玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q1 (20)2.58-30.271.180.36-28.0-14.2935.2943.57-1.2253.7840.3715.8855.2931.4234.99233.7843.159.37
23Q4 (19)3.7027.1520.520.5072.4147.0624.58-21.29-17.02180.80-43.03-31.7942.07-36.59-18.44163.31-42.14-32.83
23Q3 (18)2.914.680.340.29-17.14-3.3331.23-4.52-0.32317.3721.14.2466.3533.8812.1282.2615.112.04
23Q2 (17)2.789.026.920.35-16.67-2.7832.71-8.43-6.7262.0719.674.0749.5621.0-5.33245.2114.714.56
23Q1 (16)2.55-16.9429.440.4223.5316.6735.7220.59-22.68219.00-17.38-12.340.96-20.59-46.41213.76-12.08-2.61
22Q4 (15)3.075.8623.790.3413.33-39.2929.62-5.46-19.31265.07-12.9461.8151.58-12.86-2.95243.12-12.1164.96
22Q3 (14)2.9011.5451.040.30-16.67-40.031.33-10.64-33.81304.4620.9166.4459.1913.0721.59276.6117.9552.35
22Q2 (13)2.6031.987.880.360.0-43.7535.06-24.11-7.22251.810.8477.4452.35-31.5143.5234.526.8563.75
22Q1 (12)1.97-20.5628.760.36-35.71-34.5546.2025.85-22.33249.7152.4351.8676.4343.8107.86219.4948.9317.29
21Q4 (11)2.4829.170.810.5612.0-24.3236.71-22.44-0.76163.82-10.4433.4653.159.1847.39147.38-18.8319.16
21Q3 (10)1.92-20.33-1.030.50-21.8821.9547.3325.241.11182.9228.9-18.3248.6833.44-21.47181.5626.77-13.03
21Q2 (9)2.4157.5211.060.6416.3630.6137.79-36.47-9.92141.91-13.7-23.1936.48-0.797.48143.22-23.47-25.7
21Q1 (8)1.53-37.845.710.55-25.6844.7459.4860.8-31.17164.4333.96-31.5536.771.97-27.26187.1451.31-32.22
20Q4 (7)2.4626.857.690.7480.497.2536.99-20.98-36.43122.75-45.19-6.836.06-41.83-21.21123.68-40.75-14.18
20Q3 (6)1.94-10.615.480.41-16.33-33.8746.8111.59-13.55223.9421.2153.2461.9982.65-7.55208.768.356.68
20Q2 (5)2.17106.67-1.810.4928.95-37.1841.95-51.452.02184.75-23.0957.4833.94-32.86-39.21192.76-30.1887.84
20Q1 (4)1.05-32.690.00.38-44.930.086.4148.50.0240.2382.390.050.5510.440.0276.1091.580.0
19Q4 (3)1.56-7.140.00.6911.290.058.197.460.0131.71-9.870.045.77-31.740.0144.128.170.0
19Q3 (2)1.68-23.980.00.62-20.510.054.1531.690.0146.1424.570.067.0520.10.0133.2429.840.0
19Q2 (1)2.210.00.00.780.00.041.120.00.0117.320.00.055.830.00.0102.620.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)9.3414.741.532.6839.10-12.84238.71-2.7453.22-26.44224.593.05
2022 (9)8.1417.461.49-34.0744.86-14.8245.4451.8772.3540.57217.9433.88
2021 (8)6.9348.082.265.6152.65-32.42161.61-5.1951.4729.81162.79-22.0
2020 (7)4.68-45.012.14-29.8477.9181.57170.4542.3439.65-9.89208.7075.87
2019 (6)8.51-12.813.054.8142.9114.73119.75-4.5844.00-26.22118.6714.92
2018 (5)9.7626.922.91-18.0337.40-21.16125.5021.9359.647.13103.269.04
2017 (4)7.69-1.033.55-12.9947.440.98102.9314.9355.6733.1294.70-0.03
2016 (3)7.77-35.794.08-0.4946.9855.7789.560.4841.8234.3894.737.44
2015 (2)12.1058.384.1051.2930.16-36.8289.13-33.8931.12-16.6488.17-39.29
2014 (1)7.6435.72.7111.9847.74-26.3134.82-10.4537.33-14.6145.24-15.38

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