玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.5613.19-18.525.76-15.01.65N/A-
2024/90.49-18.184.15.2-14.61.60.71-
2024/80.618.219.24.71-16.181.650.68-
2024/70.51-6.6-16.44.11-18.931.620.7-
2024/60.54-4.39-29.213.6-19.281.730.68-
2024/50.57-7.09-21.963.06-17.211.820.64-
2024/40.61-3.24-17.922.49-16.041.730.68-
2024/30.6330.1-19.991.87-15.411.870.6-
2024/20.49-35.49-32.821.24-12.861.740.65-
2024/10.7552.597.790.757.791.890.6-
2023/120.49-22.81-8.67.91-18.961.820.62-
2023/110.64-6.22-13.097.42-19.571.80.63-
2023/100.6844.6424.26.77-20.131.710.66-
2023/90.47-14.16-46.516.09-23.21.630.72-
2023/80.55-9.51-33.535.62-20.291.930.61-
2023/70.61-20.91-32.435.07-18.522.110.56-
2023/60.775.391.824.46-16.172.250.53-
2023/50.73-2.27-26.853.69-19.152.270.52-
2023/40.75-5.68-10.112.96-16.992.260.52-
2023/30.799.23-22.772.22-19.082.220.57-
2023/20.723.510.331.42-16.881.970.65-
2023/10.729.37-29.410.7-29.411.980.64-
2022/120.54-26.6-27.559.76-3.181.830.68-
2022/110.7434.014.179.22-1.232.170.58-
2022/100.55-37.7-17.958.48-1.672.260.55-
2022/90.886.65-1.967.93-0.32.610.47-
2022/80.83-8.0-21.017.05-0.092.480.49-
2022/70.919.181.656.223.552.650.46-
2022/60.76-24.29-26.255.323.882.580.52-
2022/51.020.0915.414.5711.412.850.47-
2022/40.83-18.9716.233.5710.342.580.52-
2022/31.0341.9342.772.748.672.740.58-
2022/20.72-27.17-19.751.71-4.92.460.65-
2022/10.9932.799.890.999.892.450.65-
2021/120.755.544.110.08-14.62.120.8-
2021/110.715.55-8.939.34-15.812.280.75-
2021/100.67-25.57-23.748.63-16.332.620.65-
2021/90.9-14.07-24.747.96-15.642.830.45-
2021/81.0518.4-20.017.06-14.322.960.43-
2021/70.89-13.53-44.146.01-13.242.770.46-
2021/61.0218.48-5.585.12-4.072.60.45-
2021/50.8620.95-16.324.1-3.682.30.51-
2021/40.71-0.48-32.953.230.362.330.51-
2021/30.72-20.22-14.532.5216.822.520.43-
2021/20.9-0.2729.31.836.812.520.43-
2021/10.925.7945.230.945.232.40.45-
2020/120.72-7.671.8811.8113.182.370.46-
2020/110.78-11.617.6811.0914.02.850.39-
2020/100.88-26.5423.3410.3114.513.390.32-
2020/91.2-8.6766.329.4313.754.090.31因客戶訂單增加, 致營收增加
2020/81.31-17.3245.498.248.763.980.32-
2020/71.5946.1669.716.933.83.70.34因客戶訂單增加, 致營收增加
2020/61.085.0133.655.34-6.923.180.5-
2020/51.03-3.15.574.26-13.612.940.54-
2020/41.0726.879.863.22-18.362.60.61-
2020/30.8420.68-17.232.16-27.562.160.54-
2020/20.712.0-26.51.32-32.92.020.57-
2020/10.62-11.75-38.850.62-38.852.050.57-
2019/120.7-2.41-30.6110.43-16.090.0N/A-
2019/110.721.23-28.669.73-14.80.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.752023/10.72022/10.992021/10.92020/10.62
2024/20.492023/20.722022/20.722021/20.92020/20.7
2024/30.632023/30.792022/31.032021/30.722020/30.84
2024/40.612023/40.752022/40.832021/40.712020/41.07
2024/50.572023/50.732022/51.02021/50.862020/51.03
2024/60.542023/60.772022/60.762021/61.022020/61.08
2024/70.512023/70.612022/70.92021/70.892020/71.59
2024/80.62023/80.552022/80.832021/81.052020/81.31
2024/90.492023/90.472022/90.882021/90.92020/91.2
2024/100.562023/100.682022/100.552021/100.672020/100.88
N/AN/A2023/110.642022/110.742021/110.712020/110.78
N/AN/A2023/120.492022/120.542021/120.752020/120.72
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.25%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.0-66.67
24Q2 (19)0.010.0-83.33
24Q1 (18)0.01-50.0-75.0
23Q4 (17)0.02-33.330.0
23Q3 (16)0.03-50.050.0
23Q2 (15)0.0650.0200.0
23Q1 (14)0.04100.0100.0
22Q4 (13)0.020.00.0
22Q3 (12)0.020.0-33.33
22Q2 (11)0.020.0-33.33
22Q1 (10)0.020.0100.0
21Q4 (9)0.02-33.33100.0
21Q3 (8)0.030.0200.0
21Q2 (7)0.03200.0200.0
21Q1 (6)0.010.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.010.00.0
20Q3 (4)0.010.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.010.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.010.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.010.00.0

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