玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)720.00.0-0.40-178.43-200.0-0.14-16.6717.650.27-60.29-59.70.36-23.471.43-4.10-132.1862.25-39.91-152.7537.62-85.07-210.98-164.17-0.14-100.00.0-0.29-178.38-200.0-92.50-211.88-171.42-85.07-210.98-164.1728.6820.1610.09
24Q2 (19)720.00.00.51218.75737.5-0.1236.84-71.430.68325.0151.850.4780.77-29.8512.74208.06-36.14-15.7973.17-1061.0376.6589.07834.2-0.0756.25-600.00.37208.33716.6782.68116.552902.7176.6589.07834.242.38259.3823.18
24Q1 (18)720.00.00.16300.0-55.56-0.199.52-375.00.16-77.46-55.560.264.0-44.68-11.79-355.21-161.21-58.850.88-649.6840.54522.73-24.45-0.16-6.67-300.00.12300.0-53.8538.18245.21-30.3340.54522.73-24.4511.53105.00-7.01
23Q4 (17)720.00.00.04-90.0150.0-0.21-23.53-200.00.715.971083.330.2519.05-28.57-2.5976.15-107.14-59.377.21-125.46.51-95.09131.8-0.15-7.14-66.670.03-89.66150.011.06-91.46139.716.51-95.09131.8-24.80255.00-83.20
23Q3 (16)720.00.00.40600.03900.0-0.17-142.86-54.550.67148.15378.570.21-68.66-69.57-10.86-154.44-155.84-63.98-4604.41-1548.97132.581369.9218773.24-0.14-1300.0-366.670.29583.332800.0129.524490.511395.61132.581369.9218773.24-13.05238.89-108.93
23Q2 (15)720.00.0-0.08-122.2266.67-0.07-75.012.50.27-25.0107.690.6742.5521.8219.953.5841.59-1.3682.6882.61-10.44-119.4667.31-0.0175.075.0-0.06-123.0864.71-2.95-105.3889.28-10.44-119.4667.3138.42213.89-16.07
23Q1 (14)720.00.00.36550.0-2.7-0.0442.8666.670.36500.0-2.70.4734.29-9.6219.26-46.87239.08-7.8570.251.5153.66362.143.71-0.0455.5650.00.26533.33-3.754.80296.772.5853.66362.143.71-7.50-175.0039.61
22Q4 (13)720.00.0-0.08-900.0-60.0-0.0736.3653.330.06-57.14107.590.35-49.28-27.0836.2586.381885.71-26.34-578.877.32-20.47-2783.1-144.86-0.09-200.035.71-0.06-700.0-50.0-27.85-421.59-102.99-20.47-2783.1-144.86-11.92-397.92-0.57
22Q3 (12)720.00.00.01104.17102.78-0.11-37.547.620.147.69118.920.6925.45115.6219.4538.04242.6-3.8850.3893.42-0.7197.7899.15-0.0325.084.210.01105.88103.858.66131.47109.09-0.7197.7899.1515.61-30.35-2.09
22Q2 (11)720.00.0-0.24-164.8620.0-0.0833.3366.670.13-64.86135.140.555.77103.714.09148.06140.17-7.8251.791.08-31.94-161.7361.49-0.0450.082.61-0.17-162.9622.73-27.52-151.5273.72-31.94-161.7361.497.05337.5726.66
22Q1 (10)720.00.00.37840.0628.57-0.1220.033.330.37146.84628.570.528.33160.05.68379.837.53-16.1943.0375.9451.74718.9309.14-0.0842.8638.460.27775.0640.053.42489.36315.2351.74718.9309.1429.16463.0624.29
21Q4 (9)720.00.0-0.0586.11-162.5-0.1528.570-0.79-6.76-1480.00.4850.0-28.36-2.0385.12-110.76-28.4251.82-359.87-8.3689.95-199.64-0.1426.32-250.0-0.0484.62-166.67-13.7285.6-619.7-8.3689.95-199.6434.2633.0520.54
21Q3 (8)720.00.0-0.36-20.00-0.2112.5-23.53-0.74-100.0-469.230.3218.52-60.49-13.6461.12-214.62-58.9932.73-638.3-83.16-0.27-25300.0-0.1917.39-171.43-0.26-18.180-95.269.02-1600.16-83.16-0.27-25300.026.76-174.28-10.41
