玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/114.51-13.938.9149.4518.0214.92N/A-
2024/105.231.021.7344.9419.0115.58N/A-
2024/95.180.2535.5539.7121.7415.640.72-
2024/85.17-2.397.2134.5219.9115.250.74-
2024/75.2910.6115.1529.3622.4614.340.79-
2024/64.7912.4840.2924.0624.1912.880.79-
2024/54.2610.8325.4719.2720.7512.310.82-
2024/43.84-8.8613.8515.0219.4811.190.91-
2024/34.2134.0840.8811.1821.5411.180.88-
2024/23.14-17.8327.766.9712.2310.490.94-
2024/13.828.562.043.822.0411.480.85-
2023/123.52-14.84-16.7345.42-14.0912.80.71-
2023/114.14-19.624.0141.9-13.8613.10.69-
2023/105.1534.6113.5837.76-16.6513.790.66-
2023/93.82-20.7-10.5332.61-20.0113.240.68-
2023/84.824.8315.9128.79-21.1212.830.7-
2023/74.634.75-2.6523.97-25.8811.40.78-
2023/63.410.6-37.7419.37-29.8610.180.84-
2023/53.390.56-43.515.96-27.99.750.87-
2023/43.3712.76-20.9212.57-22.18.820.96-
2023/32.9921.59-30.559.2-22.529.21.01-
2023/22.46-34.37-28.786.21-17.9510.440.89-
2023/13.75-11.41-8.863.75-8.8611.310.82-
2022/124.2326.82-8.0452.876.3912.10.79-
2022/113.34-26.37-24.1248.647.8612.140.79-
2022/104.536.024.3145.3111.3212.960.74-
2022/94.272.7552.2240.7812.1613.150.69本期較去年同期增加原因係訂單及船期較為回穩所致
2022/84.16-11.95-2.9336.58.8114.360.63-
2022/74.72-13.82-5.3832.3410.5316.210.56-
2022/65.48-8.723.0427.6213.815.750.56-
2022/56.040.7675.4822.1411.7214.570.6本期較去年同期增加原因係訂單及船期較為回穩所致
2022/44.27-0.95-4.3316.14-1.5712.020.73-
2022/34.3124.693.3611.87-0.5411.870.76-
2022/23.45-16.026.767.57-2.6412.170.74-
2022/14.11-10.61-9.354.11-9.3513.110.69-
2021/124.64.65-19.1349.69-18.4613.340.67-
2021/114.41.21-9.7345.09-18.3911.550.77-
2021/104.3454.73-31.6640.7-19.2311.430.78-
2021/92.81-34.48-61.3536.35-17.4312.080.74越南疫情及貨物塞港所致
2021/84.28-14.17-33.8233.55-8.7613.730.65-
2021/74.9912.06-29.7629.26-3.412.870.7-
2021/64.4530.19-23.0124.274.6712.330.79-
2021/53.42-23.25-30.6619.8213.8812.050.81-
2021/44.467.0138.8616.3931.511.860.82-
2021/34.1728.823.8211.9428.9511.940.83-
2021/23.23-28.721.267.7731.8913.460.74-
2021/14.54-20.2640.674.5440.6715.10.66-
2020/125.6916.8216.7660.957.5316.920.54-
2020/114.87-23.37-2.8955.266.6718.490.49-
2020/106.36-12.4825.750.397.6920.090.45-
2020/97.2612.1637.3944.035.5120.840.39-
2020/86.47-8.937.3636.770.8819.370.42-
2020/77.1122.8450.3730.29-4.5217.830.45本月較去年同期增加50.38%,主要係因客戶需求增加及本期新產品訂單較去年同期增加所致
2020/65.7917.2630.4623.19-14.1313.930.53-
2020/54.9353.68-13.2917.4-22.911.510.64-
2020/43.21-4.57-42.8412.47-26.149.240.79-
2020/33.3626.14-18.619.26-17.819.260.83-
2020/22.67-17.287.55.89-17.3410.760.72-
2020/13.22-33.81-30.63.22-30.60.0N/A-
2019/124.87-2.8415.0656.6726.020.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.822023/13.752022/14.112021/14.542020/13.22
2024/23.142023/22.462022/23.452021/23.232020/22.67
2024/34.212023/32.992022/34.312021/34.172020/33.36
2024/43.842023/43.372022/44.272021/44.462020/43.21
2024/54.262023/53.392022/56.02021/53.422020/54.93
2024/64.792023/63.412022/65.482021/64.452020/65.79
2024/75.292023/74.62022/74.722021/74.992020/77.11
2024/85.172023/84.822022/84.162021/84.282020/86.47
2024/95.182023/93.822022/94.272021/92.812020/97.26
2024/105.232023/105.152022/104.532021/104.342020/106.36
2024/114.512023/114.142022/113.342021/114.42020/114.87
N/AN/A2023/123.522022/124.232021/124.62020/125.69
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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