玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.4460.074.1129.07-15.688.41N/A-
2024/102.15-23.62-29.625.63-17.777.55N/A-
2024/92.828.7-25.8623.48-16.498.340.47-
2024/82.59-11.78-30.8720.67-15.038.440.47-
2024/72.940.55-2.818.08-12.148.030.49-
2024/62.9234.35-5.8715.14-13.756.630.46-
2024/52.1741.44-30.0112.22-15.446.070.5-
2024/41.54-34.86-46.8810.05-11.455.560.55-
2024/32.3641.25-24.68.510.658.510.4-
2024/21.67-62.76-40.426.1515.4710.010.34-
2024/14.4816.3177.514.4877.5111.650.29適逢農曆年節前出貨增加
2023/123.8616.637.6238.33-2.410.210.32-
2023/113.318.22-9.3734.48-3.4110.160.32-
2023/103.05-19.56-6.931.17-2.7310.60.31-
2023/93.81.357.1228.12-2.2510.560.32-
2023/83.7524.03-3.9324.32-3.579.870.34-
2023/73.02-2.61-16.4820.58-3.519.230.37-
2023/63.1-0.1126.7917.56-0.869.10.38-
2023/53.17.3531.2614.45-5.299.130.37-
2023/42.89-7.5416.7111.35-11.998.820.39-
2023/33.1311.6-18.578.46-18.828.460.49-
2023/22.810.957.135.33-18.978.910.46-
2023/12.53-29.47-36.222.53-36.229.760.42-
2022/123.58-1.78-18.639.28-3.0710.510.38-
2022/113.6511.17-24.6935.7-1.1810.470.38-
2022/103.28-7.44-20.6132.052.4610.730.37-
2022/93.54-9.123.3928.775.9711.060.41-
2022/83.97.83-3.9125.223.919.960.46-
2022/73.6247.8424.0321.335.488.430.54-
2022/62.453.41-37.3217.712.357.290.64-
2022/52.37-4.54-31.1115.2613.918.690.54-
2022/42.48-35.49-15.4312.929.438.940.52-
2022/33.8446.8340.4210.4248.1210.420.51-
2022/22.62-33.9558.756.5853.0210.980.48去年因受疫情影響出貨較少,今年大陸地區疫情穩定,出貨恢復正常水準
2022/13.96-10.049.463.9649.4613.210.4-
2021/124.4-9.1214.5340.5344.9613.380.37-
2021/114.8417.262.3736.1249.8111.850.42去年因受疫情影響出貨較少,今年大陸地區疫情穩定,出貨恢復正常水準
2021/104.1343.8789.5431.2848.0411.060.45去年因受疫情影響出貨較少,今年大陸地區疫情穩定,出貨恢復正常水準
2021/92.87-29.22-8.4227.1543.269.850.53-
2021/84.0639.2131.5724.2853.5110.880.48去年因受疫情影響出貨較少,今年大陸地區疫情穩定,出貨恢復正常水準
2021/72.92-25.2925.420.2258.8310.250.51去年因受疫情影響出貨較少,今年大陸地區疫情穩定,出貨恢復正常水準
2021/63.913.6683.6617.366.3110.270.41去年因受疫情影響出貨較少,今年大陸地區疫情穩定,出貨恢復正常水準
2021/53.4317.18117.7613.461.859.10.46去年因受疫情影響出貨較少,今年大陸地區疫情穩定,出貨恢復正常水準
2021/42.937.1178.279.9648.77.310.57去年因受疫情影響出貨較少,今年大陸地區疫情穩定,出貨恢復正常水準
2021/32.7466.043.917.0339.087.030.57-
2021/21.65-37.8144.024.336.178.140.5-
2021/12.65-31.0331.712.6531.719.480.43-
2020/123.8428.82-4.8327.96-27.919.010.44-
2020/112.9836.81-29.1924.11-30.68.30.48-
2020/102.18-30.48-42.2721.13-30.798.40.47-
2020/93.141.67-5.8418.95-29.178.550.3-
2020/83.0832.68-13.5315.81-32.497.530.34-
2020/72.329.4-25.8112.73-35.96.030.43-
2020/62.1234.76-40.1510.4-37.795.350.47-
2020/51.58-4.06-23.668.28-37.155.120.49-
2020/41.64-13.53-30.136.7-39.664.690.53-
2020/31.966.13-26.685.06-42.225.060.59-
2020/21.14-43.13-42.573.16-48.767.190.41-
2020/12.01-50.16-51.722.01-51.720.0N/A本月及本年營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少及適逢農曆年假期實際營業日減少所致。
2019/124.04-4.143.638.781.040.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.482023/12.532022/13.962021/12.652020/12.01
2024/21.672023/22.82022/22.622021/21.652020/21.14
2024/32.362023/33.132022/33.842021/32.742020/31.9
2024/41.542023/42.892022/42.482021/42.932020/41.64
2024/52.172023/53.12022/52.372021/53.432020/51.58
2024/62.922023/63.12022/62.452021/63.92020/62.12
2024/72.942023/73.022022/73.622021/72.922020/72.32
2024/82.592023/83.752022/83.92021/84.062020/83.08
2024/92.822023/93.82022/93.542021/92.872020/93.14
2024/102.152023/103.052022/103.282021/104.132020/102.18
2024/113.442023/113.312022/113.652021/114.842020/112.98
N/AN/A2023/123.862022/123.582021/124.42020/123.84
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.81%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.2816.6716.67
24Q2 (19)0.240.0-20.0
24Q1 (18)0.240.0-17.24
23Q4 (17)0.240.0-20.0
23Q3 (16)0.24-20.0-22.58
23Q2 (15)0.33.457.14
23Q1 (14)0.29-3.33-48.21
22Q4 (13)0.3-3.23-21.05
22Q3 (12)0.3110.71-13.89
22Q2 (11)0.28-50.07.69
22Q1 (10)0.5647.37107.41
21Q4 (9)0.385.56137.5
21Q3 (8)0.3638.46157.14
21Q2 (7)0.26-3.773.33
21Q1 (6)0.2768.75285.71
20Q4 (5)0.1614.29700.0
20Q3 (4)0.14-6.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.15114.290.0
20Q1 (2)0.07250.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.020.00.0

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