玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.25-21.83-11.433.0611.810.9N/A-
2024/90.32-3.5412.922.8114.471.020.28-
2024/80.33-11.148.762.514.670.990.29-
2024/70.3729.8354.072.1615.631.00.29再生膠銷貨金額增加,因塞港原因,部份訂單延至本月出貨
2024/60.29-16.43-3.141.799.940.920.25-
2024/50.3417.913.661.5112.840.960.24-
2024/40.29-10.354.561.1615.860.860.27-
2024/30.3232.6220.960.8720.180.870.26-
2024/20.24-19.94-5.630.5519.730.790.29-
2024/10.3125.5352.570.3152.570.810.28因今年工作天數較多,且銷量及售價皆有提升所致。
2023/120.24-7.79-10.893.251.070.790.3-
2023/110.26-6.173.733.02.180.830.29-
2023/100.28-0.34-5.622.742.030.870.28-
2023/90.28-7.0911.492.462.990.830.3-
2023/80.325.86-5.562.181.980.840.3-
2023/70.24-18.38-7.281.873.320.870.29-
2023/60.3-10.56-3.161.635.10.90.24-
2023/50.3318.9321.161.347.130.880.25-
2023/40.283.723.561.03.20.80.27-
2023/30.273.46-2.680.73-2.910.730.34-
2023/20.2629.4325.560.46-3.040.730.34-
2023/10.2-26.69-25.120.2-25.120.730.34-
2022/120.277.346.923.2118.80.830.27-
2022/110.25-14.642.662.9420.040.810.27-
2022/100.317.7323.072.6821.990.870.25-
2022/90.25-21.311.592.3921.860.830.28-
2022/80.3223.55213.772.1323.20.890.26今年同期較去年同期營收增加,係因去年同期重要子公司正原公司因疫情嚴峻持續停工,今年已恢復正常所致。
2022/70.26-14.75132.761.8111.210.840.27今年同期較去年同期營收增加,係因去年同期重要子公司正原公司因疫情嚴峻持續停工,今年已恢復正常所致。
2022/60.3111.91112.721.552.260.80.36今年同期較去年同期營收增加,係因去年同期重要子公司正原公司因疫情嚴峻持續停工,今年已恢復正常所致。
2022/50.2721.295.961.25-9.270.770.38-
2022/40.22-18.32-19.790.97-12.780.710.41-
2022/30.2833.5-6.30.75-10.430.750.36-
2022/20.21-22.81-17.510.47-12.670.730.37-
2022/10.274.68-8.530.27-8.530.770.35-
2021/120.263.07-20.292.7-4.470.740.36-
2021/110.252.3212.912.45-2.450.720.38-
2021/100.246.74-7.752.2-3.920.570.47-
2021/90.23121.27-12.841.96-3.430.440.57-
2021/80.1-8.34-61.181.73-2.040.360.7重要子公司正原公司因疫情嚴重持續停工,致營收大幅衰退。
2021/70.11-22.09-56.131.638.330.510.49重要子公司正原公司因疫情嚴重持續停工,致營收大幅衰退。
2021/60.14-44.25-41.321.5221.480.680.34-
2021/50.26-8.1947.861.3736.770.830.28-
2021/40.28-4.5969.261.1234.450.820.28重要子公司正原公司,2020年因新冠肺炎疫情停工致造成去年營收衰退。
2021/30.2917.5341.060.8425.780.840.3-
2021/20.25-14.424.090.5418.80.860.29-
2021/10.29-8.7735.150.2935.150.830.3-
2020/120.3246.0225.042.83-14.460.80.35-
2020/110.22-16.41-22.692.51-17.770.740.38-
2020/100.260.85-3.832.29-17.270.790.36-
2020/90.26-1.464.732.03-18.740.780.37-
2020/80.263.58-14.141.77-21.330.760.38-
2020/70.254.21-8.881.5-22.480.670.43-
2020/60.2440.48-4.11.25-24.770.580.53-
2020/50.175.09-44.581.0-28.520.550.57-
2020/40.17-20.49-44.330.83-23.890.610.5-
2020/30.21-13.27-27.30.66-16.230.660.51-
2020/20.2411.1115.940.46-9.970.710.48-
2020/10.22-15.59-27.890.22-27.890.760.45-
2019/120.26-9.72-2.873.311.00.0N/A-
2019/110.283.98-5.513.051.340.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.312023/10.22022/10.272021/10.292020/10.22
2024/20.242023/20.262022/20.212021/20.252020/20.24
2024/30.322023/30.272022/30.282021/30.292020/30.21
2024/40.292023/40.282022/40.222021/40.282020/40.17
2024/50.342023/50.332022/50.272021/50.262020/50.17
2024/60.292023/60.32022/60.312021/60.142020/60.24
2024/70.372023/70.242022/70.262021/70.112020/70.25
2024/80.332023/80.32022/80.322021/80.12020/80.26
2024/90.322023/90.282022/90.252021/90.232020/90.26
2024/100.252023/100.282022/100.32021/100.242020/100.26
N/AN/A2023/110.262022/110.252021/110.252020/110.22
N/AN/A2023/120.242022/120.272021/120.262020/120.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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