玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.08-0.8629.2740.0713.512.6N/A-
2024/94.11-6.5215.4635.9911.9512.850.87-
2024/84.41.6814.7231.8811.5112.930.86-
2024/74.333.0237.9827.4811.0112.910.87-
2024/64.2-4.0721.9523.157.0912.60.86-
2024/54.389.0629.518.944.2811.820.92-
2024/44.0217.2119.3414.56-1.4910.241.06-
2024/33.4322.62-11.0310.55-7.6310.550.85-
2024/22.79-35.4-22.877.12-5.8910.410.86-
2024/14.3331.689.694.339.6911.10.81-
2023/123.29-5.96-3.1142.08-15.69.930.98-
2023/113.4910.71-24.0238.8-16.5110.210.95-
2023/103.16-11.45-23.4435.31-15.6810.560.92-
2023/93.56-7.12-24.7532.15-14.8310.540.97-
2023/83.8422.29-19.6228.59-13.4110.420.98-
2023/73.14-8.94-22.8724.75-12.369.971.03-
2023/63.451.86-15.0421.61-10.5910.191.04-
2023/53.380.52.1218.17-9.710.61.0-
2023/43.37-12.61-11.7614.78-12.0310.840.98-
2023/33.856.31-19.411.42-12.1111.421.02-
2023/23.62-8.13-6.467.57-7.8710.961.06-
2023/13.9416.31-9.123.94-9.1211.930.97-
2022/123.39-26.25-1.9449.8615.812.111.07-
2022/114.611.5528.8346.4717.3513.460.96-
2022/104.12-12.9734.9741.8816.2113.630.95-
2022/94.74-0.7929.6737.7514.4713.580.88-
2022/84.7717.3521.0433.0212.5812.90.93-
2022/74.070.299.8228.2411.2711.441.04-
2022/64.0622.4524.5224.1711.5111.181.06-
2022/53.31-13.15-3.2520.129.2111.910.99-
2022/43.81-20.183.9216.8112.0612.470.95-
2022/34.7823.3717.8412.9914.712.990.89-
2022/23.87-10.7440.918.2112.9411.670.99-
2022/14.3425.51-4.044.34-4.0411.371.02-
2021/123.46-3.1112.3343.0622.4910.081.14-
2021/113.5716.872.8939.623.4610.271.12-
2021/103.05-16.39-6.6736.0325.9610.651.08-
2021/93.65-7.41.0432.9830.1711.30.86-
2021/83.946.4834.7429.3335.0210.910.89-
2021/73.713.7142.6425.3835.0710.390.93-
2021/63.26-4.8641.9121.6833.8510.350.85-
2021/53.42-6.7180.9918.4232.5211.150.79主係去年同期疫情影響營收,本期逐步恢復。及工業應用商品營收持續成長所致。
2021/43.67-9.4943.515.024.8810.470.84-
2021/34.0547.5123.7811.3319.8511.330.71-
2021/22.75-39.22-5.987.2717.7610.350.78-
2021/14.5246.9439.124.5239.1211.070.73-
2020/123.08-11.2611.8235.15-8.129.820.8-
2020/113.476.013.132.07-9.6610.360.76-
2020/103.27-9.473.4328.61-11.09.810.8-
2020/93.6123.470.7425.33-12.589.140.79-
2020/82.9312.72-15.6721.72-14.467.820.93-
2020/72.613.13-20.0618.79-14.276.781.07-
2020/62.321.33-24.9716.2-13.266.741.12-
2020/51.89-26.03-39.5213.9-10.977.720.98-
2020/42.56-21.93-26.6612.01-3.818.760.86-
2020/33.2812.045.29.455.049.450.82-
2020/22.92-10.0722.356.174.958.930.86-
2020/13.2518.11-6.953.25-6.959.370.82-
2019/122.75-18.179.6738.2611.640.0N/A-
2019/113.366.3421.1235.5111.80.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.332023/13.942022/14.342021/14.522020/13.25
2024/22.792023/23.622022/23.872021/22.752020/22.92
2024/33.432023/33.852022/34.782021/34.052020/33.28
2024/44.022023/43.372022/43.812021/43.672020/42.56
2024/54.382023/53.382022/53.312021/53.422020/51.89
2024/64.22023/63.452022/64.062021/63.262020/62.3
2024/74.332023/73.142022/74.072021/73.72020/72.6
2024/84.42023/83.842022/84.772021/83.942020/82.93
2024/94.112023/93.562022/94.742021/93.652020/93.61
2024/104.082023/103.162022/104.122021/103.052020/103.27
N/AN/A2023/113.492022/114.62021/113.572020/113.47
N/AN/A2023/123.292022/123.392021/123.462020/123.08
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.29%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.444.76158.82
24Q2 (19)0.4250.0162.5
24Q1 (18)0.28100.0133.33
23Q4 (17)0.14-17.6516.67
23Q3 (16)0.176.2521.43
23Q2 (15)0.1633.33-42.86
23Q1 (14)0.120.0-60.0
22Q4 (13)0.12-14.29-42.86
22Q3 (12)0.14-50.0-33.33
22Q2 (11)0.28-6.6727.27
22Q1 (10)0.342.8650.0
21Q4 (9)0.210.031.25
21Q3 (8)0.21-4.5540.0
21Q2 (7)0.2210.00.0
21Q1 (6)0.225.0-4.76
20Q4 (5)0.166.67-27.27
20Q3 (4)0.15-31.820.0
20Q2 (3)0.224.760.0
20Q1 (2)0.21-4.550.0
19Q4 (1)0.220.00.0

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