玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.84-14.77-8.2263.69-2.1520.8N/A-
2024/98.0235.182.256.86-1.3720.981.07-
2024/85.94-15.47-8.0248.83-1.9319.771.14-
2024/77.023.056.7542.9-1.0319.981.13-
2024/66.8110.93-12.135.88-2.4218.751.1-
2024/56.146.040.3729.060.1618.451.11-
2024/45.79-11.060.6622.920.1117.361.18-
2024/36.5128.896.6817.13-0.0717.131.16-
2024/25.05-9.18-8.3410.62-3.8119.371.03-
2024/15.56-36.460.75.560.721.040.95-
2023/128.7630.351.5380.578.7122.930.8-
2023/116.72-9.83-13.3471.829.6622.020.84-
2023/107.45-5.08-2.1165.112.7521.750.85-
2023/97.8521.653.257.6515.0120.881.02-
2023/86.45-1.891.6249.817.1220.781.02-
2023/76.58-15.156.7643.3419.8420.451.04-
2023/67.7526.6810.5736.7722.5319.631.2-
2023/56.126.3530.0429.0126.1717.981.31-
2023/45.75-5.7336.6222.8925.1817.371.36-
2023/36.110.7220.5617.1421.7517.141.43-
2023/25.51-0.2137.911.0422.4319.661.24-
2023/15.52-35.9410.15.5210.121.91.12-
2022/128.6211.2539.0174.1165.7423.990.95本年營收較去年同期增加,主要為歐美地區營收增加
2022/117.751.8470.2765.4970.0422.970.99本年營收較去年同期增加,主要為歐美地區營收增加
2022/107.610.0772.8857.7370.0121.571.05本年營收較去年同期增加,主要為歐美地區營收增加
2022/97.6119.7972.9850.1269.5920.121.1本年營收較去年同期增加,主要為歐美地區營收增加
2022/86.353.0549.4942.5268.9919.521.14本年營收較去年同期增加,主要為歐美地區營收增加
2022/76.16-12.1288.5636.1772.9617.881.24本年營收較去年同期增加,主要為歐美地區營收增加
2022/67.0148.9877.7530.0170.0715.931.32本年營收較去年同期增加,主要為歐美地區營收增加
2022/54.7111.7361.5522.9967.8513.981.51本年營收較去年同期增加,主要為歐美地區營收增加
2022/44.21-16.8148.5418.2969.5613.271.59本年營收較去年同期增加,主要為歐美地區營收增加
2022/35.0626.6539.4314.0877.0514.081.32本年營收較去年同期增加,主要為歐美地區營收增加
2022/24.0-20.33144.559.01108.6815.221.22本年營收較去年營收增加,主要為歐美地區銷售增加
2022/15.02-19.1286.855.0286.8515.771.18歐美地區營收成長
2021/126.236.2726.0744.7120.4515.161.09-
2021/114.553.442.6638.5119.5913.351.24-
2021/104.40.1346.1133.9617.0513.051.27-
2021/94.43.5233.4729.5513.6811.911.32-
2021/84.2529.9966.7725.1610.8111.461.37營收較去年同期增加,主要係美洲地區及南亞地區
2021/73.27-17.1528.520.913.7310.121.55-
2021/63.9435.413.0217.640.169.691.45-
2021/52.912.7310.3313.7-3.019.381.5-
2021/42.84-21.920.6510.79-6.088.11.74-
2021/33.63122.1531.357.95-8.267.951.56-
2021/21.63-39.13-37.24.32-26.829.241.35-
2021/12.69-45.43-18.632.69-18.6310.81.15-
2020/124.9254.2-0.3437.124.1211.131.11-
2020/113.195.9-20.3332.24.839.51.3-
2020/103.01-8.53-12.9129.018.618.851.4-
2020/93.2929.3512.7926.011.818.381.74-
2020/82.550.16-5.022.711.678.581.7-
2020/72.54-27.1310.0720.1614.218.671.68-
2020/63.4932.1822.4917.6114.838.951.55-
2020/52.64-6.27-5.7714.1213.098.221.68-
2020/42.821.884.2111.4818.548.181.69-
2020/32.766.197.748.6724.098.671.44-
2020/22.6-21.1244.285.933.5810.841.15-
2020/13.3-33.1626.193.326.1912.241.02-
2019/124.9423.2698.0135.6551.490.0N/A主要是東北亞、北美洲及歐洲地區較去年同期大幅成長所致
2019/114.0115.7770.6430.7245.970.0N/A主要是中南美洲及東南亞客戶出貨增加
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.562023/15.522022/15.022021/12.692020/13.3
2024/25.052023/25.512022/24.02021/21.632020/22.6
2024/36.512023/36.12022/35.062021/33.632020/32.76
2024/45.792023/45.752022/44.212021/42.842020/42.82
2024/56.142023/56.122022/54.712021/52.912020/52.64
2024/66.812023/67.752022/67.012021/63.942020/63.49
2024/77.022023/76.582022/76.162021/73.272020/72.54
2024/85.942023/86.452022/86.352021/84.252020/82.55
2024/98.022023/97.852022/97.612021/94.42020/93.29
2024/106.842023/107.452022/107.612021/104.42020/103.01
N/AN/A2023/116.722022/117.752021/114.552020/113.19
N/AN/A2023/128.762022/128.622021/126.22020/124.92
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.09%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.0-15.9717.65
24Q2 (19)1.1922.687.21
24Q1 (18)0.97-3.9621.25
23Q4 (17)1.0118.8231.17
23Q3 (16)0.85-23.42-39.72
23Q2 (15)1.1138.7573.44
23Q1 (14)0.83.948.15
22Q4 (13)0.77-45.39-14.44
22Q3 (12)1.41120.31220.45
22Q2 (11)0.6418.5245.45
22Q1 (10)0.54-40.042.11
21Q4 (9)0.9104.55210.34
21Q3 (8)0.440.010.0
21Q2 (7)0.4415.79-54.64
21Q1 (6)0.3831.03-71.21
20Q4 (5)0.29-27.5-82.94
20Q3 (4)0.4-58.760.0
20Q2 (3)0.97-26.520.0
20Q1 (2)1.32-22.350.0
19Q4 (1)1.70.00.0

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