玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1016.053.316.39161.740.4347.9N/A-
2024/915.53-4.84-16.5145.69-0.1746.630.6-
2024/816.3210.492.96130.162.247.160.59-
2024/714.77-8.031.92113.832.147.450.59-
2024/616.06-3.299.3199.062.1248.970.52-
2024/516.611.966.7683.00.8450.750.51-
2024/416.29-8.725.0366.39-0.5348.780.53-
2024/317.8521.873.8950.1-2.2250.10.53-
2024/214.64-16.81-4.0732.25-5.346.90.56-
2024/117.620.19-6.317.6-6.347.70.55-
2023/1214.65-5.210.72191.13-17.0545.180.64-
2023/1115.452.442.52176.48-18.2549.140.59-
2023/1015.08-18.91-27.08161.03-19.8149.540.59-
2023/918.617.34-2.89145.95-18.9748.950.6-
2023/815.859.37-17.02127.34-20.8945.040.65-
2023/714.49-1.36-28.29111.49-21.4144.750.66-
2023/614.69-5.55-30.6397.0-20.2645.760.63-
2023/515.560.31-20.8782.3-18.0848.250.6-
2023/415.51-9.71-22.7466.74-17.447.950.6-
2023/317.1812.51-21.2351.23-15.6351.230.6-
2023/215.27-18.74-1.5334.06-12.548.60.63-
2023/118.7929.21-19.7618.79-19.7648.40.63-
2022/1214.54-3.51-4.06230.4323.5850.30.67-
2022/1115.07-27.142.84215.8926.0254.910.62-
2022/1020.697.9938.13200.8228.1958.950.57-
2022/919.160.2628.07180.1327.1458.470.57-
2022/819.11-5.4725.8160.9727.0360.50.55-
2022/720.21-4.5826.69141.8727.261.060.54-
2022/621.187.7226.46121.6627.2860.920.51-
2022/519.66-2.0527.37100.4727.4661.550.51-
2022/420.08-7.9432.9980.8127.4857.390.55-
2022/321.8140.6620.760.7325.7660.730.54-
2022/215.5-33.798.0638.9228.7854.080.61-
2022/123.4254.4847.5123.4247.5153.230.62-
2021/1215.163.4312.56186.466.6444.790.73-
2021/1114.65-2.1411.79171.36.1444.590.73-
2021/1014.980.1211.44156.655.6545.120.72-
2021/914.96-1.51-1.8141.675.0746.10.5-
2021/815.19-4.818.1126.715.9447.890.49-
2021/715.95-4.759.48111.535.6648.140.48-
2021/616.758.520.6495.575.0447.280.52-
2021/515.442.264.8178.822.2348.60.5-
2021/415.1-16.45-2.6163.391.6347.510.51-
2021/318.0725.922.2148.293.0348.290.5-
2021/214.35-9.613.1730.223.5343.690.55-
2021/115.8717.873.8615.873.8642.450.57-
2020/1213.472.73-5.83174.842.3540.010.7-
2020/1113.11-2.443.8161.383.141.780.67-
2020/1013.44-11.78-1.31148.273.0442.720.65-
2020/915.238.43-2.57134.833.543.850.59-
2020/814.05-3.59-2.58119.64.3342.50.61-
2020/714.574.9514.02105.555.3243.180.6-
2020/613.88-5.7410.9690.984.0544.110.58-
2020/514.73-4.971.9977.12.947.910.54-
2020/415.5-12.35.7662.373.1247.080.55-
2020/317.6827.111.1346.872.2746.870.49-
2020/213.91-9.015.4829.192.9743.490.53-
2020/115.286.860.815.280.842.210.55-
2019/1214.313.2510.34170.81-5.80.0N/A-
2019/1112.63-7.26-4.11156.51-7.040.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/117.62023/118.792022/123.422021/115.872020/115.28
2024/214.642023/215.272022/215.52021/214.352020/213.91
2024/317.852023/317.182022/321.812021/318.072020/317.68
2024/416.292023/415.512022/420.082021/415.12020/415.5
2024/516.612023/515.562022/519.662021/515.442020/514.73
2024/616.062023/614.692022/621.182021/616.752020/613.88
2024/714.772023/714.492022/720.212021/715.952020/714.57
2024/816.322023/815.852022/819.112021/815.192020/814.05
2024/915.532023/918.62022/919.162021/914.962020/915.23
2024/1016.052023/1015.082022/1020.692021/1014.982020/1013.44
N/AN/A2023/1115.452022/1115.072021/1114.652020/1113.11
N/AN/A2023/1214.652022/1214.542021/1215.162020/1213.47
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.0%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.680.022.63
24Q2 (19)1.68-50.315.07
24Q1 (18)3.38-33.4613.8
23Q4 (17)5.08270.8-4.33
23Q3 (16)1.37-6.160.0
23Q2 (15)1.46-50.84-31.78
23Q1 (14)2.97-44.07-26.3
22Q4 (13)5.31287.59-5.35
22Q3 (12)1.37-35.98-29.38
22Q2 (11)2.14-46.945.58
22Q1 (10)4.03-28.1625.16
21Q4 (9)5.61189.187.27
21Q3 (8)1.9431.9750.39
21Q2 (7)1.47-54.3570.93
21Q1 (6)3.22-38.4313.38
20Q4 (5)5.23305.4324.52
20Q3 (4)1.2950.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.86-69.720.0
20Q1 (2)2.84-32.380.0
19Q4 (1)4.20.00.0

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