玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.69-51.03-55.212.23-2.033.38N/A因客戶開案減少,造成本月營收大幅下滑
2024/91.4211.79-7.7411.535.493.820.0-
2024/81.2711.61-10.4610.127.653.860.0-
2024/71.14-22.35-17.398.8510.874.010.0-
2024/61.463.3727.827.7116.754.290.0-
2024/51.41-0.2221.616.2514.433.870.0-
2024/41.4236.5721.014.8412.493.710.0-
2024/31.04-17.52-11.343.429.293.420.0-
2024/21.2611.919.592.3821.634.710.0-
2024/11.12-51.7723.991.1223.994.770.0-
2023/122.3377.9626.316.1218.535.190.0-
2023/111.31-15.38-14.213.7917.324.390.0-
2023/101.550.851.9612.4822.024.50.0-
2023/91.548.4936.2310.9325.524.320.0-
2023/81.422.9718.379.423.933.930.0-
2023/71.3720.1450.697.9824.973.680.0去年同期基期較低所致。
2023/61.14-1.647.416.6120.693.480.0-
2023/51.16-0.7118.055.4623.893.50.0-
2023/41.170.0523.64.325.583.390.0-
2023/31.1711.2536.793.1326.333.130.0-
2023/21.0516.0129.121.9620.813.810.0-
2023/10.91-50.8812.410.9112.414.280.0-
2022/121.8520.8922.3413.634.414.890.0-
2022/111.530.5535.5211.7636.534.170.0-
2022/101.5234.7551.0710.2336.683.840.0權利金收入增加。
2022/91.13-5.7271.678.7134.453.230.0去年同期基期較低所致。
2022/81.231.0943.497.5830.253.170.0-
2022/70.91-14.3527.776.3928.042.960.0-
2022/61.068.0936.375.4728.083.00.0-
2022/50.993.9549.594.4126.232.790.0-
2022/40.9510.7334.73.4220.812.620.0-
2022/30.865.0112.032.4816.222.480.0-
2022/20.810.9920.021.6218.563.130.0-
2022/10.81-46.5317.130.8117.133.440.0-
2021/121.5133.9119.2810.123.143.640.0-
2021/111.1312.0919.38.610.752.790.0-
2021/101.0153.1220.197.48-1.542.490.0-
2021/90.66-21.2-15.336.48-4.232.20.0-
2021/80.8316.73-13.195.82-2.82.330.0-
2021/70.71-8.59-26.514.99-0.812.150.0-
2021/60.7818.5713.574.275.332.140.0-
2021/50.66-6.39-18.193.493.652.130.0-
2021/40.7-7.8916.82.8310.512.150.0-
2021/30.7612.58.822.138.582.130.0-
2021/20.68-1.4311.821.378.452.630.0-
2021/10.69-45.555.320.695.322.90.0-
2020/121.2733.9322.79.8112.883.050.0-
2020/110.9412.9314.898.5511.552.560.0-
2020/100.847.8632.617.611.152.570.0-
2020/90.78-19.21-4.956.768.972.710.0-
2020/80.96-1.183.945.9911.082.620.0-
2020/70.9741.281.555.0312.552.460.0-
2020/60.69-14.5921.454.0615.552.090.0-
2020/50.8133.6616.943.3714.422.110.0-
2020/40.6-14.188.392.5713.641.910.0-
2020/30.715.612.01.9615.361.960.0-
2020/20.61-7.1631.821.2624.432.290.0-
2020/10.65-36.5718.280.6518.282.510.0-
2019/121.0325.414.648.6913.820.0N/A-
2019/110.8230.346.427.6615.170.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.122023/10.912022/10.812021/10.692020/10.65
2024/21.262023/21.052022/20.812021/20.682020/20.61
2024/31.042023/31.172022/30.862021/30.762020/30.7
2024/41.422023/41.172022/40.952021/40.72020/40.6
2024/51.412023/51.162022/50.992021/50.662020/50.81
2024/61.462023/61.142022/61.062021/60.782020/60.69
2024/71.142023/71.372022/70.912021/70.712020/70.97
2024/81.272023/81.422022/81.22021/80.832020/80.96
2024/91.422023/91.542022/91.132021/90.662020/90.78
2024/100.692023/101.552022/101.522021/101.012020/100.84
N/AN/A2023/111.312022/111.532021/111.132020/110.94
N/AN/A2023/122.332022/121.852021/121.512020/121.27
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.7%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.280.0-77.24
24Q2 (19)0.280.0-84.27
24Q1 (18)0.280.0-89.43
23Q4 (17)0.28-77.24-89.47
23Q3 (16)1.23-30.9-55.91
23Q2 (15)1.78-32.83-32.32
23Q1 (14)2.65-0.386.0
22Q4 (13)2.66-4.66198.88
22Q3 (12)2.796.08173.53
22Q2 (11)2.635.2338.33
22Q1 (10)2.5180.9316.67
21Q4 (9)0.89-12.75-1.11
21Q3 (8)1.0270.037.84
21Q2 (7)0.60.0-43.4
21Q1 (6)0.6-33.33-1.64
20Q4 (5)0.921.62221.43
20Q3 (4)0.74-30.190.0
20Q2 (3)1.0673.770.0
20Q1 (2)0.61117.860.0
19Q4 (1)0.280.00.0

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