玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)14.5613.457.240.00006.25-11.85-36.4235596.607.9630.53323.85-15.4963.1735279.008.2330.26
24Q2 (19)12.8493.3713.930.00007.09-48.29-12.2532973.203.4913.88383.19-58.15113.3132597.105.2913.25
24Q1 (18)6.64-67.35-37.240.00-100.0013.71206.7159.4231861.20687.018.98915.57777.32400.2330959.40684.086.53
23Q4 (17)20.34119.65-42.180.0200.04.47-54.5372.594048.40-85.156.34104.36-47.42610.93948.51-85.424.04
23Q3 (16)9.26-17.83-77.480.000-100.09.8321.66344.827271.10-5.82299.7198.4810.4917310.5327082.50-5.91296.87
23Q2 (15)11.276.52-34.360.000-100.08.08-6.0552.4528955.60-0.9676.82179.64-1.85640.7828784.10-0.9675.98
23Q1 (14)10.58-69.93-13.910.00-100.008.60232.0516.0629236.60667.9533.99183.031146.865.2929062.20665.833.82
22Q4 (13)35.18-14.45521.550.02100.0-33.332.5917.19-83.893807.12-44.223.7914.681187.72-56.793795.03-44.3924.12
22Q3 (12)41.12139.49327.890.010.002.21-58.3-76.666822.87-58.33-92.781.14-95.3-99.936823.95-58.28-92.66
22Q2 (11)17.1739.71-54.820.0100.05.30-28.48121.7616375.30-24.9510.0724.25-78.1-93.5616356.30-24.6912.77
22Q1 (10)12.29117.14-65.060.00-100.0-100.07.41-53.92186.121820.50609.53193.37110.73225.96-69.9221717.20610.3207.07
21Q4 (9)5.66-41.1-10.160.030-25.016.0869.811.283075.36-96.7551.0133.97-97.85-69.473057.47-96.7157.63
21Q3 (8)9.61-74.71116.930.00-100.0-100.09.47296.23-53.8794516.20535.2815481.821578.78319.347053.5192946.90540.8515262.36
21Q2 (7)38.008.054771.790.010.00.02.39-7.72-97.9614877.80100.0390.14376.492.2624.5214503.70105.0889.86
21Q1 (6)35.17458.25693.910.01-75.0-91.672.59-82.08-87.47437.96265.24880.23368.17230.88929.567072.37264.62851.1
20Q4 (5)6.3042.21505.770.04-73.33300.014.45-29.62-83.452036.48235.73-71.58111.27404.17-71.91939.66220.59-71.71
20Q3 (4)4.43467.950.00.151400.00.020.53-82.470.0606.58-92.250.022.07-92.70.0605.03-92.080.0
20Q2 (3)0.78-82.390.00.01-91.670.0117.14469.750.07824.49931.170.0302.36745.530.07639.27927.340.0
20Q1 (2)4.43325.960.00.121100.00.020.56-76.450.0758.80-89.410.035.76-90.970.0743.60-89.150.0
19Q4 (1)1.040.00.00.010.00.087.320.00.07164.460.00.0395.970.00.06855.800.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)40.30-42.110.03-57.149.0672.911318.70103.47299.03560.1111028.7099.7
2022 (9)69.61105.40.0775.05.24-51.355562.70-34.4845.30-81.475522.64-33.11
2021 (8)33.8958.220.04-87.510.77-36.88490.47651.35244.44291.18256.80661.29
2020 (7)21.42-60.160.32-79.2217.04150.961130.03377.8762.50367.461084.58371.76
2019 (6)53.766377.111.541183.336.79-98.45236.47-92.0613.37-93.21229.90-92.86
2018 (5)0.83-75.730.12-71.43437.60310.162978.17238.83197.05201.483218.72249.76
2017 (4)3.42-81.360.42500.0106.69436.4878.95-83.5865.36-80.16920.27-81.76
2016 (3)18.35761.50.07600.019.89-88.415354.29-81.1329.47-83.195044.70-80.99
2015 (2)2.13-55.620.01-96.88171.54125.7428332.402345.651959.941202.8926544.002348.62
2014 (1)4.80-37.660.32-17.9575.9960.321158.4823.52150.43109.781084.0418.66

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