玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.366.76-6.663.86-1.21.08N/A-
2024/90.34-10.65-12.43.5-0.61.060.48-
2024/80.389.49-4.073.160.841.140.45-
2024/70.35-16.31-17.312.781.551.160.44-
2024/60.413.923.862.444.951.230.38-
2024/50.4-4.2-3.482.025.181.240.37-
2024/40.41-3.568.91.637.541.20.38-
2024/30.4320.17.491.217.081.210.38-
2024/20.36-15.0-7.640.786.861.180.39-
2024/10.424.3223.320.4223.321.180.39-
2023/120.413.13-1.534.67-5.841.150.37-
2023/110.36-7.66-8.924.26-6.231.130.37-
2023/100.390.18-3.673.91-5.971.170.36-
2023/90.39-2.15-5.183.52-6.221.20.37-
2023/80.39-5.613.443.13-6.351.210.36-
2023/70.425.111.652.74-7.611.230.36-
2023/60.4-3.43-4.992.32-9.11.190.36-
2023/50.418.09-7.51.92-9.911.190.36-
2023/40.38-4.81-11.871.51-10.541.170.37-
2023/30.43.18-15.481.13-10.091.130.42-
2023/20.3913.499.260.73-6.831.140.42-
2023/10.34-16.7-20.170.34-20.171.140.42-
2022/120.414.64-4.274.96-2.481.20.47-
2022/110.39-2.33-3.04.55-2.321.20.47-
2022/100.4-1.38-4.414.16-2.251.190.48-
2022/90.416.754.213.75-2.021.20.32-
2022/80.38-7.24-8.713.35-2.721.210.32-
2022/70.41-1.76-7.322.96-1.91.280.31-
2022/60.42-5.99-7.522.55-0.961.30.3-
2022/50.452.98-6.622.130.431.350.29-
2022/40.43-8.77.341.692.471.260.31-
2022/30.4733.42.851.260.891.260.23-
2022/20.36-17.092.820.78-0.251.210.24-
2022/10.43-0.11-2.670.43-2.671.260.23-
2021/120.436.030.055.083.991.250.34-
2021/110.4-3.751.74.664.371.220.35-
2021/100.427.512.484.254.631.230.34-
2021/90.39-6.49-2.613.834.881.250.31-
2021/80.42-5.822.893.445.81.310.3-
2021/70.44-1.974.883.026.221.370.28-
2021/60.45-5.0711.742.586.451.330.26-
2021/50.4818.3814.372.135.391.340.25-
2021/40.4-12.52-1.461.653.051.210.28-
2021/30.4633.379.81.254.61.250.3-
2021/20.35-21.52-11.280.791.781.210.3-
2021/10.442.6915.080.4415.081.270.29-
2020/120.437.772.414.89-4.031.240.4-
2020/110.4-3.011.534.46-4.611.210.41-
2020/100.412.15-4.64.06-5.181.220.41-
2020/90.4-1.20.013.65-5.241.230.3-
2020/80.41-4.0-9.573.25-5.851.230.3-
2020/70.424.44-6.642.85-5.291.250.3-
2020/60.41-2.83-11.542.42-5.061.230.32-
2020/50.421.98-8.692.02-3.641.250.32-
2020/40.41-2.52-1.111.6-2.231.220.33-
2020/30.427.75-7.611.19-2.61.190.34-
2020/20.391.7915.510.770.341.190.34-
2020/10.38-8.6-11.480.38-11.481.190.34-
2019/120.426.842.575.0910.890.0N/A-
2019/110.39-8.882.514.6811.70.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.422023/10.342022/10.432021/10.442020/10.38
2024/20.362023/20.392022/20.362021/20.352020/20.39
2024/30.432023/30.42022/30.472021/30.462020/30.42
2024/40.412023/40.382022/40.432021/40.42020/40.41
2024/50.42023/50.412022/50.452021/50.482020/50.42
2024/60.412023/60.42022/60.422021/60.452020/60.41
2024/70.352023/70.422022/70.412021/70.442020/70.42
2024/80.382023/80.392022/80.382021/80.422020/80.41
2024/90.342023/90.392022/90.412021/90.392020/90.4
2024/100.362023/100.392022/100.42021/100.422020/100.41
N/AN/A2023/110.362022/110.392021/110.42020/110.4
N/AN/A2023/120.42022/120.412021/120.432020/120.43
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.93%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.02100.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.010.0-80.0
24Q1 (18)0.010.0-90.0
23Q4 (17)0.01-50.0-50.0
23Q3 (16)0.02-60.00.0
23Q2 (15)0.05-50.0150.0
23Q1 (14)0.1400.0233.33
22Q4 (13)0.020.0-33.33
22Q3 (12)0.020.0-33.33
22Q2 (11)0.02-33.33-33.33
22Q1 (10)0.030.00.0
21Q4 (9)0.030.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.030.00.0
21Q2 (7)0.030.00.0
21Q1 (6)0.030.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.030.00.0
20Q3 (4)0.030.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.030.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.030.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.030.00.0

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