玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.92-31.89-6.5870.89-3.2521.09N/A-
2024/97.23-19.02-0.2565.97-2.9924.680.61-
2024/88.934.83-0.9658.73-3.3225.120.59-
2024/78.5211.07-3.2849.8-3.7324.20.62-
2024/67.67-4.29-0.0841.29-3.8221.990.74-
2024/58.0127.024.5533.62-4.6420.310.8-
2024/46.315.34-22.8625.6-7.1918.090.89-
2024/35.993.29-6.6119.3-0.5919.30.85-
2024/25.8-22.81-20.1113.312.3719.090.86-
2024/17.5129.7630.87.5130.818.280.9-
2023/125.7916.06-9.284.05-4.2116.051.05-
2023/114.99-5.41-7.2578.26-3.8217.510.96-
2023/105.27-27.27-7.8773.27-3.5821.540.78-
2023/97.25-19.6-14.1968.0-3.2325.070.69-
2023/89.022.37-7.7660.75-1.7325.50.67-
2023/78.8114.75-6.4751.74-0.5924.150.71-
2023/67.680.14-8.8942.930.6923.520.9-
2023/57.66-6.28-2.3935.253.0622.250.95-
2023/48.1827.5414.5727.594.6821.850.97-
2023/36.41-11.63-8.2919.411.0119.411.13-
2023/27.2626.3826.913.06.3319.371.13-
2023/15.74-9.92-11.745.74-11.7417.491.26-
2022/126.3718.55-7.9987.751.1417.471.2-
2022/115.38-6.04-2.4781.371.9319.551.08-
2022/105.72-32.26-6.3776.02.2623.950.88-
2022/98.45-13.571.1770.273.0327.640.73-
2022/89.783.7921.8461.823.2927.620.74-
2022/79.4211.792.9452.050.4225.690.79-
2022/68.427.282.1242.63-0.1123.411.01-
2022/57.8510.01-5.0834.21-0.6421.981.08-
2022/47.142.08-7.5926.350.7519.851.19-
2022/36.9922.27-3.0719.224.2519.221.26-
2022/25.72-12.15.2112.228.9619.151.27-
2022/16.51-6.112.496.5112.4918.951.28-
2021/126.9325.6623.8586.7519.5318.551.1-
2021/115.51-9.819.4679.8319.1719.981.02-
2021/106.11-26.829.6774.3119.1522.490.91-
2021/98.354.0819.1868.218.2925.520.76-
2021/88.02-12.2911.0559.8518.1725.420.77-
2021/79.1510.911.5551.8319.3525.670.76-
2021/68.25-0.298.042.6821.1724.250.74-
2021/58.277.0922.9434.4324.8123.210.77-
2021/47.727.0810.4626.1625.4220.370.88-
2021/37.2132.7334.5418.4332.9618.430.93-
2021/25.43-6.0119.0111.2231.9716.811.02-
2021/15.783.3747.015.7847.0115.991.07-
2020/125.5921.2-17.1572.58-9.9614.921.07-
2020/114.62-2.09-8.366.98-9.316.340.98-
2020/104.71-32.72-12.7962.37-9.3818.950.84-
2020/97.01-3.013.8557.65-9.0822.430.72-
2020/87.22-11.97.6450.65-10.6223.060.7-
2020/78.27.36-3.0843.42-13.0822.570.71-
2020/67.6413.5-7.3535.22-15.1221.360.81-
2020/56.73-3.77-7.0727.58-17.0519.080.9-
2020/46.9930.436.9820.85-19.8216.921.02-
2020/35.3617.41-21.8313.86-28.8213.861.25-
2020/24.5716.09-13.98.5-32.6215.251.14-
2020/13.93-41.74-46.23.93-46.215.721.11-
2019/126.7534.1540.2780.6113.010.0N/A-
2019/115.03-6.8924.6473.8611.040.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.512023/15.742022/16.512021/15.782020/13.93
2024/25.82023/27.262022/25.722021/25.432020/24.57
2024/35.992023/36.412022/36.992021/37.212020/35.36
2024/46.312023/48.182022/47.142021/47.722020/46.99
2024/58.012023/57.662022/57.852021/58.272020/56.73
2024/67.672023/67.682022/68.422021/68.252020/67.64
2024/78.522023/78.812022/79.422021/79.152020/78.2
2024/88.932023/89.022022/89.782021/88.022020/87.22
2024/97.232023/97.252022/98.452021/98.352020/97.01
2024/104.922023/105.272022/105.722021/106.112020/104.71
N/AN/A2023/114.992022/115.382021/115.512020/114.62
N/AN/A2023/125.792022/126.372021/126.932020/125.59
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.36%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.33-22.22-31.44
24Q2 (19)1.7113.25-24.34
24Q1 (18)1.51-16.11-32.59
23Q4 (17)1.8-7.2210.43
23Q3 (16)1.94-14.16-19.17
23Q2 (15)2.260.89-16.61
23Q1 (14)2.2437.42-19.13
22Q4 (13)1.63-32.08-29.13
22Q3 (12)2.4-11.4420.6
22Q2 (11)2.71-2.1713.39
22Q1 (10)2.7720.4345.03
21Q4 (9)2.315.5849.35
21Q3 (8)1.99-16.7437.24
21Q2 (7)2.3925.1326.46
21Q1 (6)1.9124.0349.22
20Q4 (5)1.546.215.48
20Q3 (4)1.45-23.280.0
20Q2 (3)1.8947.660.0
20Q1 (2)1.28-12.330.0
19Q4 (1)1.460.00.0

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