玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1071.4835.75149.73450.647.51174.9N/A因超大規模雲端資料中心及雲端服務客戶們強力需求;另在車用電子市場方面,汽車製造業客戶需求也持續穩健。
2024/952.653.7132.74379.1136.94151.50.68-
2024/850.775.5969.88326.4637.64143.080.72本月營收較去年同期增加,主係因大型雲端資料中心客戶需求維持增長及車用電子市場持續穩健成長。
2024/748.088.6870.28275.6933.0134.310.77本月營收較去年同期增加,主係因大型雲端資料中心客戶需求維持增長及車用電子在北美市場持續穩健成長。
2024/644.235.3357.51227.6227.12131.080.71本月營收較去年同期增加,主係大型雲端資料中心客戶需求激增及車用電子在北美市場穩健成長。
2024/541.99-6.3636.81183.3821.46121.310.77-
2024/444.8530.133.64141.3917.55112.90.83-
2024/334.472.64-6.796.5411.3296.540.86-
2024/233.5817.8845.0962.0724.7115.260.72-
2024/128.4920.166.9828.496.98127.50.65-
2023/1253.1916.0921.48449.74-5.97143.650.62-
2023/1145.822.6317.88396.55-8.74135.00.66-
2023/1044.640.222.33350.73-11.36125.910.71-
2023/944.5421.29-0.49306.09-13.05113.290.83-
2023/836.7214.65-3.91261.54-14.8899.520.95-
2023/732.034.1-20.84224.82-16.4497.610.97-
2023/630.77-11.63-22.35192.79-15.66102.640.92-
2023/534.82-6.03-23.49162.03-14.26112.260.84-
2023/437.05-8.2522.12127.21-11.33100.590.94-
2023/340.3974.49-5.3990.16-20.390.161.03-
2023/223.14-13.07-20.4849.77-29.3493.560.99-
2023/126.63-39.19-35.5826.63-35.58109.280.85-
2022/1243.7912.6633.95478.3313.38126.280.73-
2022/1138.87-10.912.31434.5411.65127.260.73-
2022/1043.62-2.5561.39395.6811.59126.610.73本月營收較去年同期增加,主因資料中心伺服器客戶需求穩定,車用產品及智慧物聯產品需求強勁,加上料況逐漸改善,生產交貨順利。
2022/944.7717.1246.01352.057.48123.451.1-
2022/838.22-5.5433.29307.293.5118.311.15-
2022/740.462.1120.77269.070.32125.61.08-
2022/639.63-12.92-12.4228.6-2.59115.471.16-
2022/545.5149.9834.52188.98-0.25118.541.13-
2022/430.34-28.93-26.64143.47-7.81102.141.32-
2022/342.6946.679.57113.13-1.0113.131.04-
2022/229.11-29.58-27.5470.44-6.47103.131.14-
2022/141.3326.4417.6141.3317.61108.631.09-
2021/1232.69-5.53-9.85421.862.5294.321.26-
2021/1134.628.0129.3389.173.7292.291.29-
2021/1027.03-11.83-27.41354.571.7586.361.37-
2021/930.666.92-26.87327.545.2592.831.16-
2021/828.67-14.41-24.96296.8810.25107.421.0-
2021/733.5-25.94-12.7268.2116.07112.570.95-
2021/645.2433.739.31234.721.81120.430.75-
2021/533.83-18.21-8.38189.4625.23114.150.79-
2021/441.366.1650.25155.6436.09120.490.75受疫情影響,線上串流、電商服務等等雲端應用蓬勃,對資料中心產品需求增加,同時車用電子市場逐漸復甦,對車用產品穩定回溫。
2021/338.96-3.0127.39114.2831.59114.280.81-
2021/240.1714.359.0475.3133.88111.580.83去年2月營收受到新冠肺炎封城影響,大陸工廠營運天數減少,人力配置等因素。
2021/135.14-3.0813.3835.1413.3898.170.95-
2020/1236.2635.510.02411.4614.82100.260.91-
2020/1126.76-28.13-29.22375.215.31105.930.86-
2020/1037.24-11.1814.85348.4321.17117.380.78-
2020/941.939.7248.73311.1921.97118.520.73-
2020/838.21-0.4343.1269.2718.65117.980.74-
2020/738.38-7.2616.15231.0515.39116.690.75-
2020/641.3912.086.6192.6715.24105.840.88-
2020/536.9334.1415.84151.2917.8595.030.98-
2020/427.53-9.9927.64114.3618.5283.371.12-
2020/330.5821.0822.9886.8415.8986.840.85-
2020/225.26-18.5110.3356.2512.3789.210.83-
2020/131.0-5.9514.0831.014.08101.770.73-
2019/1232.96-12.8342.36358.3216.550.0N/A-
2019/1137.8116.6142.89325.3614.450.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/128.492023/126.632022/141.332021/135.142020/131.0
2024/233.582023/223.142022/229.112021/240.172020/225.26
2024/334.472023/340.392022/342.692021/338.962020/330.58
2024/444.852023/437.052022/430.342021/441.362020/427.53
2024/541.992023/534.822022/545.512021/533.832020/536.93
2024/644.232023/630.772022/639.632021/645.242020/641.39
2024/748.082023/732.032022/740.462021/733.52020/738.38
2024/850.772023/836.722022/838.222021/828.672020/838.21
2024/952.652023/944.542022/944.772021/930.662020/941.93
2024/1071.482023/1044.642022/1043.622021/1027.032020/1037.24
N/AN/A2023/1145.822022/1138.872021/1134.62020/1126.76
N/AN/A2023/1253.192022/1243.792021/1232.692020/1236.26
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.21%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.6720.2767.92
24Q2 (19)2.22-5.1350.0
24Q1 (18)2.349.8636.84
23Q4 (17)2.1333.96-30.62
23Q3 (16)1.597.43-64.98
23Q2 (15)1.48-13.45-66.13
23Q1 (14)1.71-44.3-62.91
22Q4 (13)3.07-32.38-31.93
22Q3 (12)4.543.8921.07
22Q2 (11)4.37-5.21-7.42
22Q1 (10)4.612.22-40.67
21Q4 (9)4.5120.27252.34
21Q3 (8)3.75-20.55223.28
21Q2 (7)4.72-39.2549.84
21Q1 (6)7.77507.03258.06
20Q4 (5)1.2810.34-53.45
20Q3 (4)1.16-63.170.0
20Q2 (3)3.1545.160.0
20Q1 (2)2.17-21.090.0
19Q4 (1)2.750.00.0

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