玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.14111.06-3.318.3-1.012.41N/A-
2024/100.54-25.22-39.367.16-0.631.77N/A-
2024/90.7242.54-23.856.624.831.870.89-
2024/80.51-19.95-29.785.99.911.661.0-
2024/70.6323.1-21.135.3916.12.090.79-
2024/60.52-45.39-19.824.7623.892.480.62-
2024/50.94-7.5334.344.2432.682.610.59-
2024/41.0258.7744.373.332.222.150.72-
2024/30.6432.38-12.412.2827.412.280.93-
2024/20.49-57.77-10.781.6455.152.660.79主要係受客戶訂單需求增加影響
2024/11.1512.18125.551.15125.553.360.63主要係受客戶訂單需求增加影響
2023/121.02-13.2485.579.416.393.10.68主要係受客戶訂單需求增加影響
2023/111.1832.3867.838.391.123.020.7主要係受客戶訂單需求增加影響
2023/100.89-6.0943.037.21-5.052.570.82-
2023/90.9531.4434.516.32-9.362.480.93-
2023/80.72-10.09-5.655.37-14.32.171.06-
2023/70.825.149.324.64-15.512.151.07-
2023/60.64-8.5-5.273.84-19.352.051.1-
2023/50.7-0.63-20.893.2-21.692.141.05-
2023/40.71-3.683.42.49-21.911.981.13-
2023/30.7334.84-16.651.79-28.81.791.39-
2023/20.546.74-26.561.05-35.361.611.55-
2023/10.51-7.69-42.70.51-42.71.771.41-
2022/120.55-21.54-9.58.8513.581.881.28-
2022/110.712.81-0.138.315.552.031.18-
2022/100.62-11.69-18.357.5917.252.11.15-
2022/90.71-7.8-5.836.9722.022.211.1-
2022/80.774.177.36.2626.232.181.11-
2022/70.748.432.725.529.422.31.06-
2022/60.68-23.59-5.654.7634.832.251.16-
2022/50.8929.8835.724.0845.182.451.07-
2022/40.68-22.366.483.1948.052.31.14-
2022/30.8818.8146.112.5165.652.511.0去年同期受全球疫情嚴峻影響致營收較低,今年疫情趨緩,營收相對增加。
2022/20.74-16.7195.961.6378.552.241.12去年同期受全球疫情嚴峻影響致營收較低,今年疫情趨緩,營收相對增加。
2022/10.8945.7966.240.8966.242.21.14去年同期受全球疫情嚴峻影響致營收較低,今年疫情趨緩,營收相對增加。
2021/120.61-13.4129.577.795.152.081.16-
2021/110.7-7.7626.727.183.492.221.09-
2021/100.761.8428.236.471.462.231.08-
2021/90.755.0725.965.71-1.282.180.87-
2021/80.71-0.2717.524.96-4.412.150.88-
2021/70.72-0.46.14.25-7.322.090.91-
2021/60.729.9210.973.53-9.642.010.86-
2021/50.651.9-16.162.81-13.741.90.91-
2021/40.646.524.862.16-12.971.621.07-
2021/30.659.35-3.111.52-18.821.521.11-
2021/20.38-29.34-40.580.91-26.671.381.21-
2021/10.5413.63-12.140.54-12.141.561.08-
2020/120.47-15.32-26.657.41-9.431.621.21-
2020/110.56-6.66-4.266.94-7.971.751.12-
2020/100.60.04-5.596.38-8.281.81.09-
2020/90.6-1.973.185.79-8.541.881.19-
2020/80.61-9.96-1.645.19-9.721.931.16-
2020/70.674.16-6.614.58-10.692.11.06-
2020/60.65-16.953.013.91-11.362.040.95-
2020/50.7827.46-1.943.26-13.762.010.96-
2020/40.61-1.57-23.662.48-16.911.871.04-
2020/30.62-2.26-18.681.87-14.431.870.92-
2020/20.644.467.081.25-12.131.890.91-
2020/10.61-5.13-26.010.61-26.010.0N/A-
2019/120.6410.5228.748.183.830.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.152023/10.512022/10.892021/10.542020/10.61
2024/20.492023/20.542022/20.742021/20.382020/20.64
2024/30.642023/30.732022/30.882021/30.62020/30.62
2024/41.022023/40.712022/40.682021/40.642020/40.61
2024/50.942023/50.72022/50.892021/50.652020/50.78
2024/60.522023/60.642022/60.682021/60.722020/60.65
2024/70.632023/70.82022/70.742021/70.722020/70.67
2024/80.512023/80.722022/80.772021/80.712020/80.61
2024/90.722023/90.952022/90.712021/90.752020/90.6
2024/100.542023/100.892022/100.622021/100.762020/100.6
2024/111.142023/111.182022/110.72021/110.72020/110.56
N/AN/A2023/121.022022/120.552021/120.612020/120.47
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.13%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.0-66.67
24Q2 (19)0.01-66.67-66.67
24Q1 (18)0.0350.0-25.0
23Q4 (17)0.02-33.33-60.0
23Q3 (16)0.030.050.0
23Q2 (15)0.03-25.0-50.0
23Q1 (14)0.04-20.0-66.67
22Q4 (13)0.05150.0-54.55
22Q3 (12)0.02-66.67-84.62
22Q2 (11)0.06-50.0-57.14
22Q1 (10)0.129.09-7.69
21Q4 (9)0.11-15.38120.0
21Q3 (8)0.13-7.141200.0
21Q2 (7)0.147.690
21Q1 (6)0.13160.00
20Q4 (5)0.05400.0400.0
20Q3 (4)0.0100.0

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