玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.94-0.56-4.9811.0912.762.9N/A-
2024/100.94-7.291.0110.1514.753.03N/A-
2024/91.02-3.92-1.559.2116.373.071.86-
2024/81.067.18.958.1919.073.031.88-
2024/70.991.715.617.1320.743.091.85-
2024/60.97-13.1212.066.1421.613.081.75-
2024/51.1213.2325.955.1623.593.261.65-
2024/40.99-13.8213.944.0422.962.731.97-
2024/31.1594.3714.733.0526.23.051.7-
2024/20.59-54.99-27.811.934.292.831.83-
2024/11.3141.91119.171.31119.173.231.61遇年節訂單調整至本月
2023/120.93-6.4112.8110.76-11.772.851.76-
2023/110.995.716.579.84-13.542.961.69-
2023/100.94-9.6548.538.85-15.332.941.7-
2023/91.046.3113.747.91-19.422.871.85-
2023/80.9713.65-10.746.88-22.812.71.96-
2023/70.86-1.41-21.095.9-24.492.622.02-
2023/60.87-2.36-18.535.05-25.042.632.19-
2023/50.892.43-38.64.18-26.272.762.08-
2023/40.87-13.2215.33.29-22.032.692.14-
2023/31.022.29-28.392.42-30.152.422.55-
2023/20.8236.64-6.021.42-31.352.242.76-
2023/10.6-26.95-49.820.6-49.822.352.63-
2022/120.82-11.59-35.6612.2-15.652.382.78-
2022/110.9347.33-24.7511.38-13.712.472.67-
2022/100.63-30.81-37.3810.45-12.572.632.51-
2022/90.91-16.57-26.229.82-10.33.092.18-
2022/81.090.486.388.91-8.273.242.07-
2022/71.091.77-8.027.82-10.03.61.87-
2022/61.07-26.4-2.56.73-10.313.272.13-
2022/51.4592.3612.375.67-11.653.61.94-
2022/40.75-46.11-39.044.22-17.73.022.31-
2022/31.460.5-14.083.46-10.913.461.93-
2022/20.87-27.047.192.07-8.633.342.0-
2022/11.19-6.32-17.521.19-17.523.71.81-
2021/121.273.38-4.6514.4611.183.511.840.051.44-
2021/111.2322.6117.9713.1913.03.471.870.11.39-
2021/101.01-18.48-15.011.9512.513.271.980.021.29-
2021/91.2320.311.0110.9515.963.441.760.131.27-
2021/81.03-13.12-9.839.7116.623.31.830.081.15-
2021/71.187.882.068.6920.83.561.690.111.07-
2021/61.09-15.1730.227.5124.393.621.510.130.96-
2021/51.294.35102.346.4123.454.151.320.130.83去年因疫情影響故營收較少
2021/41.24-24.0425.235.1212.423.681.490.120.71-
2021/31.63100.269.933.898.873.891.280.320.59-
2021/20.81-43.87-21.312.268.123.61.380.120.27-
2021/11.458.2836.871.4536.873.831.30.140.14-
2020/121.3427.9219.0413.01-13.093.571.370.161.45-
2020/111.05-11.66-15.7111.67-15.73.341.460.121.29-
2020/101.186.464.5610.62-15.73.431.420.161.17-
2020/91.11-2.29-4.729.44-17.73.411.440.191.01-
2020/81.14-1.65-15.488.33-19.173.131.570.150.82-
2020/71.1637.65-9.257.19-19.722.631.870.240.67-
2020/60.8431.79-33.966.04-21.462.462.230.050.43-
2020/50.64-35.4-55.475.2-18.983.111.77-0.030.38因疫情影響訂單減少
2020/40.99-33.32-27.344.56-8.493.51.570.120.41-
2020/31.4843.3310.833.57-1.423.571.480.20.29-
2020/21.03-2.3630.052.09-8.583.211.650.050.08-
2020/11.06-5.81-29.141.06-29.140.0N/A0.030.03-
2019/121.12-9.42-20.8914.97-10.730.0N/A-0.011.27-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.312023/10.62022/11.192021/11.452020/11.06
2024/20.592023/20.822022/20.872021/20.812020/21.03
2024/31.152023/31.02022/31.42021/31.632020/31.48
2024/40.992023/40.872022/40.752021/41.242020/40.99
2024/51.122023/50.892022/51.452021/51.292020/50.64
2024/60.972023/60.872022/61.072021/61.092020/60.84
2024/70.992023/70.862022/71.092021/71.182020/71.16
2024/81.062023/80.972022/81.092021/81.032020/81.14
2024/91.022023/91.042022/90.912021/91.232020/91.11
2024/100.942023/100.942022/100.632021/101.012020/101.18
2024/110.942023/110.992022/110.932021/111.232020/111.05
N/AN/A2023/120.932022/120.822021/121.272020/121.34
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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