玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.6553.87525.074.86403.821.62N/A主因新增子公司認列營收。
2024/90.42-24.54143.614.22389.291.561.59主因新增子公司認列營收。
2024/80.56-5.57319.243.8450.661.551.61主因新增子公司認列營收。
2024/70.5947.21309.423.24481.961.531.62主因新增子公司認列營收。
2024/60.4-26.29333.542.65542.051.421.76主因本月份訂單增加及新增子公司認列營收。
2024/50.5412.86568.342.25602.041.551.62主因本月份訂單增加及新增子公司認列營收所致。
2024/40.48-7.91708.471.71613.461.371.84主因本月份訂單增加及新增子公司認列其營收。
2024/30.5243.66539.811.23582.081.232.08主因本月份訂單增加及新增子公司認列營收所致。
2024/20.366.121104.440.71617.120.83.19主因本月份訂單增加及新增子公司認列營收所致。
2024/10.34262.06401.690.34401.690.524.86主因本月份訂單增加及認列新增子公司營收所致。
2023/120.098.1686.181.1538.330.293.43主因本月份訂單增加所致。
2023/110.09-15.33124.421.0535.20.362.7主因本月份訂單增加所致。
2023/100.1-40.0221.520.9730.50.412.4-
2023/90.1729.86223.830.8631.670.452.12主因本月份訂單增加所致。
2023/80.13-7.78192.150.6914.670.372.58主因本月份訂單增加所致。
2023/70.1455.8913.580.560.170.322.99-
2023/60.0913.61-35.090.41-3.770.233.52-
2023/50.0836.5320.380.3211.730.223.69-
2023/40.06-27.1221.310.249.070.174.79-
2023/30.08170.44-26.990.185.560.184.17-
2023/20.03-55.79-33.740.167.480.155.02主因本期訂單增加及增加租賃收入所致。
2023/10.0734.36416.020.07416.020.164.75係因本期訂單較去年同期增加所致
2022/120.0530.38-21.850.8339.850.172.75-
2022/110.04-54.15-16.440.7847.450.182.71-
2022/100.0959.8101.70.7453.650.182.61主因本期訂單增加及增加租賃收入所致。
2022/90.0517.15232.220.6549.040.232.09主因本月份訂單增加所致。
2022/80.05-64.15-28.130.642.10.311.5-
2022/70.13-10.92107.910.5654.430.341.4主因本月份訂單增加所致。
2022/60.14110.74174.080.4343.540.261.62主因本月份外銷訂單增加所致。
2022/50.0737.582.780.2916.140.231.84-
2022/40.05-56.1418.940.2220.970.212.04-
2022/30.11145.4436.890.1721.570.172.46-
2022/20.05244.29214.130.060.230.123.39本月份客戶訂單增加
2022/10.01-79.65-70.020.01-70.020.123.36係因本期客戶訂單減少所致
2021/120.0739.4-5.570.59-8.010.151.89-
2021/110.0510.67-11.640.53-8.30.12.77-
2021/100.04163.21-45.960.48-7.960.122.39-
2021/90.02-74.65-12.080.44-1.30.142.07-
2021/80.063.71103.180.42-0.840.181.65本月份營收較去年同期增加,係因去年同期出貨量較少所致。
2021/70.0617.42-5.280.36-9.010.181.63-
2021/60.05-20.96-19.210.3-9.740.161.76-
2021/50.0759.21-27.00.25-7.460.191.49-
2021/40.04-49.52-34.630.182.440.142.04-
2021/30.08463.2431.110.1422.930.142.0-
2021/20.01-67.14-45.480.0613.110.132.2-
2021/10.04-35.8974.880.0474.880.171.69係因國內客戶訂單增加所致。
2020/120.0730.44-0.460.640.740.21.35-
2020/110.05-32.3-17.160.580.880.151.81-
2020/100.08328.2294.220.523.150.132.12本月份銷貨量增加係因客戶集中提貨所致。
2020/90.02-41.42-72.680.44-4.670.112.99本期營收減少係客戶訂單減少所致。
2020/80.03-51.65-66.550.436.650.162.13本月份營收較去年同期減少,係本月份出貨量減少所致。
2020/70.060.1518.820.428.820.221.56-
2020/60.06-28.5817.850.3330.950.221.61-
2020/50.0942.57128.950.2734.550.221.63本期營收較去年同期大幅增加,是因國外客戶及國內電信商增加出貨所致。
2020/40.061.23-19.050.1811.270.152.3-
2020/30.06134.17259.640.1140.310.112.98主因去年客戶延遲出貨所致。
2020/20.035.38-31.050.05-19.020.122.81-
2020/10.03-63.51-0.780.03-0.780.162.15-
2019/120.078.5563.120.64-25.810.0N/A主因本月份國內電信商客製商品增加出貨。
2019/110.0658.72-46.50.57-30.410.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.342023/10.072022/10.012021/10.042020/10.03
2024/20.362023/20.032022/20.052021/20.012020/20.03
2024/30.522023/30.082022/30.112021/30.082020/30.06
2024/40.482023/40.062022/40.052021/40.042020/40.06
2024/50.542023/50.082022/50.072021/50.072020/50.09
2024/60.42023/60.092022/60.142021/60.052020/60.06
2024/70.592023/70.142022/70.132021/70.062020/70.06
2024/80.562023/80.132022/80.052021/80.062020/80.03
2024/90.422023/90.172022/90.052021/90.022020/90.02
2024/100.652023/100.12022/100.092021/100.042020/100.08
N/AN/A2023/110.092022/110.042021/110.052020/110.05
N/AN/A2023/120.092022/120.052021/120.072020/120.07
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.76%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.110.0266.67
24Q2 (19)0.11-8.33120.0
24Q1 (18)0.12300.0140.0
23Q4 (17)0.030.0-25.0
23Q3 (16)0.03-40.0-25.0
23Q2 (15)0.050.0-16.67
23Q1 (14)0.0525.0-28.57
22Q4 (13)0.040.00.0
22Q3 (12)0.04-33.3333.33
22Q2 (11)0.06-14.29100.0
22Q1 (10)0.0775.075.0
21Q4 (9)0.0433.33-20.0
21Q3 (8)0.030.0-40.0
21Q2 (7)0.03-25.0-40.0
21Q1 (6)0.04-20.0-20.0
20Q4 (5)0.050.025.0
20Q3 (4)0.050.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.050.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.0525.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.040.00.0

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