玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.64-4.650.01.8820.5128.7755.524.750.0948.45-16.71-22.0153.77-1.01-32.650.20-11.732.73
24Q2 (19)1.72-1.716.171.5613.04-3.753.001.96-5.5858.17-11.93.2854.32-10.08-13.7656.85-1.314.94
24Q1 (18)1.752.9445.831.388.667.8151.98-3.0-31.3166.03-8.19-6.7860.41-27.23-14.9557.6035.53-23.68
23Q4 (17)1.703.6618.061.27-13.01-13.0153.59-3.39-15.3371.9215.7815.7683.014.0543.9142.5012.37-37.26
23Q3 (16)1.641.2336.671.46-9.8818.755.47-1.18-26.5662.1210.3-16.0479.7826.6627.6537.82-23.53-56.54
23Q2 (15)1.6235.016.551.6226.5647.2756.13-25.82-13.9956.32-20.49-31.8762.99-11.3211.5749.46-34.46-45.92
23Q1 (14)1.20-16.6731.871.28-12.3377.7875.6719.56-24.0370.8314.0-43.6371.0323.14-20.1975.4711.41-44.61
22Q4 (13)1.4420.09.091.4618.722.6963.29-16.21-7.9462.13-16.03-18.8657.68-7.71-19.6467.74-22.16-7.89
22Q3 (12)1.20-13.67-22.081.2311.82-10.8775.5315.7428.173.99-10.4911.8962.5010.7-15.9387.03-4.8371.49
22Q2 (11)1.3952.75-24.041.1052.78-34.9165.26-34.4831.1582.66-34.2253.356.46-36.56-4.7491.45-32.89105.92
22Q1 (10)0.91-31.06-35.920.72-39.5-36.8499.6044.8755.77125.6664.1157.5189.0023.996.74136.2685.29125.82
21Q4 (9)1.32-14.29-29.411.19-13.77-29.1768.7516.641.276.5715.7941.3871.78-3.44-8.2373.5444.91198.58
21Q3 (8)1.54-15.85-36.11.38-18.34-41.5358.9618.4956.3566.1322.6471.7774.3425.4324.0450.7514.28211.54
21Q2 (7)1.8328.87-14.491.6948.25-2.8749.76-22.1817.2553.92-32.413.2659.27-28.92-3.9144.41-26.434.66
21Q1 (6)1.42-24.06-11.81.14-32.14-1.7263.9431.3213.4179.7847.31.5383.386.6-1.760.34144.9920.34
20Q4 (5)1.87-22.41-10.951.68-28.81-4.5548.6929.1212.1954.1640.685.0278.2230.5221.3824.6351.2-19.33
20Q3 (4)2.4112.620.02.3635.630.037.71-11.150.038.50-26.270.059.93-2.840.016.29-50.610.0
20Q2 (3)2.1432.920.01.7450.00.042.44-24.730.052.22-33.550.061.68-27.280.032.98-34.220.0
20Q1 (2)1.61-23.330.01.16-34.090.056.3829.910.078.5852.380.084.8231.630.050.1464.230.0
19Q4 (1)2.100.00.01.760.00.043.400.00.051.570.00.064.440.00.030.530.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)5.7518.85.314.9463.52-15.7968.75-4.7168.242.8564.04-21.15
2022 (9)4.84-22.815.06-6.375.4329.6772.156.7366.35-2.4481.2240.59
2021 (8)6.27-37.85.40-27.3258.1760.6567.6037.6268.0114.1757.77124.26
2020 (7)10.0835.677.4329.936.21-26.2549.12-23.0759.577.0125.76-55.02
2019 (6)7.430.955.72-2.0549.10-0.9963.852.1355.6711.6357.27-7.99
2018 (5)7.3644.035.846.1849.59-30.5962.52-5.7949.87-25.7162.24-11.94
2017 (4)5.112.25.50-11.7271.45-2.166.3613.267.137.8670.681.89
2016 (3)5.00-5.36.23-6.8872.985.6258.627.4662.2416.6669.37-1.32
2015 (2)5.280.386.694.5369.10-0.4854.55-4.4253.35-3.8670.30-1.0
2014 (1)5.26-13.776.40-4.3369.4316.0857.074.655.49-6.9171.0129.67

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