玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116.05-5.71-1.9969.433.5218.97N/A-
2024/106.42-1.2-0.0763.384.0819.41N/A-
2024/96.50.197.5256.964.5719.210.6-
2024/86.494.282.7850.464.2119.850.58-
2024/76.22-12.960.8843.974.4219.670.59-
2024/67.1513.47.1537.755.0319.390.58-
2024/56.35.951.9430.614.5418.670.61-
2024/45.95-7.347.1724.315.2417.940.63-
2024/36.4215.18-0.818.364.6318.360.62-
2024/25.57-12.513.1711.947.8119.340.59-
2024/16.37-13.9512.236.3712.2319.950.57-
2023/127.419.830.674.472.9520.00.61-
2023/116.18-3.8710.5367.073.2218.650.65-
2023/106.436.311.7660.892.5318.780.65-
2023/96.04-4.221.4854.471.5418.520.63-
2023/86.312.3511.7648.421.5519.150.61-
2023/76.17-7.5512.4142.110.1819.020.62-
2023/66.677.884.2935.95-1.6518.40.63-
2023/56.1811.39-16.7929.28-2.9118.20.64-
2023/45.55-14.23-16.5523.091.6217.420.67-
2023/36.4719.811.5317.559.1417.550.64-
2023/25.4-4.8316.8711.087.818.430.61-
2023/15.67-22.860.385.670.3818.620.6-
2022/127.3631.6512.0972.3310.5518.690.59-
2022/115.59-2.793.6564.9710.3817.290.64-
2022/105.75-3.472.259.3811.0617.350.64-
2022/95.965.478.8353.6412.1217.090.63-
2022/85.652.956.8447.6812.5417.530.61-
2022/75.48-14.224.5442.0313.4119.310.55-
2022/66.39-13.937.2636.5514.8720.470.53-
2022/57.4311.7127.6830.1516.6319.880.55-
2022/46.6514.6330.3722.7313.4117.070.64-
2022/35.825.5410.316.087.6216.080.65-
2022/24.62-18.264.7610.276.1716.840.62-
2022/15.65-13.867.355.657.3517.610.59-
2021/126.5621.734.0565.4210.1317.580.61-
2021/115.39-4.1513.6258.8610.8516.490.65-
2021/105.622.788.9753.4710.5816.380.65-
2021/95.473.545.9447.8410.7616.00.68-
2021/85.280.745.7542.3611.4116.490.66-
2021/75.25-11.998.6537.0612.2217.030.64-
2021/65.962.4512.4331.8212.8716.880.68-
2021/55.8214.0643.8725.8512.9716.180.71-
2021/45.1-3.013.6420.046.3414.770.78-
2021/35.2619.235.9114.944.0514.940.74-
2021/24.41-16.24-6.339.682.9615.980.69-
2021/15.27-16.5112.35.2712.316.320.68-
2020/126.3132.9312.3759.411.8516.210.69-
2020/114.74-8.0712.9453.0911.7915.070.74-
2020/105.16-0.078.8448.3511.6815.320.73-
2020/95.173.3615.1743.1912.0314.990.73-
2020/85.03.512.7338.0211.6115.130.72-
2020/74.83-8.938.8833.0311.4414.170.77-
2020/65.331.1114.4928.1911.8513.830.76-
2020/54.04-9.9-3.1722.8911.2613.50.78-
2020/44.49-9.67.8418.8414.9414.160.74-
2020/34.975.4416.0414.3517.3614.360.71-
2020/24.710.4235.049.418.215.010.68-
2020/14.69-16.455.044.695.040.0N/A-
2019/125.6133.6118.6953.1114.340.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.372023/15.672022/15.652021/15.272020/14.69
2024/25.572023/25.42022/24.622021/24.412020/24.71
2024/36.422023/36.472022/35.82021/35.262020/34.97
2024/45.952023/45.552022/46.652021/45.12020/44.49
2024/56.32023/56.182022/57.432021/55.822020/54.04
2024/67.152023/66.672022/66.392021/65.962020/65.3
2024/76.222023/76.172022/75.482021/75.252020/74.83
2024/86.492023/86.312022/85.652021/85.282020/85.0
2024/96.52023/96.042022/95.962021/95.472020/95.17
2024/106.422023/106.432022/105.752021/105.622020/105.16
2024/116.052023/116.182022/115.592021/115.392020/114.74
N/AN/A2023/127.42022/127.362021/126.562020/126.31
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 20.34%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.86-15.69-11.34
24Q2 (19)1.0239.73-10.53
24Q1 (18)0.73-21.515.8
23Q4 (17)0.93-4.1214.81
23Q3 (16)0.97-14.9138.57
23Q2 (15)1.1465.2262.86
23Q1 (14)0.69-14.8113.11
22Q4 (13)0.8115.7128.57
22Q3 (12)0.70.020.69
22Q2 (11)0.714.75-7.89
22Q1 (10)0.61-3.173.39
21Q4 (9)0.638.6236.96
21Q3 (8)0.58-23.6813.73
21Q2 (7)0.7628.8126.67
21Q1 (6)0.5928.2647.5
20Q4 (5)0.46-9.86.98
20Q3 (4)0.51-15.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.650.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.4-6.980.0
19Q4 (1)0.430.00.0

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