玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.65-15.9943.695.391.351.88N/A-
2024/100.7873.893.874.74-2.591.63N/A-
2024/90.459.8613.523.96-3.771.282.31-
2024/80.41-4.1-5.973.52-5.61.282.31-
2024/70.42-4.46-21.33.11-5.551.262.33-
2024/60.4411.94-26.872.69-2.461.432.05-
2024/50.4-32.4-15.042.244.431.511.93-
2024/40.5911.5235.291.859.841.362.15-
2024/30.53113.22-1.131.260.981.262.1-
2024/20.25-49.24-43.560.732.571.242.14-
2024/10.49-3.375.320.4975.321.441.83短期外銷緊急訂單,中長期需求逐漸增溫。
2023/120.510.6635.995.834.551.711.24-
2023/110.45-39.27-22.355.322.321.61.33-
2023/100.7590.0569.844.875.451.571.35大型專案工程結案
2023/90.39-8.99-2.464.12-1.341.374.51-
2023/80.43-19.74-11.183.73-1.221.583.9-
2023/70.54-11.2221.693.290.251.613.82-
2023/60.6130.0613.092.75-3.081.514.18-
2023/50.477.6412.482.15-6.851.434.4-
2023/40.43-18.55.931.68-11.091.44.49-
2023/30.5321.7-8.551.25-15.81.253.39-
2023/20.4457.6713.590.71-20.51.083.9-
2023/10.28-24.99-46.040.28-46.041.233.43-
2022/120.37-36.81-70.335.57-23.081.42.6因供應商缺料延遲交貨,致本公司營收遞延。
2022/110.5932.8333.485.2-13.271.432.54-
2022/100.449.13-0.674.62-16.951.332.73-
2022/90.4-17.13-20.764.18-18.361.331.86-
2022/80.499.978.083.77-18.11.471.69-
2022/70.44-17.499.533.29-20.941.391.78-
2022/60.5429.35-31.412.84-24.231.361.7-
2022/50.421.38-7.572.31-22.331.411.64-
2022/40.41-29.65-18.271.89-24.961.381.68-
2022/30.5851.18-26.061.48-26.631.481.4-
2022/20.38-25.09-39.850.9-26.992.150.96-
2022/10.51-58.77-13.060.51-13.062.20.94-
2021/121.25184.34101.157.246.432.130.9212月空調車種專案結案,以致本月增減百分比達50%以上
2021/110.44-1.15-18.246.0-3.051.391.4-
2021/100.44-12.93-11.525.56-1.61.41.39-
2021/90.5113.03-24.355.12-0.641.361.63-
2021/80.4511.44-4.624.612.921.641.36-
2021/70.4-48.34-37.434.163.811.641.36-
2021/60.7874.3120.713.7511.751.731.2-
2021/50.45-10.35-16.042.979.611.741.2-
2021/40.5-36.36-6.942.5215.921.931.08-
2021/30.7922.9730.992.0223.452.021.22-
2021/20.648.2725.111.2319.061.851.33-
2021/10.59-4.613.140.5913.141.751.41-
2020/120.6215.56-37.236.81-31.441.661.53-
2020/110.546.96-45.996.19-30.81.711.48-
2020/100.5-25.55-46.725.65-28.91.651.54-
2020/90.6742.51-40.745.15-26.511.791.48-
2020/80.47-26.88-47.524.48-23.761.771.5-
2020/70.65-0.33-19.364.0-19.451.831.45-
2020/60.6521.23-31.423.36-19.471.721.78-
2020/50.53-0.63-23.212.71-15.961.671.83-
2020/40.54-10.413.042.17-13.961.651.85-
2020/30.617.45-6.151.64-18.41.642.17-
2020/20.51-2.08-9.691.03-24.152.021.75-
2020/10.52-47.07-34.430.52-34.430.0N/A-
2019/120.99-0.5620.349.93-1.760.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.492023/10.282022/10.512021/10.592020/10.52
2024/20.252023/20.442022/20.382021/20.642020/20.51
2024/30.532023/30.532022/30.582021/30.792020/30.6
2024/40.592023/40.432022/40.412021/40.52020/40.54
2024/50.42023/50.472022/50.422021/50.452020/50.53
2024/60.442023/60.612022/60.542021/60.782020/60.65
2024/70.422023/70.542022/70.442021/70.42020/70.65
2024/80.412023/80.432022/80.492021/80.452020/80.47
2024/90.452023/90.392022/90.42021/90.512020/90.67
2024/100.782023/100.752022/100.442021/100.442020/100.5
2024/110.652023/110.452022/110.592021/110.442020/110.54
N/AN/A2023/120.52022/120.372021/121.252020/120.62
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 10.75%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.7180.0105.88
24Q2 (19)0.25-26.47-35.9
24Q1 (18)0.34112.59.68
23Q4 (17)0.16-52.94-60.0
23Q3 (16)0.34-12.8221.43
23Q2 (15)0.3925.8169.57
23Q1 (14)0.31-22.529.17
22Q4 (13)0.442.86110.53
22Q3 (12)0.2821.74-48.15
22Q2 (11)0.23-4.17-59.65
22Q1 (10)0.2426.32-84.31
21Q4 (9)0.19-64.81-70.77
21Q3 (8)0.54-5.2622.73
21Q2 (7)0.57-62.7526.67
21Q1 (6)1.53135.38232.61
20Q4 (5)0.6547.73103.12
20Q3 (4)0.44-2.220.0
20Q2 (3)0.45-2.170.0
20Q1 (2)0.4643.750.0
19Q4 (1)0.320.00.0

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