玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.017.53-29.0118.53-40.495.26N/A-
2024/101.79.24-19.2916.53-41.634.37N/A-
2024/91.5640.22-48.5814.83-43.433.432.51-
2024/81.1145.79-59.5813.27-42.753.272.63因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少。
2024/70.76-45.4-80.6512.16-40.494.222.04因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少。
2024/61.4-32.17-46.1311.4-30.95.871.41-
2024/52.06-14.91-47.9110.0-28.066.81.22-
2024/42.424.09-9.677.94-20.185.511.51-
2024/32.32203.92-31.235.52-24.055.521.75-
2024/20.76-68.61-59.023.2-17.815.341.81因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少。
2024/12.4413.9720.092.4420.097.391.31-
2023/122.14-24.1612.2133.2830.867.061.57-
2023/112.8233.630.4831.1432.377.961.39-
2023/102.11-30.39-7.1928.3236.697.891.41-
2023/93.0310.2157.3126.2142.19.721.34因市場需求增加, 營收較去年同期增加
2023/82.75-30.2152.4223.1840.329.281.41因市場需求增加,營收較去年同期增加。
2023/73.9451.98160.5520.4338.8410.481.24因市場需求增加,營收較去年同期增加。
2023/62.59-34.426.8616.524.919.221.15-
2023/53.9547.5458.3713.924.5510.011.06因市場需求增加,營收較去年同期增加。
2023/42.68-20.7517.359.9514.827.921.34-
2023/33.3881.177.17.2713.917.271.11因市場需求增加, 營收較去年同期增加
2023/21.87-8.037.563.89-13.015.81.4-
2023/12.036.48-35.02.03-35.06.741.2-
2022/121.9-32.09-40.2925.43-49.616.981.4因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/112.823.42-32.3123.52-50.247.01.4因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/102.2717.98-38.6920.72-51.966.01.63因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/91.936.79-45.1218.45-53.215.242.44因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/81.819.29-56.816.52-54.05.362.39因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/71.51-25.99-69.6214.72-53.636.052.12因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/62.04-18.11-47.3313.21-50.666.821.97因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/52.499.32-53.5311.16-51.236.692.01因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/42.2819.59-47.258.67-50.525.552.42因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/31.9140.68-54.326.39-51.596.392.08因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/21.36-56.53-58.124.48-50.337.671.73因市場需求減少, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/13.12-2.17-45.963.12-45.9610.461.27-
2021/123.19-23.02-33.9350.4729.7611.041.08-
2021/114.1411.83.4547.2838.7911.361.04-
2021/103.715.59-15.0543.1443.511.391.04-
2021/93.51-15.93-8.2239.4353.4412.661.14本年因市場需求增加, 累計營收較去年同期增加。
2021/84.18-16.1113.4335.9264.2313.031.11因市場需求增加,營收增加
2021/74.9828.3291.4731.7474.5114.231.02因市場需求增加, 營收增加
2021/63.88-27.7520.9226.7771.6813.571.01因市場需求增加,營收增加
2021/55.3724.180.9922.8984.8313.870.98因市場需求增加,營收增加
2021/44.333.5539.4417.5286.0411.741.16因市場需求增加,營收增加。
2021/34.1828.97129.1213.19108.9413.190.82因市場需求增加,營收增加
2021/23.24-43.976.569.01100.7413.840.78因市場需求增加,營收增加。
2021/15.7719.59117.455.77117.4514.610.74因市場需求增加,營收增加。
2020/124.8320.54145.8738.8972.3413.20.77因市場需求增加,營收增加
2020/114.01-8.292.234.0765.3312.190.83因市場需求增加,營收增加
2020/104.3614.08109.5230.0662.3111.870.86因市場需求增加,營收增加。
2020/93.823.9161.9925.756.3310.110.79因市場需求增加,營收增加
2020/83.6841.5877.4121.8755.389.490.85因市場需求增加, 營收增加
2020/72.6-18.9536.6818.1951.578.770.91因市場需求增加,營收增加
2020/63.218.1386.2715.5954.379.280.57因客戶訂單回溫, 致營收增加。
2020/52.97-4.3849.2912.3847.827.890.67-
2020/43.170.1562.029.4247.366.760.78因客戶訂單回溫, 致營收增加
2020/31.82-0.613.946.3141.086.310.96-
2020/21.83-30.91103.234.4965.036.450.94因客戶訂單回溫, 致營收增加.
2020/12.6635.2246.062.6646.060.0N/A-
2019/121.96-5.7760.4522.57-0.280.0N/A客戶訂單回溫, 致營收增加.
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.442023/12.032022/13.122021/15.772020/12.66
2024/20.762023/21.872022/21.362021/23.242020/21.83
2024/32.322023/33.382022/31.912021/34.182020/31.82
2024/42.422023/42.682022/42.282021/44.332020/43.1
2024/52.062023/53.952022/52.492021/55.372020/52.97
2024/61.42023/62.592022/62.042021/63.882020/63.21
2024/70.762023/73.942022/71.512021/74.982020/72.6
2024/81.112023/82.752022/81.82021/84.182020/83.68
2024/91.562023/93.032022/91.932021/93.512020/93.82
2024/101.72023/102.112022/102.272021/103.712020/104.36
2024/112.02023/112.822022/112.82021/114.142020/114.01
N/AN/A2023/122.142022/121.92021/123.192020/124.83
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.03%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.2592.31177.78
24Q2 (19)0.13-58.0662.5
24Q1 (18)0.310.0287.5
23Q4 (17)0.31244.44106.67
23Q3 (16)0.0912.5-30.77
23Q2 (15)0.080.0-52.94
23Q1 (14)0.08-46.67-80.0
22Q4 (13)0.1515.38-69.39
22Q3 (12)0.13-23.53-58.06
22Q2 (11)0.17-57.5-34.62
22Q1 (10)0.4-18.37185.71
21Q4 (9)0.4958.0613.95
21Q3 (8)0.3119.23-26.19
21Q2 (7)0.2685.71420.0
21Q1 (6)0.14-67.44100.0
20Q4 (5)0.432.38168.75
20Q3 (4)0.42740.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.05-28.570.0
20Q1 (2)0.07-56.250.0
19Q4 (1)0.160.00.0

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