玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.561.091.0327.325.537.62N/A-
2024/102.540.760.724.766.027.54N/A-
2024/92.521.131.2622.226.667.520.03-
2024/82.49-1.117.9919.717.397.320.03-
2024/72.528.7410.7417.227.317.380.03-
2024/62.31-9.140.0314.76.747.320.03-
2024/52.553.698.012.388.17.40.03-
2024/42.462.644.619.848.127.070.03-
2024/32.397.95-5.257.389.357.380.03-
2024/22.22-19.8816.754.9918.097.80.03-
2024/12.77-1.6919.172.7719.178.120.03-
2023/122.8210.9212.5328.7112.287.870.04-
2023/112.540.778.825.8912.257.540.04-
2023/102.521.3213.023.3512.657.310.04-
2023/92.497.8515.6920.8312.617.060.05-
2023/82.31.48.5418.3512.26.890.05-
2023/72.27-1.775.8716.0412.756.950.05-
2023/62.31-1.919.2813.7713.977.020.05-
2023/52.360.4223.3211.4612.957.230.05-
2023/42.35-7.0219.599.110.546.770.05-
2023/32.5333.0319.016.757.716.750.05-
2023/21.9-18.2310.724.221.916.720.05-
2023/12.32-7.17-4.32.32-4.37.160.05-
2022/122.57.2511.7325.5723.387.060.05-
2022/112.334.6615.9923.0624.796.710.05-
2022/102.233.7318.9320.7325.866.50.05-
2022/92.151.1922.1118.526.756.420.05-
2022/82.12-1.0939.1716.3527.386.210.05-
2022/72.1510.6667.0814.2325.796.00.05去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響,因居家辦公以致出行需求及廣告投放大幅下降,但本年度疫情趨緩,派遣及平台等相關業務收入逐漸趨穩。
2022/61.941.4143.212.0820.55.820.06-
2022/51.91-2.617.3210.1416.966.00.05-
2022/41.96-7.476.768.2316.875.80.06-
2022/32.1223.7719.086.2620.456.260.05-
2022/21.72-29.335.154.1421.166.380.05-
2022/12.438.3835.772.4335.776.680.04-
2021/122.2411.3421.4620.724.446.120.04-
2021/112.017.3116.9918.482.695.650.05-
2021/101.876.5111.4316.471.185.160.05-
2021/91.7615.331.6214.60.04.570.07-
2021/81.5318.73-5.9512.84-0.214.170.08-
2021/71.28-5.14-23.3811.310.614.270.07-
2021/61.35-16.91-16.910.034.824.820.07-
2021/51.63-11.374.198.679.285.250.07-
2021/41.843.226.437.0410.535.250.07-
2021/31.789.2913.345.25.825.20.06-
2021/21.63-8.7510.763.422.295.260.06-
2021/11.79-3.04-4.381.79-4.385.350.06-
2020/121.847.242.1719.842.435.240.05-
2020/111.722.212.718.02.455.130.05-
2020/101.68-2.863.8816.282.435.040.05-
2020/91.736.7211.1514.62.265.030.04-
2020/81.62-3.26-4.2212.861.174.930.04-
2020/71.682.872.0711.242.04.870.04-
2020/61.634.182.579.561.994.650.06-
2020/51.567.54-4.767.931.874.590.06-
2020/41.45-7.48-4.786.373.654.50.06-
2020/31.576.792.14.916.454.910.04-
2020/21.47-21.2315.613.348.625.150.04-
2020/11.873.63.681.873.680.0N/A-
2019/121.87.7913.7119.373.90.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.772023/12.322022/12.432021/11.792020/11.87
2024/22.222023/21.92022/21.722021/21.632020/21.47
2024/32.392023/32.532022/32.122021/31.782020/31.57
2024/42.462023/42.352022/41.962021/41.842020/41.45
2024/52.552023/52.362022/51.912021/51.632020/51.56
2024/62.312023/62.312022/61.942021/61.352020/61.63
2024/72.522023/72.272022/72.152021/71.282020/71.68
2024/82.492023/82.32022/82.122021/81.532020/81.62
2024/92.522023/92.492022/92.152021/91.762020/91.73
2024/102.542023/102.522022/102.232021/101.872020/101.68
2024/112.562023/112.542022/112.332021/112.012020/111.72
N/AN/A2023/122.822022/122.52021/122.242020/121.84
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 13.84%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.82-7.870.0
24Q2 (19)0.89-2.297.78
24Q1 (18)0.9140.015.19
23Q4 (17)0.65-20.73-33.67
23Q3 (16)0.8282.2213.89
23Q2 (15)0.45-43.04-37.5
23Q1 (14)0.79-19.39-25.47
22Q4 (13)0.9836.11-25.19
22Q3 (12)0.720.0-35.71
22Q2 (11)0.72-32.08157.14
22Q1 (10)1.06-19.08171.79
21Q4 (9)1.3116.96172.92
21Q3 (8)1.12300.072.31
21Q2 (7)0.28-28.217.69
21Q1 (6)0.39-18.75-4.88
20Q4 (5)0.48-26.15-5.88
20Q3 (4)0.65150.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.26-36.590.0
20Q1 (2)0.41-19.610.0
19Q4 (1)0.510.00.0

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