玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q4 (20)1.8719.8710.00.494.2632.4348.61-16.71-9.29185.58-3.31-25.4880.1515.035.45154.05-14.7-32.02
24Q3 (19)1.56-2.51.960.47-6.014.6358.362.86-2.2191.935.08-12.6869.6820.26-0.94180.60-0.47-13.64
24Q2 (18)1.60-13.51-14.440.5016.288.756.7415.3516.39182.65-12.97-7.6457.94-6.85-15.75181.45-7.832.08
24Q1 (17)1.858.825.110.4316.22-8.5149.19-8.21-5.09209.88-15.727.5362.20-18.17-20.88196.86-13.1316.91
23Q4 (16)1.7011.11-2.30.37-9.76-27.4553.59-10.192.64249.0413.340.6676.018.069.48226.628.3741.8
23Q3 (15)1.53-18.18-5.560.41-10.87-19.6159.6722.46.52219.8011.1422.8370.342.28-3.3209.1217.6528.91
23Q2 (14)1.876.25-3.610.46-2.13-14.8148.75-5.943.97197.761.3218.1868.77-12.52-12.96177.755.5631.45
23Q1 (13)1.761.1510.690.47-7.8414.6351.83-0.73-9.31195.1810.24-11.778.6113.22-36.85168.395.369.56
22Q4 (12)1.747.411.750.510.0-10.5352.21-6.8-1.84177.05-1.0611.4369.43-4.55-31.7159.82-1.4844.75
22Q3 (11)1.62-16.49-7.430.51-5.56-17.7456.0219.477.75178.946.9322.0972.74-7.94-19.82162.2219.9750.45
22Q2 (10)1.9422.0123.570.5431.71-15.6246.89-17.95-19.29167.34-24.2917.479.01-36.53-7.87135.22-12.0217.71
22Q1 (9)1.59-7.02-4.220.41-28.07-44.5957.157.454.35221.0339.1179.45124.4822.4590.69153.7039.2136.43
21Q4 (8)1.71-2.2920.420.57-8.06-10.9453.192.31-16.77158.898.4111.77101.6612.0632.27110.412.4-14.55
21Q3 (7)1.7511.466.710.62-3.13-27.9151.99-10.52-6.22146.562.8238.1590.725.7857.66107.82-6.153.68
21Q2 (6)1.57-5.42-23.410.64-13.51-20.9958.106.0830.94142.5415.7327.2385.7631.3781.27114.881.975.32
21Q1 (5)1.6616.92.470.7415.6234.5554.77-14.3-2.39123.17-13.36-24.9865.28-15.0714.77112.66-12.81-31.06
20Q4 (4)1.42-13.410.00.64-25.580.063.9115.280.0142.1634.00.076.8633.580.0129.2124.250.0
20Q3 (3)1.64-20.00.00.866.170.055.4424.950.0106.09-5.30.057.5421.620.0103.99-4.670.0
20Q2 (2)2.0526.540.00.8147.270.044.37-20.920.0112.03-31.770.047.31-16.820.0109.08-33.250.0
20Q1 (1)1.620.00.00.550.00.056.110.00.0164.190.00.056.880.00.0163.420.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2024 (10)7.516.371.805.2648.57-6.02203.06-5.1477.03-1.34174.60-6.96
2023 (9)7.06-4.211.71-23.6651.684.3214.0731.3778.08-11.75187.6751.32
2022 (8)7.3713.382.24-3.4549.55-11.79162.953.4988.48-6.84124.024.53
2021 (7)6.50-12.992.32-16.5556.1715.01157.4520.1294.9878.17118.64-6.3
2020 (6)7.476.112.7822.4748.84-5.84131.08-18.453.3110.67126.62-22.95
2019 (5)7.046.342.2714.6551.87-5.9160.64-12.6448.17-20.58164.33-7.87
2018 (4)6.62-4.751.98-5.7155.124.89183.895.5960.65-14.36178.3614.41
2017 (3)6.9513.012.10-11.0252.55-11.38174.1612.4770.8217.88155.891.17
2016 (2)6.15-2.072.363.9659.302.03154.85-3.5160.088.02154.08-5.47
2015 (1)6.28-10.162.276.5758.1211.23160.49-6.2855.62-7.73162.99-0.13

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