21Q2 (7)720.00.0-0.30-328.57-275.0-0.24-33.33-140.0-0.37-428.57-184.620.2735.0-61.97-35.08-949.39-516.13-87.69-30.32-610.62-82.94-235.25-913.94-0.23-76.92-155.56-0.22-340.0-266.67-104.71-321.88-846.75-82.94-235.25-913.94-17.58-258.03-16.66
21Q1 (6)720.00.0-0.07-187.5-40.0-0.180-20.0-0.07-40.0-40.00.2-70.15-68.754.13-78.1-26.25-67.29-988.83-274.04-24.74-394.87-344.96-0.13-225.0-8.33-0.05-183.33-25.0-24.82-1040.15-250.56-24.74-394.87-344.96-43.72-93.7550.00
20Q4 (5)720.01.410.080144.440.00100.0100.0-0.0561.5475.00.67-17.28-8.2218.8658.4997.69-6.1822.6522.178.392442.42147.7-0.0442.8633.330.060146.152.64-58.43112.98.392442.42147.7--0.00
20Q3 (4)720.00.00.00100.00.0-0.17-70.00.0-0.130.00.00.8114.080.011.9041.160.0-7.9935.250.00.33104.030.0-0.0722.220.00100.00.06.35157.410.00.33104.030.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)720.00.0-0.08-60.00.0-0.1033.330.0-0.13-160.00.00.7110.940.08.4350.540.0-12.3431.410.0-8.18-47.120.0-0.0925.00.0-0.06-50.00.0-11.06-56.210.0-8.18-47.120.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)721.410.0-0.0572.220.0-0.15-150.00.0-0.0575.00.00.64-12.330.05.60-41.30.0-17.99-126.570.0-5.5668.390.0-0.12-100.00.0-0.0469.230.0-7.0865.410.0-5.5668.390.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)710.00.0-0.180.00.0-0.060.00.0-0.200.00.00.730.00.09.540.00.0-7.940.00.0-17.590.00.0-0.060.00.0-0.130.00.0-20.470.00.0-17.590.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.1215.5337.191.21-15.50.26N/A-
2024/90.1160.6627.131.09-18.840.362.32-
2024/80.04-82.48-33.040.99-21.730.362.31-
2024/70.22117.8197.450.95-21.180.451.85營收差異係因8月訂單提前於7月交貨的緣故
2024/60.1-22.03-16.250.73-35.550.472.16-
2024/50.13-44.548.830.63-37.870.442.28-
2024/40.24208.52-45.060.5-44.140.412.49-
2024/30.08-18.55-50.430.26-43.290.264.32國外訂單需求減緩 , 接單量減少
2024/20.090.53-41.320.19-39.760.284.15-
2024/10.096.36-38.10.09-38.10.264.41-
2023/120.0913.48118.731.6-24.580.254.51上季韓國客戶轉單延後交期於本月出貨
2023/110.08-9.41-35.951.51-27.350.244.66-
2023/100.097.05-55.851.43-26.820.225.06大環境不佳訂單減少
2023/90.0837.28-15.961.35-23.640.215.69-
2023/80.06-22.2-81.551.27-24.070.254.75訂單減少影響營收
2023/70.07-38.68-73.681.21-10.720.323.82因韓國當地車輛銷售情況不如預期,加上韓國目前匯率較差,提車時間往後挪
2023/60.121.33-2.171.145.910.671.88-
2023/50.12-72.0-41.141.016.980.71.79-
2023/40.43178.4194.320.8920.180.741.69營收差異主要是因國外客戶出貨時程提前所致(原8~9月出貨提前至4月)金額約1,900萬
2023/30.15-3.58-13.870.47-11.110.473.05-
2023/20.166.04347.590.31-9.680.354.05去年同期適逢農曆春節,工作天數減少,今年同期營運狀況正常
2023/10.15275.9-51.080.15-51.080.314.55營收差異主要為去年同期收入加計了前期遞延約16,989仟元
2022/120.04-66.77219.252.1268.10.353.13農搬車有補助,提升銷售量
2022/110.12-37.564.582.0866.580.412.71疫情趨緩,營運逐步恢復正常,今年營收較去年成長
2022/100.19103.81-45.071.9672.890.61.84疫情趨緩,營運逐步恢復正常,加之農搬車受補助銷量增
2022/90.09-69.87149.821.77126.050.691.43去年因疫情影響加上傳統淡季訂單量減少
2022/80.3211.02490.361.67124.840.721.37國外客戶科威特BS成車出貨,挹注營收增加約2,460萬
2022/70.28127.9125.81.3696.580.611.62因疫情影響去年訂單量減少,現今狀況趨緩,營運逐步恢復正常
2022/60.12-39.0334.171.07130.940.552.13去年疫情影響訂單減少,今年電動車開始量產,訂單略增
2022/50.2-7.58133.340.95155.090.61.94去年因疫情影響訂單減少,今年逐漸回復正常狀態
