玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.05-67.68-72.261.47-32.950.38N/A本月客戶訂單量減少
2024/100.16-6.13-6.921.42-29.370.47N/A-
2024/90.1711.1-14.751.26-31.430.421.44-
2024/80.1554.17-42.311.1-33.420.411.48-
2024/70.1-37.92-31.380.95-31.740.421.44-
2024/60.16-1.9973.770.85-31.780.431.6本月相較去年同期客戶訂單量增加
2024/50.1640.3516.580.69-40.080.421.66-
2024/40.11-18.98-43.250.53-47.770.381.8-
2024/30.1410.96-64.780.42-48.890.422.5本月客戶訂單量減少
2024/20.13-13.58-34.950.27-33.440.522.01-
2024/10.15-39.56-32.080.15-32.080.571.81-
2023/120.2433.1169.732.4427.820.61.86本月客戶訂單量增加
2023/110.188.4826.612.1920.760.552.03-
2023/100.17-14.0390.792.0120.260.631.77本月客戶訂單量增加
2023/90.2-24.8160.451.8416.320.62.02本月客戶訂單量增加
2023/80.2683.3955.021.6512.630.492.45本月客戶訂單量增加
2023/70.1457.2-32.71.397.110.373.26-
2023/60.09-34.24-34.871.2414.890.433.14-
2023/50.14-31.68-13.961.1522.230.741.82-
2023/40.2-49.71-0.181.0129.630.81.69-
2023/30.4104.92178.040.8139.990.811.89部分缺料情況解決,訂單多集中於本月出貨
2023/20.2-9.768.90.41-5.570.53.06-
2023/10.22140.0-15.680.22-15.680.453.41-
2022/120.09-37.51-74.341.91-8.380.324.79因客戶調整庫存故訂單量減少
2022/110.1463.46-20.641.824.610.364.36-
2022/100.09-27.7-46.071.677.570.384.09-
2022/90.12-27.35-35.681.5813.90.53.23-
2022/80.17-20.3829.431.4621.760.523.12-
2022/70.2152.1488.341.2920.820.513.17本月訂單量較多
2022/60.14-13.13-41.321.0812.910.53.37-
2022/50.16-20.73-5.910.9430.730.513.34-
2022/40.240.0633.260.7842.040.533.21-
2022/30.14-19.732.340.5845.370.582.43-
2022/20.18-30.1344.810.4468.790.791.79本年累計營收增加主係因本年訂單量較去年同期為多
2022/10.26-26.9690.870.2690.870.791.78因訂單較去年同期為多,故營收增加
2021/120.3593.23172.682.08-13.570.71.6本月訂單量較多致本月較去年同月營收成長
2021/110.1811.08-13.01.74-23.810.542.09-
2021/100.16-13.76-21.991.55-24.90.482.31-
2021/90.1946.1828.291.39-25.230.432.29-
2021/80.1315.84-13.761.2-29.860.482.07-
2021/70.11-52.59-29.671.07-31.420.521.91-
2021/60.2439.2652.940.96-31.620.560.73本月營收較去年同期增加50%主係本月外銷訂單增加所致
2021/50.1712.27-53.280.72-42.130.460.89本月營收較去年同月營收減少,主要係因去年銷售DRAM商品本年度無此情形所致。
2021/40.157.56-54.590.55-37.530.420.98本月營收較去年同月營收減少,主要係因去年銷售DRAM商品本年度無此情形所致。
2021/30.1413.55-26.240.4-27.150.40.85-
2021/20.12-7.91-36.850.26-27.630.390.88-
2021/10.134.33-16.40.13-16.40.470.72-
2020/120.13-38.34-68.842.41-8.270.550.56較去年同期月減少主要係因外銷客戶受新冠疫情影響延遲出貨
2020/110.21-0.3918.02.283.070.570.55-
2020/100.2141.83-26.512.071.760.510.61-
2020/90.15-1.7323.581.866.390.460.89-
2020/80.15-5.53-32.081.715.130.470.88-
2020/70.163.08-23.441.5611.010.680.6-
2020/60.15-57.459.111.417.010.850.57-
2020/50.369.1176.021.2518.070.890.55本公司為擴增營運版圖,逐步發展電子相關(DRAM)及其他產業,故營收成長。
2020/40.3374.7450.270.883.950.720.68本公司為擴增營運版圖,逐步發展電子相關(DRAM)及其他產業,故營收成長。
2020/30.19-2.77-31.50.55-12.460.551.71-
2020/20.221.946.710.362.790.771.22-
2020/10.16-61.11-24.680.16-24.680.0N/A-
2019/120.41133.51222.72.6332.750.0N/A主係受惠於NRE(委託設計)業績挹注。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.152023/10.222022/10.262021/10.132020/10.16
2024/20.132023/20.22022/20.182021/20.122020/20.2
2024/30.142023/30.42022/30.142021/30.142020/30.19
2024/40.112023/40.22022/40.22021/40.152020/40.33
2024/50.162023/50.142022/50.162021/50.172020/50.36
2024/60.162023/60.092022/60.142021/60.242020/60.15
2024/70.12023/70.142022/70.212021/70.112020/70.16
2024/80.152023/80.262022/80.172021/80.132020/80.15
2024/90.172023/90.22022/90.122021/90.192020/90.15
2024/100.162023/100.172022/100.092021/100.162020/100.21
2024/110.052023/110.182022/110.142021/110.182020/110.21
N/AN/A2023/120.242022/120.092021/120.352020/120.13
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.38%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.020.0-50.0
24Q2 (19)0.02-33.33-50.0
24Q1 (18)0.03-25.0-57.14
23Q4 (17)0.040.0-73.33
23Q3 (16)0.040.0-20.0
23Q2 (15)0.04-42.8633.33
23Q1 (14)0.07-53.3340.0
22Q4 (13)0.15200.066.67
22Q3 (12)0.0566.67-37.5
22Q2 (11)0.03-40.0-66.67
22Q1 (10)0.05-44.44-54.55
21Q4 (9)0.0912.550.0
21Q3 (8)0.08-11.11-20.0
21Q2 (7)0.09-18.1828.57
21Q1 (6)0.1183.3322.22
20Q4 (5)0.06-40.0-33.33
20Q3 (4)0.142.860.0
20Q2 (3)0.07-22.220.0
20Q1 (2)0.090.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.090.00.0

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