玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.916.3910.688.9319.792.55N/A-
2024/90.77-12.76-1.788.0320.92.611.82-
2024/80.88-7.811.467.2623.942.791.7-
2024/70.960.3921.376.3825.892.931.62-
2024/60.95-6.663.925.4226.722.981.35去年市場需求減少
2024/51.021.4862.294.4720.873.081.31去年市場需求減少
2024/41.01-4.1554.373.4512.372.561.58市場需求增加
2024/31.05109.492.492.441.042.441.73-
2024/20.5-43.68-40.161.39-0.022.261.87-
2024/10.891.9960.680.8960.682.61.63去年適逢春節放假日較多
2023/120.873.9214.359.16-21.572.521.82-
2023/110.843.65-1.128.29-24.082.431.88-
2023/100.813.28-2.467.45-26.022.391.92-
2023/90.78-0.9813.96.64-28.132.362.31-
2023/80.790.39-10.95.86-31.522.162.52-
2023/70.7935.57-8.775.07-33.912.02.73-
2023/60.58-7.53-42.744.28-37.11.863.42-
2023/50.63-3.46-44.723.7-36.112.312.76-
2023/40.65-36.36-36.393.07-34.02.512.53-
2023/31.0222.3-31.592.42-33.332.422.82-
2023/20.8451.23-11.781.39-34.552.153.16-
2023/10.55-27.41-52.930.55-52.932.173.14市場需求減少
2022/120.76-10.14-24.1111.69-23.442.443.23-
2022/110.852.25-23.9610.92-23.392.373.33-
2022/100.8320.62-36.0210.07-23.342.413.28-
2022/90.69-22.55-40.349.24-21.952.443.51-
2022/80.892.79-39.638.56-19.972.773.09-
2022/70.86-14.89-38.977.67-16.833.022.84-
2022/61.02-10.73-23.046.8-12.813.182.43-
2022/51.1411.08-26.135.79-10.723.662.11-
2022/41.02-31.56-21.394.65-5.913.472.23-
2022/31.557.7310.013.62-0.363.621.7-
2022/20.95-19.3-2.12.13-6.583.131.97-
2022/11.1817.01-9.91.18-9.93.31.87-
2021/121.01-9.96-20.4315.2628.873.421.39-
2021/111.12-13.96-10.7114.2634.763.571.33-
2021/101.312.4723.1413.1440.863.921.21-
2021/91.15-21.623.0711.8443.114.040.76-
2021/81.473.9132.2310.6949.384.210.73-
2021/71.427.3155.839.2252.544.280.72去年因疫情關係營收下降,本年因國際鋼價回升且市場需求增加所致
2021/61.32-14.3178.627.851.954.160.64去年因役情關係營收下降,本年因國際鋼價回升且市場需求增加所致
2021/51.5418.292.876.4847.474.210.63去年因疫情關係營收下降,本年因國際鋼價回升且市場需求增加所致
2021/41.3-4.2168.244.9437.383.630.73去年因役情關係營收下降,本年因國際鋼價回升且市場需求增加所致
2021/31.3640.3430.253.6428.93.640.76-
2021/20.97-25.73-7.752.2828.113.540.78-
2021/11.313.3380.111.3180.113.820.72去年因役情關係,適逢春節致營收下降,本年因國際鋼價回升且市場需求增加所致
2020/121.261.0319.2611.84-4.173.570.9-
2020/111.2518.6639.7710.58-6.363.420.94-
2020/101.05-5.853.959.33-10.333.290.98-
2020/91.120.548.388.28-11.873.141.34-
2020/81.1122.458.167.16-14.382.761.53-
2020/70.9123.01-12.746.04-17.542.451.72-
2020/60.74-7.48-28.185.13-18.342.312.09-
2020/50.83.11-18.344.39-16.422.621.84-
2020/40.77-25.84-34.063.6-15.982.871.68-
2020/31.04-0.6-8.882.82-9.132.821.62-
2020/21.0545.033.581.78-9.282.841.62-
2020/10.72-31.57-38.090.72-38.092.681.71-
2019/121.0618.41.5612.36-14.630.0N/A-
2019/110.89-11.73-18.3611.3-15.890.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.892023/10.552022/11.182021/11.312020/10.72
2024/20.52023/20.842022/20.952021/20.972020/21.05
2024/31.052023/31.022022/31.52021/31.362020/31.04
2024/41.012023/40.652022/41.022021/41.32020/40.77
2024/51.022023/50.632022/51.142021/51.542020/50.8
2024/60.952023/60.582022/61.022021/61.322020/60.74
2024/70.962023/70.792022/70.862021/71.422020/70.91
2024/80.882023/80.792022/80.892021/81.472020/81.11
2024/90.772023/90.782022/90.692021/91.152020/91.12
2024/100.92023/100.812022/100.832021/101.32020/101.05
N/AN/A2023/110.842022/110.852021/111.122020/111.25
N/AN/A2023/120.872022/120.762021/121.012020/121.26
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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