玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.65-23.910.367.0211.842.28N/A-
2024/90.8611.8561.36.3612.02.30.4本月營收較去年同期增加61.3%,主係數位音效產品訂單需求量增加所致。
2024/80.7713.5919.585.516.92.020.46-
2024/70.6818.26-9.864.745.11.980.47-
2024/60.57-22.083.324.068.082.240.48-
2024/50.73-21.4312.263.498.92.520.42-
2024/40.939.1812.082.768.052.110.51-
2024/30.86167.0734.191.826.091.820.57-
2024/20.32-50.51-51.240.97-10.481.580.66本月較去年同期減少51.24%,主係本月遇春節連續假期部分訂單延至下月出貨所致。
2024/10.654.8652.660.6552.661.830.57本月較去年同期增加52.67%,主係主要產品線訂單需求增加所致。
2023/120.629.87-42.257.45-13.111.770.56-
2023/110.56-5.16-17.156.84-8.961.690.59-
2023/100.5911.2-22.186.27-8.141.770.57-
2023/90.53-17.07-16.835.68-6.381.920.48-
2023/80.64-14.37-20.255.15-5.152.090.45-
2023/70.758.15-4.034.51-2.932.210.42-
2023/60.69-9.51-2.994.4515.242.320.43-
2023/50.77-11.38-5.233.7619.382.390.42-
2023/40.8613.3313.492.9927.892.450.41-
2023/30.76-7.2355.522.1334.852.130.48本月較去年同期增加55.53%,主係各主要產品線訂單需求增加所致。
2023/20.8252.1989.051.3625.522.510.41本月營收較去年同期增加89.05%,主係上月訂單遇春節連續假期延至本月出貨所致。
2023/10.54-52.93-16.950.54-16.952.50.41-
2022/121.1542.4960.628.92-7.572.750.41本月營收較去年同期增加60.63%,主係液晶顯示模組訂單暢旺所致。
2022/110.810.88-11.777.77-13.032.30.49-
2022/100.814.41-7.726.96-13.172.320.49-
2022/90.7-15.06-14.026.16-13.832.30.67-
2022/80.825.19-19.045.47-13.812.320.66-
2022/70.789.31-12.684.64-12.812.310.67-
2022/60.71-11.6-38.843.86-12.832.290.75-
2022/50.816.1321.443.15-3.522.060.83-
2022/40.7655.3-14.232.34-9.921.691.01-
2022/30.4912.76-32.291.58-7.681.581.21本期較去年同期營收減少32.29%主係本期數位音效相關產品需求下降所致。
2022/20.44-33.14-9.941.0910.461.81.06-
2022/10.65-8.9730.180.6530.182.280.84-
2021/120.72-21.73-2.019.651.452.490.7-
2021/110.915.51-14.958.931.742.590.67-
2021/100.876.61-6.498.024.062.690.65-
2021/90.81-20.03-30.897.155.52.720.68-
2021/81.0213.45-23.226.3413.143.080.6-
2021/70.9-23.43-20.155.3324.372.730.68-
2021/61.1775.5433.544.4340.162.720.53-
2021/50.67-25.04-2.873.2642.692.280.63-
2021/40.8922.698.062.662.222.10.69本期較去年同期增加98.07%及較去年同期累計增加62.22%主係去年因受新冠肺炎影響出貨,本期恢復正常出貨所致。
2021/30.7249.9962.971.7148.261.710.73本期較去年同期增加62.97%主係去年因受到新冠肺炎影響出貨,本期已恢復正常出貨。
2021/20.48-3.3582.820.9839.011.710.72本期較去年同期營收增加82.83%主係去年受新冠肺炎部份原物料供應不足影響出貨,本期已恢復正常出貨。
2021/10.5-31.4812.860.512.862.30.54-
2020/120.73-32.064.739.5111.892.730.46-
2020/111.0715.9978.148.7812.533.180.4本期較去年同期增加78.15%主係受數位音效產品銷售暢旺客戶增加訂單之影響,致使本期營收較去年同期增加。
2020/100.93-21.243.477.717.043.420.37-
2020/91.18-11.1568.016.783.453.620.38本期較上期增加68.01%主係受數位音效產品客戶追加訂單銷貨量增加之影響,致使本期營收較去年同期比增加。
2020/81.3217.9988.785.61-4.253.320.41本期較上期增加88.78%主係受數位音效產品客戶銷售量增加追加訂單及警用錄影機產品銷貨量增加之影響,致使本期營收較上期增加。
2020/71.1228.0590.594.28-16.92.680.51本期較上期增加90.6%主係數位音效產品受到客戶因新冠肺炎疫情影響趨緩、營運恢復正常及追加訂單之影響,致使營收大幅增加。
2020/60.8827.6736.463.16-30.752.010.48-
2020/50.6952.843.082.29-41.741.580.61-
2020/40.450.87-50.151.6-50.891.160.84本期較去年同期減少50%主要受產品攜帶式錄影機EOL及因新冠肺炎影響延遲出貨所致
2020/30.4468.26-49.741.15-51.171.150.76本期較去年減少50%主係受警用攜帶式錄影機EOL及因新冠肺炎影響部份原物料供給不足延遲出貨所致
2020/20.26-40.33-54.140.71-52.031.40.63本期較去年同期營收減少54.14%主要受指紋辦識模組EOL及新冠肺炎停工部份原物料供給不足,已完工產品出貨運輸延遲影響
2020/10.44-36.42-50.680.44-50.681.740.5本期營收較去年同期減少50.68%主係部份產品EOL及訂單減少致使比率大幅下降
2019/120.715.55-14.258.5-31.540.0N/A-
2019/110.6-6.57-13.437.8-32.750.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.652023/10.542022/10.652021/10.52020/10.44
2024/20.322023/20.822022/20.442021/20.482020/20.26
2024/30.862023/30.762022/30.492021/30.722020/30.44
2024/40.932023/40.862022/40.762021/40.892020/40.45
2024/50.732023/50.772022/50.812021/50.672020/50.69
2024/60.572023/60.692022/60.712021/61.172020/60.88
2024/70.682023/70.752022/70.782021/70.92020/71.12
2024/80.772023/80.642022/80.822021/81.022020/81.32
2024/90.862023/90.532022/90.72021/90.812020/91.18
2024/100.652023/100.592022/100.82021/100.872020/100.93
N/AN/A2023/110.562022/110.812021/110.912020/111.07
N/AN/A2023/120.622022/121.152021/120.722020/120.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.11%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.09-18.18-40.0
24Q2 (19)0.11-47.62-63.33
24Q1 (18)0.21110.00.0
23Q4 (17)0.1-33.33-65.52
23Q3 (16)0.15-50.0-61.54
23Q2 (15)0.342.86-11.76
23Q1 (14)0.21-27.59-43.24
22Q4 (13)0.29-25.6420.83
22Q3 (12)0.3914.7121.88
22Q2 (11)0.34-8.1121.43
22Q1 (10)0.3754.1794.74
21Q4 (9)0.24-25.060.0
21Q3 (8)0.3214.29190.91
21Q2 (7)0.2847.37154.55
21Q1 (6)0.1926.6711.76
20Q4 (5)0.1536.3625.0
20Q3 (4)0.110.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.11-35.290.0
20Q1 (2)0.1741.670.0
19Q4 (1)0.120.00.0

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