2022/40.2223.39157.660.74161.780.442.68電動車開始銷售,韓國訂單增加.加拿大訂單略增
2022/30.18401.03586.880.52163.560.522.52因接獲韓國及英國訂單揖注3月營收,以及上月加拿大訂單因船期延至3月出貨,故營收增加
2022/20.04-88.41-23.00.3499.570.363.7年營收較去年度增加之因素,係因上年度訂單遞延所致
2022/10.312353.61144.710.31144.710.443.02營收差異原因:主要為去年12月銷貨,因船期異動而遞延之收入
2021/120.01-89.11-90.161.26-55.720.482.73國際缺櫃船班延誤影響銷售 , 部份營收遞延至明年1月
2021/110.12-67.213.111.25-54.10.512.59因韓國認證時程延遲,以及疫情和物料上漲等因素,致成本增加銷售緩慢影響營收
2021/100.35827.03-17.141.13-56.550.442.95受歐盟環保法規規範影響,韓國訂單較去年減少,另國內經銷商合約到期新約尚在簽訂中
2021/90.04-28.8-84.10.78-64.220.324.17因船期延誤 , 嚴重影響出貨 , 大部份營收遞延於次月認列
2021/80.05-76.34-85.010.74-61.780.373.55國外客戶油車尚在測試歐盟法規的標準,而電動車現正進行防水改善,故訂單出貨延遲至10月
2021/70.23143.06-6.460.69-56.580.413.25歐盟法規尚在測試排污階段,電動車認證已完成,因客人提出防水改善要求及國內農機補助延後等因素,訂單量遞減影響營收
2021/60.096.02-49.210.46-65.540.274.7因國內政府農機補助款補助時程延後,客戶推遲訂單 . 及外銷貨物仍受船期與貨櫃減少之影響,故營收與去年同期相比,較為減少
2021/50.092.05-59.130.37-68.10.26.27因受疫情影響 , 致使農機補助時程延後 , 以及外銷仍受船期與貨櫃減少之影響 , 故本月營收較去年同期減少50%以上
2021/40.09228.96-72.320.28-70.120.167.9因國內農搬車政府補助政策時程延至7月,及歐美港口壅塞和蘇伊士運河事件影響 , 貨櫃短缺艙位難訂 ,導致訂單減少及出貨時間延後
2021/30.03-43.83-82.930.2-69.060.26.35原料供應商產能滿載備料不及,造成缺料影響產能!另韓國電動車法規認証尚在進行中,延後交貨
2021/20.05-63.16-83.580.17-64.730.34.2因適逢春節連假生產天數減少,以及原料供應商產能滿載備料不及,造成缺料影響產能!另韓國EURO5法規認証尚未通過,延後交貨
2021/10.13-1.39-38.890.13-38.890.373.44-
2020/120.1314.1395.632.85-5.340.661.65上月訂單延後至本月出貨
2020/110.11-73.65-53.62.72-7.580.781.42因政府提供農搬車補助款補助期限到期 , 市場需求量減少 , 影響出貨訂單量
2020/100.4377.8237.482.61-3.471.021.08-
2020/90.24-32.8514.732.18-8.760.841.42-
2020/80.3647.63190.821.95-11.00.781.53本期營收差異係因疫情影響客戶延後出貨 , 及去年同期客戶調整出貨訂單之故
2020/70.2431.98-11.471.59-22.970.641.87-
2020/60.18-14.68-22.331.35-24.720.711.6-
2020/50.21-30.89-46.371.17-25.080.681.67-
2020/40.31102.91-6.150.95-17.730.751.52-
2020/30.15-45.98-6.840.64-22.360.641.87-
2020/20.2837.0998.910.49-26.190.552.16因109年1月春節出貨遞延至2月,且今年2月工作天數較108年同期增加5天約33.3%
2020/10.21215.68-60.370.21-60.370.512.34今年因農曆春節關係,生產出貨天數減少約三成, 部分出貨調整在2月出貨
2019/120.07-72.93-53.03.011.420.0N/A第四季為傳統淡季,外銷客戶聖誔節出貨天數少,於12月調節出貨,第四季全季61百萬優於去年同期53百萬
2019/110.24-21.9327.052.954.090.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)720.00.711083.33-0.4901.6-24.5312.13-30.57-20.65029.853496.39-0.3300.54500.00.52940.0
2022 (9)720.00.060-0.4002.1268.2517.470-11.6900.830-0.2500.0900.050
2021 (8)720.0-0.790-0.7801.26-55.48-10.950-54.710-45.450-0.690-0.70-0.570
2020 (7)721.41-0.050-0.3902.83-5.9811.241.72-10.920-1.230-0.310-0.050-0.030
2019 (6)712.9-0.200-0.3203.011.3511.05-13.06-8.740-4.650-0.260-0.170-0.140
2018 (5)690.00.110-0.1402.97-2.6212.716.63-4.8102.600-0.1400.0400.080
2017 (4)69-4.17-0.240-0.1503.05-19.3111.92-0.17-5.160-5.470-0.160-0.220-0.170
2016 (3)720.0-0.0600.03200.03.78-9.3511.94-0.17-0.620-1.130-0.020-0.080-0.040
2015 (2)720.00.11-50.00.010.04.17-11.4611.96-9.460.10-95.391.97-42.57000.08-69.230.08-50.0
2014 (1)72-1.370.22-8.330.0104.7112.4113.2102.1703.4300.100.2636.840.16-11.11

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