- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024/10 | 2.73 | -27.1 | 54.3 | 31.44 | -9.51 | 9.41 | N/A | 營收波動因各別客戶展店或汰舊換新時程影響,故使本期較去年同期增加。 | ||
2024/9 | 3.74 | 27.01 | 73.5 | 28.71 | -12.93 | 10.46 | 0.25 | 營收波動受限於各別客戶展店或汰舊換新時程影響,使同期間較難比較外,部分營收受惠於客戶急單挹注,墊高9月營收表現所致。 | ||
2024/8 | 2.95 | -21.82 | -49.67 | 24.97 | -18.98 | 9.34 | 0.28 | - | ||
2024/7 | 3.77 | 43.35 | 24.93 | 22.02 | -11.78 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
2024/6 | 2.63 | -9.25 | 26.44 | 18.26 | -16.83 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
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- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
---|---|---|---|
24Q3 (20) | 0.15 | -31.82 | -40.0 |
24Q2 (19) | 0.22 | 37.5 | -12.0 |
24Q1 (18) | 0.16 | -15.79 | -67.35 |
23Q4 (17) | 0.19 | -24.0 | -85.61 |
23Q3 (16) | 0.25 | 0.0 | 0 |
23Q2 (15) | 0.25 | -48.98 | -24.24 |
23Q1 (14) | 0.49 | -62.88 | 0 |
22Q4 (13) | 1.32 | 0 | 0 |