玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.41121.9579.7929.98-11.389.66N/A係113年承攬工程增加
2024/102.4434.39-2.9324.57-20.287.93N/A-
2024/91.81-50.7-43.9822.13-21.827.980.0-
2024/83.6848.1944.3520.31-18.968.090.0-
2024/72.4828.74-1.8316.63-26.126.710.0-
2024/61.93-16.06-45.1114.15-29.26.70.0-
2024/52.3-7.1-39.5912.22-25.87.50.0-
2024/42.47-9.49-22.119.92-21.666.840.0-
2024/32.7367.31-30.167.45-21.527.450.0-
2024/21.63-47.04-43.434.72-15.457.840.0-
2024/13.08-1.1814.533.0814.539.220.0-
2023/123.123.71-25.6636.95-5.818.640.0-
2023/113.0119.81-19.5833.83-3.438.760.0-
2023/102.51-22.43-20.9530.82-1.58.30.0-
2023/93.2427.02146.2928.30.698.320.0係112年承攬工程增加
2023/82.550.78-44.5725.07-6.458.590.0-
2023/72.53-28.02-22.9622.521.449.850.0-
2023/63.51-7.61-24.9519.995.6810.490.0-
2023/53.819.7814.6516.4715.7610.890.0-
2023/43.18-18.855.9912.6716.19.980.0-
2023/33.9135.5466.99.4919.939.490.0係112年承攬工程增加
2023/22.897.214.235.580.169.780.0-
2023/12.69-35.86-3.852.69-3.8510.630.0-
2022/124.212.2-19.5839.23-1.6611.120.0-
2022/113.7417.7741.9435.031.038.230.0-
2022/103.18141.67-7.6131.29-2.339.090.0-
2022/91.31-71.41-56.9728.11-1.699.20.0係111年承攬工程減少
2022/84.640.0891.7126.84.9112.570.0係111年承攬工程增加
2022/73.28-29.8822.3622.2-4.0811.280.0-
2022/64.6841.1577.3318.91-7.5411.00.0係111年承攬工程增加
2022/53.3210.73-2.6114.23-20.138.660.0-
2022/43.027.7713.9110.91-24.278.110.0-
2022/32.34-15.35-45.627.92-32.797.920.0-
2022/22.77-1.1-6.115.57-25.3810.790.0-
2022/12.8-46.36-37.982.8-37.9810.660.0-
2021/125.2298.06-6.4939.89-11.0911.30.0-
2021/112.64-23.34-12.9734.67-11.749.130.0-
2021/103.4412.54-2.0732.03-11.648.890.0-
2021/93.0627.38-2.528.6-12.668.140.0-
2021/82.4-10.58-36.4125.54-13.747.720.0-
2021/72.681.6-17.2923.14-10.438.730.0-
2021/62.64-22.48-28.0920.46-9.458.680.0-
2021/53.4129.53-29.4517.82-5.8310.350.0-
2021/42.63-39.01-16.3614.412.269.890.0-
2021/34.3146.152.7211.787.6111.780.0-
2021/22.95-34.66-15.917.4710.6613.050.0-
2021/14.52-19.1339.464.5239.4613.130.0-
2020/125.5884.3431.844.870.8912.130.0-
2020/113.03-13.74-19.239.29-2.359.680.0-
2020/103.5112.0435.9936.26-0.6210.420.0-
2020/93.13-16.92-5.1432.74-3.4110.150.0-
2020/83.7716.3-14.5429.61-3.2210.690.0-
2020/73.24-11.661.0425.84-1.3111.750.0-
2020/63.67-23.95-20.5522.59-1.6411.650.0-
2020/54.8353.5833.8418.923.1112.170.0-
2020/43.14-25.09-18.514.09-4.410.850.0-
2020/34.219.6319.4510.950.5910.950.0-
2020/23.518.3617.556.75-8.410.980.0-
2020/13.24-23.57-26.083.24-26.080.0N/A-
2019/124.2412.99-9.0344.47-1.940.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.082023/12.692022/12.82021/14.522020/13.24
2024/21.632023/22.892022/22.772021/22.952020/23.51
2024/32.732023/33.912022/32.342021/34.312020/34.2
2024/42.472023/43.182022/43.02021/42.632020/43.14
2024/52.32023/53.82022/53.322021/53.412020/54.83
2024/61.932023/63.512022/64.682021/62.642020/63.67
2024/72.482023/72.532022/73.282021/72.682020/73.24
2024/83.682023/82.552022/84.62021/82.42020/83.77
2024/91.812023/93.242022/91.312021/93.062020/93.13
2024/102.442023/102.512022/103.182021/103.442020/103.51
2024/115.412023/113.012022/113.742021/112.642020/113.03
N/AN/A2023/123.122022/124.22021/125.222020/125.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 8.09%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.46-10.4348.98
24Q2 (19)1.6317.27106.33
24Q1 (18)1.395.352.75
23Q4 (17)1.3234.699.09
23Q3 (16)0.9824.05-24.03
23Q2 (15)0.79-13.19-49.68
23Q1 (14)0.91-24.79-54.5
22Q4 (13)1.21-6.2-43.72
22Q3 (12)1.29-17.83-71.33
22Q2 (11)1.57-21.5-73.21
22Q1 (10)2.0-6.98-70.06
21Q4 (9)2.15-52.22-66.41
21Q3 (8)4.5-23.21161.63
21Q2 (7)5.86-12.28327.74
21Q1 (6)6.684.38394.81
20Q4 (5)6.4272.09350.7
20Q3 (4)1.7225.550.0
20Q2 (3)1.371.480.0
20Q1 (2)1.35-4.930.0
19Q4 (1)1.420.00.0

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