玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.12-7.3-4.5433.489.69.53N/A-
2024/103.3610.5615.3130.3611.39.47N/A-
2024/93.04-0.5110.6626.9910.829.360.66-
2024/83.06-6.235.7723.9510.849.430.65-
2024/73.264.815.0320.8911.629.470.65-
2024/63.110.65-2.4217.6311.019.020.61-
2024/53.099.9717.8414.5214.399.090.6-
2024/42.81-11.6311.6211.4313.497.830.7-
2024/33.1872.937.348.6114.128.610.57-
2024/21.84-48.77-23.175.4318.58.00.62-
2024/13.5939.9864.113.5964.119.420.53營收金額較去年同期增加140,334仟元、比例增加64.12%,主要係因客戶春節提前備貨所致。
2023/122.57-21.45-10.3333.11-9.448.750.56-
2023/113.2711.977.0630.54-9.368.930.55-
2023/102.926.1-8.627.27-11.08.560.57-
2023/92.75-4.91-1.0824.36-11.288.480.61-
2023/82.891.96-10.4421.61-12.428.920.58-
2023/72.84-11.1-13.1418.72-12.728.650.6-
2023/63.1921.5617.215.88-12.658.330.64-
2023/52.624.17-22.5312.69-17.918.110.66-
2023/42.52-15.02-24.9610.07-16.617.880.68-
2023/32.9623.76-12.247.55-13.397.550.82-
2023/22.399.4220.134.58-14.127.450.83-
2023/12.19-23.51-34.542.19-34.548.10.76-
2022/122.86-6.21-8.6136.562.979.10.72-
2022/113.05-4.4-8.933.74.099.020.73-
2022/103.1914.82-3.0430.655.599.20.72-
2022/92.78-13.9-1.4227.456.79.270.82-
2022/83.23-1.116.4724.687.79.220.82-
2022/73.2619.961.8921.456.499.370.81-
2022/62.72-19.651.0118.187.369.470.9-
2022/53.390.9117.215.468.5610.120.84-
2022/43.36-0.6210.6912.076.368.730.97-
2022/33.3869.443.678.724.788.720.85-
2022/21.99-40.3815.625.345.498.470.88-
2022/13.346.790.263.340.269.820.76-
2021/123.13-6.52-5.9135.512.259.770.71-
2021/113.351.749.332.3714.399.460.73-
2021/103.2916.7412.8429.0215.018.880.78-
2021/92.821.721.1825.7315.298.80.75-
2021/82.77-13.484.9222.9117.318.670.76-
2021/73.218.923.6320.1419.258.790.75-
2021/62.69-6.786.1116.9322.748.620.81-
2021/52.89-4.698.2214.2426.59.180.76-
2021/43.03-6.9323.8811.3532.188.020.87-
2021/33.2688.9724.568.3235.498.320.78-
2021/21.72-48.30.875.0643.68.390.78-
2021/13.340.283.873.3483.879.730.67營收金額較去年同期增加152,129仟元、比例增加83.87%,主要係因客戶春節前備貨及大陸市場持續回溫所致。
2020/123.338.5912.3331.63-2.179.310.58-
2020/113.065.0414.5228.3-3.638.770.62-
2020/102.924.684.3625.23-5.458.350.65-
2020/92.795.481.7822.32-6.68.520.58-
2020/82.64-14.54-4.2619.53-7.688.270.59-
2020/73.0921.7614.3316.89-8.28.30.59-
2020/62.54-4.92-1.9713.8-12.087.660.67-
2020/52.679.09-8.1111.26-14.087.730.66-
2020/42.45-6.41-10.718.59-15.786.770.76-
2020/32.6253.03-8.656.14-17.646.140.88-
2020/21.71-5.7611.763.52-23.266.490.84-
2020/11.81-38.77-40.751.81-40.750.0N/A-
2019/122.9610.72-3.9132.33-0.730.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.592023/12.192022/13.342021/13.342020/11.81
2024/21.842023/22.392022/21.992021/21.722020/21.71
2024/33.182023/32.962022/33.382021/33.262020/32.62
2024/42.812023/42.522022/43.362021/43.032020/42.45
2024/53.092023/52.622022/53.392021/52.892020/52.67
2024/63.112023/63.192022/62.722021/62.692020/62.54
2024/73.262023/72.842022/73.262021/73.22020/73.09
2024/83.062023/82.892022/83.232021/82.772020/82.64
2024/93.042023/92.752022/92.782021/92.822020/92.79
2024/103.362023/102.922022/103.192021/103.292020/102.92
2024/113.122023/113.272022/113.052021/113.352020/113.06
N/AN/A2023/122.572022/122.862021/123.132020/123.33
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.28%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.4922.511.36
24Q2 (19)0.4-20.017.65
24Q1 (18)0.5-24.2442.86
23Q4 (17)0.6650.073.68
23Q3 (16)0.4429.4118.92
23Q2 (15)0.34-2.86-40.35
23Q1 (14)0.35-7.89-20.45
22Q4 (13)0.382.78.57
22Q3 (12)0.37-35.09-17.78
22Q2 (11)0.5729.5539.02
22Q1 (10)0.4425.7125.71
21Q4 (9)0.35-22.2252.17
21Q3 (8)0.459.7655.17
21Q2 (7)0.4117.1428.12
21Q1 (6)0.3552.170
20Q4 (5)0.23-20.6935.29
20Q3 (4)0.29-9.380.0
20Q2 (3)0.3200.0

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