玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.17-63.84-74.29.09-43.821.63N/A本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2024/100.48-50.27-52.428.92-42.493.09N/A本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2024/90.97-40.6-55.088.44-41.793.0530.32本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2024/81.63268.41122.437.46-39.473.0130.71本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2024/70.44-52.38-59.945.83-49.722.2541.0本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2024/60.935.96-53.435.39-48.652.5835.41本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2024/50.8814.04-74.844.45-47.522.4337.57本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2024/40.77-1.61-79.383.58-28.43.2328.3本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2024/30.78-53.2615.112.8123.432.831.35本年累計認列建設收入較去年累計增加所致
2024/21.68386.11412.942.02251.732.6932.73本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2024/10.34-48.1339.140.3439.141.6952.14-
2023/120.66-1.718.8816.85172.962.3637.74本年累計認列建設收入較去年累計增加所致
2023/110.68-33.3157.3116.18190.983.8523.08本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2023/101.01-53.05222.815.51202.183.9122.74本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2023/92.16194.09331.6714.49200.834.022.17本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2023/80.73-33.65102.2912.33185.663.8423.1本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2023/71.11-44.64133.4611.6193.326.613.44本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2023/62.0-42.75249.1510.49201.489.239.85本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2023/53.49-6.53243.718.49192.087.9111.49本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2023/43.74449.36421.294.99164.34.7519.16本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2023/30.68108.26111.131.267.071.2664.73本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2023/20.3331.863.670.57-32.391.1968.56-
2023/10.25-59.41-53.650.25-53.651.2963.06本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2022/120.6141.99-13.656.17-73.881.3558.22本年累計認列建設收入較去年累計減少所致
2022/110.4336.83-53.815.56-75.731.2463.36本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2022/100.31-37.21-63.545.13-76.661.1866.96本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2022/90.537.82-27.274.82-77.21.3445.14本年累計認列建設收入較去年累計減少所致
2022/80.36-23.43-83.934.32-78.881.4142.83本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2022/70.47-17.21-88.953.95-78.252.0629.27本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2022/60.57-43.64-68.883.48-74.952.3120.97本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2022/51.0241.74-83.132.91-75.872.0623.52本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2022/40.72122.523.051.89-68.611.3535.7本年累計認列建設收入較去年累計減少所致
2022/30.322.26-26.681.17-78.441.1736.51本年累計認列建設收入較去年累計減少所致
2022/20.32-41.05-92.730.85-82.991.5627.49本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2022/10.53-24.38-19.120.53-19.122.1719.7-
2021/120.71-24.04-36.4823.63229.852.516.51本年累計認列建設收入較去年累計增加所致
2021/110.938.0-50.5322.93278.852.4816.63本年累計認列建設收入較去年累計增加所致
2021/100.8625.25312.0221.99427.573.8110.83本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2021/90.69-69.5481.2321.13433.687.244.72本年累計認列建設收入較去年累計增加所致
2021/82.26-47.35224.3820.44471.078.44.07本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2021/74.29133.13874.1918.18530.712.162.81本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2021/61.84-69.44637.8513.89468.718.454.34本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2021/56.03934.061577.9112.05449.467.055.2本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2021/40.5832.56-20.296.02228.375.366.84本年累計認列建設收入較去年累計增加所致
2021/30.44-89.8690.775.44393.355.447.3本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2021/24.34555.921382.895.0473.366.116.5本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2021/10.66-40.6114.140.6614.143.6610.86-
2020/121.11-40.84112.117.16-32.883.212.79本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2020/111.88799.52-41.776.05-40.382.4716.58-
2020/100.21-44.9-79.114.17-39.731.2931.87本月認列建設收入及子公司收入較去年本月減少所致
2020/90.38-45.4954.883.96-33.071.5227.97本月認列建設收入及子公司收入較去年本月增加所致
2020/80.758.11179.943.58-36.871.3930.6本月認列建設收入較去年本月增加所致
2020/70.4476.57-39.052.88-46.821.0540.44-
2020/60.25-30.52-67.062.44-48.021.3423.46本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2020/50.36-50.87-57.462.19-44.361.3223.8本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2020/40.73217.27-35.981.83-40.781.2525.07本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2020/30.23-21.19-59.161.1-43.591.126.85本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2020/20.29-49.51-63.170.87-37.271.421.19本月認列建設收入較去年本月減少所致
2020/10.5810.35-2.750.58-2.750.0N/A-
2019/120.52-83.76126.2310.68125.040.0N/A本月及本年累計認列建設收入較去年本月及去年累計增加所致
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.342023/10.252022/10.532021/10.662020/10.58
2024/21.682023/20.332022/20.322021/24.342020/20.29
2024/30.782023/30.682022/30.322021/30.442020/30.23
2024/40.772023/43.742022/40.722021/40.582020/40.73
2024/50.882023/53.492022/51.022021/56.032020/50.36
2024/60.932023/62.02022/60.572021/61.842020/60.25
2024/70.442023/71.112022/70.472021/74.292020/70.44
2024/81.632023/80.732022/80.362021/82.262020/80.7
2024/90.972023/92.162022/90.52021/90.692020/90.38
2024/100.482023/101.012022/100.312021/100.862020/100.21
2024/110.172023/110.682022/110.432021/110.932020/111.88
N/AN/A2023/120.662022/120.612021/120.712020/121.11
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 18.99%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.7843.55612.0
24Q2 (19)1.2442.53106.67
24Q1 (18)0.8764.15-48.21
23Q4 (17)0.53112.0-53.51
23Q3 (16)0.25-58.33-71.26
23Q2 (15)0.6-64.29-22.08
23Q1 (14)1.6847.37115.38
22Q4 (13)1.1431.03115.09
22Q3 (12)0.8712.9942.62
22Q2 (11)0.77-1.28-56.5
22Q1 (10)0.7847.17-72.34
21Q4 (9)0.53-13.11-76.65
21Q3 (8)0.61-65.54-67.55
21Q2 (7)1.77-37.2314.94
21Q1 (6)2.8224.2391.84
20Q4 (5)2.2720.7474.62
20Q3 (4)1.8822.080.0
20Q2 (3)1.544.760.0
20Q1 (2)1.4713.080.0
19Q4 (1)1.30.00.0

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