291.09-
2022/70.38-15.398.162.6314.191.161.21-
2022/60.4539.0184.192.2415.31.11.24去年同期因新冠疫情影響, 致營收銳減
2022/50.331.12-8.031.790.191.041.31-
2022/40.32-18.17-5.151.462.231.031.34-
2022/30.3927.53-17.341.144.541.141.22-
2022/20.31-28.961.790.7421.611.231.13-
2022/10.44-9.641.130.4441.131.351.03-
2021/120.4810.7426.324.412.71.331.03-
2021/110.434.75.263.930.41.141.2-
2021/100.4242.914.743.5-0.161.21.14-
2021/90.29-40.78-29.83.08-0.791.141.22-
2021/80.4938.3232.172.793.661.011.38-
2021/70.35122.2921.692.3-0.890.871.6-
2021/60.16-55.01-54.741.94-4.130.851.65因新冠疫情影響,本月營收銳減
2021/50.354.2912.911.786.511.171.2-
2021/40.34-28.69-12.671.435.031.121.26-
2021/30.4857.0745.941.0912.141.091.21-
2021/20.3-1.5115.70.61-5.00.991.33-
2021/10.31-19.08-19.230.31-19.231.11.2-
2020/120.38-7.72-2.324.30.421.191.16-
2020/110.414.1713.283.910.691.221.13-
2020/100.4-4.2241.253.5-0.61.181.17-
2020/90.4111.4928.593.1-4.221.081.32-
2020/80.3727.3621.72.69-7.841.021.4-
2020/70.29-17.34-5.512.32-11.290.961.48-
2020/60.3512.2311.222.03-12.061.061.33-
2020/50.31-19.34-38.151.68-15.781.031.37-
2020/40.3919.1714.451.36-8.10.981.44-
2020/30.3324.52-13.530.97-14.830.971.48-
2020/20.26-31.25-5.630.64-15.481.031.39-
2020/10.38-2.13-21.140.38-21.140.0N/A-
2019/120.397.024.994.281.370.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.362023/10.352022/10.442021/10.312020/10.38
2024/20.352023/20.282022/20.312021/20.32020/20.26
2024/30.382023/30.382022/30.392021/30.482020/30.33
2024/40.32023/40.382022/40.322021/40.342020/40.39
2024/50.32023/50.362022/50.332021/50.352020/50.31
2024/60.362023/60.262022/60.452021/60.162020/60.35
2024/70.282023/70.42022/70.382021/70.352020/70.29
2024/80.342023/80.342022/80.452021/80.492020/80.37
2024/90.352023/90.352022/90.292021/90.292020/90.41
2024/100.412023/100.462022/100.442021/100.422020/100.4
2024/110.522023/110.342022/110.432021/110.432020/110.41
N/AN/A2023/120.392022/120.462021/120.482020/120.38
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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