玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.610.9529.7826.5314.257.87N/A-
2024/92.35-19.830.6123.9212.788.360.76-
2024/82.93-5.329.8721.5814.288.610.73-
2024/73.0919.1553.6718.6515.018.330.76客戶需求增加
2024/62.59-1.8829.615.569.547.550.77-
2024/52.6414.3322.5612.976.257.420.78-
2024/42.31-6.3313.2710.332.757.250.8-
2024/32.47-0.18-19.538.010.078.010.61-
2024/22.47-19.5311.965.5512.237.430.66-
2024/13.0762.8412.453.0712.457.70.63-
2023/121.89-31.03-11.4627.84-28.956.630.82-
2023/112.7436.49-3.8225.95-29.957.070.77-
2023/102.0-13.98-4.1423.22-32.137.00.77-
2023/92.33-12.45-18.9821.21-33.957.00.69-
2023/82.6632.41-16.3618.88-35.426.670.72-
2023/72.010.49-33.9516.22-37.756.170.78-
2023/62.0-7.21-40.3914.21-38.266.20.85-
2023/52.165.67-49.9112.21-37.897.260.73-
2023/42.04-33.46-43.3810.05-34.527.320.72-
2023/33.0738.87-35.568.01-31.88.010.67-
2023/22.21-19.18-16.144.94-29.247.070.76-
2023/12.7328.2-37.172.73-37.177.710.7-
2022/122.13-25.08-34.3639.19-12.627.070.97-
2022/112.8536.04-19.8137.06-10.927.810.88-
2022/102.09-27.29-33.4234.21-10.098.150.84-
2022/92.88-9.62-20.9732.12-7.999.110.75-
2022/83.184.56-16.9529.24-6.489.590.71-
2022/73.04-9.3-29.6926.06-5.0210.710.64-
2022/63.36-22.03-19.6623.01-0.3911.270.66-
2022/54.3119.45-3.019.663.8512.670.59-
2022/43.6-24.277.3515.355.9611.00.68-
2022/34.7680.739.8211.745.5411.740.69-
2022/22.63-39.45-21.436.982.810.230.79-
2022/14.3533.9426.434.3526.4311.150.73-
2021/123.25-8.47-19.5344.8524.949.940.92-
2021/113.5512.9524.641.630.5810.330.88-
2021/103.14-13.75.138.0531.1710.620.86-
2021/93.64-5.0312.434.9134.1611.810.76-
2021/83.83-11.4720.4131.2737.2512.340.73-
2021/74.333.6443.7427.4339.9912.950.69-
2021/64.18-5.8668.3623.139.3111.980.77國外市場需求增加
2021/54.4432.255.4918.9234.1912.130.76國外市場需求增加
2021/43.36-22.5232.5114.4928.7911.040.84-
2021/34.3329.2839.5611.1327.711.130.71-
2021/23.35-2.5617.056.7921.1410.830.73-
2021/13.44-14.7525.413.4425.4110.330.76-
2020/124.0441.7230.8635.893.619.870.67-
2020/112.85-4.7220.4431.860.959.080.73-
2020/102.99-7.722.9729.01-0.629.410.71-
2020/93.241.7244.8826.02-2.779.440.56-
2020/83.185.670.2922.78-7.118.680.6-
2020/73.0121.39-3.2419.6-8.218.350.63-
2020/62.48-13.06-11.5416.58-9.067.870.64-
2020/52.8512.66-6.7714.1-8.618.490.59-
2020/42.53-18.41-19.711.25-9.078.50.59-
2020/33.118.44-2.868.71-5.428.710.58-
2020/22.864.3824.35.61-6.788.690.58-
2020/12.74-11.04-26.082.74-26.088.190.62-
2019/123.0830.44-6.0134.64-7.210.0N/A-
2019/112.36-2.72-13.1831.56-7.320.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.072023/12.732022/14.352021/13.442020/12.74
2024/22.472023/22.212022/22.632021/23.352020/22.86
2024/32.472023/33.072022/34.762021/34.332020/33.11
2024/42.312023/42.042022/43.62021/43.362020/42.53
2024/52.642023/52.162022/54.312021/54.442020/52.85
2024/62.592023/62.02022/63.362021/64.182020/62.48
2024/73.092023/72.012022/73.042021/74.332020/73.01
2024/82.932023/82.662022/83.182021/83.832020/83.18
2024/92.352023/92.332022/92.882021/93.642020/93.24
2024/102.62023/102.02022/102.092021/103.142020/102.99
N/AN/A2023/112.742022/112.852021/113.552020/112.85
N/AN/A2023/121.892022/122.132021/123.252020/124.04
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.26%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.59-22.3725.53
24Q2 (19)0.764.11100.0
24Q1 (18)0.7343.1412.31
23Q4 (17)0.518.51-13.56
23Q3 (16)0.4723.68-30.88
23Q2 (15)0.38-41.54-47.22
23Q1 (14)0.6510.17-14.47
22Q4 (13)0.59-13.24-29.76
22Q3 (12)0.68-5.56-5.56
22Q2 (11)0.72-5.2660.0
22Q1 (10)0.76-9.5268.89
21Q4 (9)0.8416.67133.33
21Q3 (8)0.7260.012.5
21Q2 (7)0.450.0-15.09
21Q1 (6)0.4525.0-10.0
20Q4 (5)0.36-43.75-49.3
20Q3 (4)0.6420.750.0
20Q2 (3)0.536.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.5-29.580.0
19Q4 (1)0.710.00.0

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