玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.6514.04-19.265.77-12.331.81N/A-
2024/90.57-2.83-17.425.12-11.361.950.86-
2024/80.59-25.94-40.024.55-10.541.940.86-
2024/70.7941.9434.083.96-3.521.910.87-
2024/60.56-0.8533.153.17-9.841.710.99-
2024/50.56-4.82-5.062.61-15.661.651.03-
2024/40.5920.22-15.062.05-18.171.561.09-
2024/30.494.42-17.921.46-19.371.461.19-
2024/20.47-4.68-23.50.97-20.091.541.13-
2024/10.49-13.17-16.530.49-16.531.990.88-
2023/120.57-38.28-3.068.08-14.882.30.66-
2023/110.9214.56-4.427.51-15.662.420.62-
2023/100.8116.631.986.58-17.022.480.61-
2023/90.69-29.43-39.275.78-19.132.260.76-
2023/80.9865.56-7.635.09-15.311.990.86-
2023/70.5940.95-9.024.11-16.961.61.07-
2023/60.42-29.31-59.393.52-18.161.710.97112/6營收減少,主要係子公司INNOVA與Amazon尚在洽談合約條件及Amazon尚在去化庫存,故Amazon減少下單,致使營收衰退
2023/50.59-14.84-14.933.1-5.121.890.88-
2023/40.716.16-19.672.51-2.461.910.87-
2023/30.6-2.67-0.481.816.311.810.95-
2023/20.624.031.441.2110.051.80.96-
2023/10.590.83-5.870.59-5.872.150.8-
2022/120.59-39.14-30.929.49-4.352.340.61-
2022/110.9722.246.398.9-1.852.890.49-
2022/100.79-30.551.027.94-2.772.990.48-
2022/91.147.3411.687.15-3.182.850.54-
2022/81.0663.07-1.266.01-5.552.740.57-
2022/70.65-37.08-30.264.95-6.432.380.65-
2022/61.0348.0675.124.3-1.332.60.52係因各國放寬對新冠肺炎之管制措施,致使消費者購買意願增加,故本月營收較去年同期成長
2022/50.7-19.5913.973.27-13.32.170.62-
2022/40.8743.9317.242.57-18.591.940.69-
2022/30.628.55-34.731.7-29.571.70.82-
2022/20.47-25.52-50.191.1-26.371.950.72係因新冠肺炎疫情的影響,致使國外市場需求減少
2022/10.63-25.9914.330.6314.332.390.59-
2021/120.85-6.2769.129.9295.282.540.41因國內外市場需求增加,且自110/01/08起新增1家子公司,以致本月營收增加達50%以上
2021/110.9116.0772.669.0798.152.710.39因國外市場需求增加,且自110/01/08起新增1家子公司,以致本月營收增加達50%以上
2021/100.78-23.2273.868.16101.462.870.37因國外市場需求增加,且自110/01/08起新增1家子公司,以致本月營收增加達50%以上
2021/91.02-5.0994.517.38104.913.020.42因國外市場需求增加,且自110/01/08起新增1家子公司,以致本月營收增加達50%以上
2021/81.0715.17129.846.36106.672.590.49因國外市場需求增加,且自110/01/08起新增1家子公司,以致本月營收增加達50%以上
2021/70.9358.088.735.29102.532.130.6係因自1/8起新增1家子公司,以致本年營收增加達50%以上
2021/60.59-3.6330.854.36105.751.940.65係因自1/8起新增1家子公司,以致本年營收增加達50%以上
2021/50.61-17.2956.943.77126.02.280.55係因國外市場需求增加,且自1/8起新增1家子公司,以致本月營收增加達50%以上
2021/40.74-19.8782.923.16147.082.60.48係因國內外市場需求增加,且自1/8起新增1家子公司,以致本月營收增加達50%以上
2021/30.92-1.88184.162.42176.832.420.5係因國內外市場需求增加,且自1/8起新增1家子公司,以致本月營收增加達50%以上
2021/20.9470.95254.931.49172.481.990.61係因自1/8起新增1家子公司,以致本月營收增加達50%以上
2021/10.559.4695.030.5595.031.580.77係因國內外市場需求增加,且自1/8起新增1家子公司,以致本月營收增加達95.03%
2020/120.5-4.341.685.0823.911.480.51-
2020/110.5316.8742.234.5822.221.50.51-
2020/100.45-14.130.074.0520.031.440.53-
2020/90.5212.1489.463.618.891.480.65係因國內外市場需求增加,以致本月營收增加達89.46%
2020/80.47-5.4234.253.0811.81.410.69-
2020/70.499.5428.162.618.561.330.73-
2020/60.4515.5766.772.124.821.250.78係因國內外市場需求增加,以致本月營收增加達66.77%
2020/50.39-3.6-5.471.67-4.741.120.87-
2020/40.424.465.381.28-4.510.990.98-
2020/30.3322.54-5.710.87-8.490.871.31-
2020/20.27-6.06-11.390.55-10.070.91.26-
2020/10.28-20.47-8.790.28-8.791.011.13-
2019/120.36-3.93-12.334.1-16.10.0N/A-
2019/110.376.87-17.093.74-16.440.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.492023/10.592022/10.632021/10.552020/10.28
2024/20.472023/20.622022/20.472021/20.942020/20.27
2024/30.492023/30.62022/30.62021/30.922020/30.33
2024/40.592023/40.72022/40.872021/40.742020/40.4
2024/50.562023/50.592022/50.72021/50.612020/50.39
2024/60.562023/60.422022/61.032021/60.592020/60.45
2024/70.792023/70.592022/70.652021/70.932020/70.49
2024/80.592023/80.982022/81.062021/81.072020/80.47
2024/90.572023/90.692022/91.142021/91.022020/90.52
2024/100.652023/100.812022/100.792021/100.782020/100.45
N/AN/A2023/110.922022/110.972021/110.912020/110.53
N/AN/A2023/120.572022/120.592021/120.852020/120.5
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.08%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.07-12.5-22.22
24Q2 (19)0.080.0-11.11
24Q1 (18)0.080.0-20.0
23Q4 (17)0.08-11.11-11.11
23Q3 (16)0.090.012.5
23Q2 (15)0.09-10.00.0
23Q1 (14)0.111.110.0
22Q4 (13)0.0912.512.5
22Q3 (12)0.08-11.11-33.33
22Q2 (11)0.09-10.0-18.18
22Q1 (10)0.125.042.86
21Q4 (9)0.08-33.33-20.0
21Q3 (8)0.129.0950.0
21Q2 (7)0.1157.1457.14
21Q1 (6)0.07-30.040.0
20Q4 (5)0.125.0100.0
20Q3 (4)0.0814.290.0
20Q2 (3)0.0740.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.050.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.050.00.0

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