玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.1314.8510.4710.98-8.323.39N/A-
2024/90.98-23.16-9.59.85-10.073.021.48-
2024/81.2868.3924.948.87-10.132.991.5-
2024/70.76-20.13-33.257.59-14.192.981.51-
2024/60.95-24.95-22.976.83-11.383.441.29-
2024/51.273.61-14.285.88-9.173.521.26-
2024/41.2218.414.044.62-7.663.131.41-
2024/31.0317.99-25.323.39-11.263.391.42-
2024/20.87-41.14-15.582.36-3.293.111.55-
2024/11.4997.785.751.495.753.481.39-
2023/120.75-39.59-41.0513.97-18.263.021.69-
2023/111.2421.83-30.3313.22-16.423.351.52-
2023/101.02-5.91-24.2911.98-14.653.131.63-
2023/91.096.08-36.6610.95-13.633.251.6-
2023/81.02-10.04-28.289.87-10.033.391.53-
2023/71.14-7.82-23.378.85-7.33.851.35-
2023/61.23-16.49-32.337.71-4.343.891.29-
2023/51.4825.76-11.36.483.834.031.24-
2023/41.17-15.0-9.725.09.353.591.39-
2023/31.3833.3921.293.8216.943.821.37-
2023/21.04-26.2610.62.4414.623.721.41-
2023/11.4110.2417.771.4117.774.471.17-
2022/121.27-28.6-1.3317.0941.384.411.18-
2022/111.7932.3951.3315.8246.494.851.07配合客戶訂單交貨時程出貨
2022/101.35-21.2919.3114.0345.894.491.16-
2022/91.7120.1342.9512.6849.434.621.21-
2022/81.43-3.8944.8710.9750.54.731.18配合客戶訂單交貨時程出貨
2022/71.48-18.640.519.5451.384.971.12配合客戶訂單交貨時程出貨
2022/61.829.4696.288.0653.574.791.23配合客戶訂單交貨時程出貨
2022/51.6728.093.386.2444.384.111.43配合客戶訂單交貨時程出貨
2022/41.314.254.864.5732.183.381.74配合客戶訂單交貨時程出貨
2022/31.1421.639.283.2724.93.271.86-
2022/20.94-21.4847.932.1335.233.421.78-
2022/11.19-7.6526.691.1926.693.671.66-
2021/121.299.548.3512.0914.713.61.32-
2021/111.184.3860.0910.811.683.511.36配合客戶訂單交貨時程出貨
2021/101.13-5.755.239.627.693.311.44配合客戶訂單交貨時程出貨
2021/91.221.7415.68.493.473.241.2-
2021/80.98-6.787.667.291.712.971.31-
2021/71.0613.7-9.646.30.842.851.37-
2021/60.937.84-12.965.253.252.631.19-
2021/50.862.5-25.054.327.562.741.14-
2021/40.84-19.4-10.943.4620.652.521.24-
2021/31.0464.6450.112.6236.162.620.97農曆春節出貨遞延
2021/20.63-32.7542.581.5728.262.451.03-
2021/10.948.1320.150.9420.152.550.99-
2020/120.8718.1641.5510.54-2.462.341.01-
2020/110.741.21-17.049.67-5.122.50.95-
2020/100.73-29.77-10.868.93-3.982.680.88-
2020/91.0413.3944.738.2-3.323.120.72-
2020/80.91-21.7613.017.17-7.753.150.71-
2020/71.179.5117.166.25-10.173.390.66-
2020/61.07-7.1325.845.08-14.743.160.73-
2020/51.1521.7918.674.02-21.482.790.83-
2020/40.9435.85-9.522.87-30.862.081.11-
2020/30.6956.39-35.191.92-38.031.921.31-
2020/20.44-43.33-30.671.23-39.531.841.36-
2020/10.7827.4-43.610.78-43.612.291.1-
2019/120.62-30.75-16.7410.81-8.620.0N/A-
2019/110.898.75-17.0410.19-8.080.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.492023/11.412022/11.192021/10.942020/10.78
2024/20.872023/21.042022/20.942021/20.632020/20.44
2024/31.032023/31.382022/31.142021/31.042020/30.69
2024/41.222023/41.172022/41.32021/40.842020/40.94
2024/51.272023/51.482022/51.672021/50.862020/51.15
2024/60.952023/61.232022/61.822021/60.932020/61.07
2024/70.762023/71.142022/71.482021/71.062020/71.17
2024/81.282023/81.022022/81.432021/80.982020/80.91
2024/90.982023/91.092022/91.712021/91.22020/91.04
2024/101.132023/101.022022/101.352021/101.132020/100.73
N/AN/A2023/111.242022/111.792021/111.182020/110.74
N/AN/A2023/120.752022/121.272021/121.292020/120.87
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.08%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.111.11233.33
24Q2 (19)0.0912.5125.0
24Q1 (18)0.08166.6733.33
23Q4 (17)0.030.0-25.0
23Q3 (16)0.03-25.0-25.0
23Q2 (15)0.04-33.33-66.67
23Q1 (14)0.0650.0-45.45
22Q4 (13)0.040.0-33.33
22Q3 (12)0.04-66.67-42.86
22Q2 (11)0.129.09200.0
22Q1 (10)0.1183.33120.0
21Q4 (9)0.06-14.29-33.33
21Q3 (8)0.0775.0133.33
21Q2 (7)0.04-20.00.0
21Q1 (6)0.05-44.4425.0
20Q4 (5)0.09200.0350.0
20Q3 (4)0.03-25.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.040.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.04100.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.020.00.0

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