玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.770.54-0.2941.072.5214.15N/A-
2024/94.752.613.6336.32.9113.160.0-
2024/84.6322.09-0.7331.552.811.90.0-
2024/73.798.66-16.6526.923.4411.260.0-
2024/63.49-12.35-11.1923.137.6912.230.0-
2024/53.98-16.385.0619.6511.9212.550.0-
2024/44.7624.7922.5815.6713.811.540.0-
2024/33.8128.29-10.3310.9110.3510.910.0-
2024/22.97-27.89-0.717.0925.9811.690.0-
2024/14.12-10.3356.284.1256.2813.260.0因去年1月包含農曆過年連假,工作日較少
2023/124.61.3511.7649.14-5.3113.920.0-
2023/114.54-5.2529.4844.54-6.7813.870.0-
2023/104.795.3717.1140.01-9.6513.990.0-
2023/94.54-2.5224.7835.22-12.3813.750.02-
2023/84.662.519.0530.67-16.0813.10.02-
2023/74.5516.864.2426.01-19.4112.230.02-
2023/63.892.74-20.4121.47-23.111.560.06-
2023/53.79-2.44-20.2817.57-23.6711.940.05-
2023/43.88-9.17-20.9413.79-24.5611.150.06-
2023/34.2742.77-17.659.91-25.899.910.04-
2023/22.9913.48-6.095.63-31.129.630.04-
2023/12.64-33.95-47.112.64-47.1110.130.04-
2022/123.9914.01-23.9551.64-12.7911.590.05-
2022/113.5-14.3-33.4747.65-11.711.260.05-
2022/104.0911.39-0.5844.14-9.3512.030.05-
2022/93.67-14.14-0.3540.06-10.1512.310.06-
2022/84.27-2.023.7836.39-11.0413.490.06-
2022/74.36-10.08-14.4532.11-14.2513.960.06-
2022/64.852.11-4.8727.75-14.2214.510.11-
2022/54.75-3.25-21.4422.9-15.9714.720.11-
2022/44.91-3.01-19.8918.15-14.413.160.12-
2022/35.0658.81-23.8413.24-12.1813.240.14-
2022/23.19-36.08-9.128.18-2.9713.440.14-
2022/14.99-5.21.414.991.4115.510.12-
2021/125.26-0.07-6.9159.14-7.8614.640.11-
2021/115.2728.05-28.5153.88-7.9613.050.12-
2021/104.1112.1-46.2548.61-5.011.230.14-
2021/93.676.22-44.3944.52.2512.220.07-
2021/83.45-32.27-53.3840.8310.5813.620.06去年同期供應鏈恢復生產,客戶亦因解封訂單大增,銷貨金額大增;本期東南亞供應鏈因配合政策停產致出貨遞延,使銷貨金額減少。
2021/75.10.55-29.8537.3826.6316.220.05-
2021/65.07-16.150.6232.2845.0917.250.05-
2021/56.05-1.34110.2927.2158.1118.780.05去年營收受新冠疫情影響而降低
2021/46.13-7.21246.4121.1647.6416.240.06去年營收受新冠疫情影響而降低
2021/36.6188.320.4615.0319.6515.020.06-
2021/23.51-28.4749.58.4319.0214.270.07-
2021/14.91-16.183.634.913.6318.120.05-
2020/125.85-20.55-10.6764.38-11.4620.870.02-
2020/117.37-3.7122.4158.53-11.5421.610.02-
2020/107.6516.0231.6151.17-14.9421.650.02-
2020/96.59-10.9911.3243.52-19.9221.270.01-
2020/87.411.9122.0136.92-23.7419.720.01-
2020/77.2744.129.6429.51-30.315.190.02-
2020/65.0475.38-28.1522.24-37.729.690.0-
2020/52.8862.51-59.217.2-40.0610.120.0受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響,致本期營業收入淨額較去年同期大幅減少。
2020/41.77-67.69-71.1614.33-33.829.590.0受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響,致本期營業收入淨額較去年同期大幅減少。
2020/35.48133.4-1.9112.56-19.0512.560.0-
2020/22.35-50.42-18.187.08-28.6913.630.0-
2020/14.73-27.77-32.964.73-32.9617.30.0-
2019/126.558.9-6.1972.73-8.850.0N/A-
2019/116.023.52-15.9366.17-9.10.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.122023/12.642022/14.992021/14.912020/14.73
2024/22.972023/22.992022/23.192021/23.512020/22.35
2024/33.812023/34.272022/35.062021/36.612020/35.48
2024/44.762023/43.882022/44.912021/46.132020/41.77
2024/53.982023/53.792022/54.752021/56.052020/52.88
2024/63.492023/63.892022/64.852021/65.072020/65.04
2024/73.792023/74.552022/74.362021/75.12020/77.27
2024/84.632023/84.662022/84.272021/83.452020/87.41
2024/94.752023/94.542022/93.672021/93.672020/96.59
2024/104.772023/104.792022/104.092021/104.112020/107.65
N/AN/A2023/114.542022/113.52021/115.272020/117.37
N/AN/A2023/124.62022/123.992021/125.262020/125.85
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.08%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.21-47.5-19.23
24Q2 (19)0.437.9337.93
24Q1 (18)0.290-3.33

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