玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1014.83-15.92-30.31205.04-7.0251.91N/A-
2024/917.64-9.31-24.14190.22-4.5366.110.49-
2024/819.45-33.01-14.41172.58-1.9475.210.43-
2024/729.038.631.19153.13-0.179.290.41-
2024/626.7313.5910.3124.1-5.3867.20.63-
2024/523.5338.959.4997.37-8.9362.390.68-
2024/416.93-22.75-15.9373.84-13.5756.460.75-
2024/321.9224.55-0.0256.9-12.8456.90.82-
2024/217.61.28-21.7334.98-19.3257.060.82-
2024/117.38-21.3-16.7317.38-16.7359.250.79-
2023/1222.0811.59-29.17262.419.1563.150.77-
2023/1119.79-7.0-22.15240.3314.8664.320.75-
2023/1021.28-8.47-12.18220.5419.9867.250.72-
2023/923.252.3110.31199.2624.8768.10.79-
2023/822.722.6812.8176.0127.0869.080.78-
2023/722.13-8.6914.06153.2929.5267.850.79-
2023/624.2312.7528.98131.1632.5565.871.03-
2023/521.496.6924.56106.9233.3863.571.06-
2023/420.14-8.1413.3985.4335.864.561.05-
2023/321.93-2.4845.5165.2944.6265.291.07-
2023/222.497.7565.1843.3644.1874.540.93本月增長主要來自於晶圓產品。
2023/120.87-33.0626.820.8726.877.470.9-
2022/1231.1822.66104.66240.459.1180.830.81ASIC及晶圓產品收入、委託設計(NRE)收入、智財元件(IP)及其他增加
2022/1125.424.8951.71209.2254.0170.730.93ASIC及晶圓產品收入和委託設計(NRE)收入增加
2022/1024.2314.9741.6183.854.3365.451.0ASIC及晶圓產品收入增加
2022/921.084.6260.39159.5756.4760.620.8ASIC及晶圓產品收入增加
2022/820.143.8292.49138.4955.8958.330.83ASIC及晶圓產品收入增加
2022/719.43.2558.44118.3551.055.440.87ASIC及晶圓產品收入增加
2022/618.798.8955.8298.9549.6253.810.76ASIC及晶圓產品收入增加
2022/517.25-2.8859.2880.1648.2450.090.82ASIC及晶圓產品收入增加
2022/417.7717.8775.5562.9145.4846.450.88ASIC及晶圓產品收入增加
2022/315.0710.714.0945.1436.2945.140.66-
2022/213.61-17.2853.8630.0751.0145.310.66ASIC及晶圓產品收入和委託設計(NRE)收入皆增加
2022/116.468.0348.7416.4648.7448.450.61-
2021/1215.23-9.07-23.38151.0811.3349.10.57-
2021/1116.75-2.0963.29135.8517.2947.010.59主要為ASIC及晶圓產品收入增加
2021/1017.1130.2384.0119.0912.8240.720.68本期委託設計(NRE)收入增加
2021/913.1425.56-6.66101.985.9435.850.67-
2021/810.46-14.53-11.6788.848.1134.770.69-
2021/712.241.5530.8278.3711.4435.130.68-
2021/612.0611.331.2666.138.4633.010.5-
2021/510.837.0416.4154.074.4234.160.48-
2021/410.12-23.39-6.1143.241.7932.180.51-
2021/313.2149.2810.0533.124.4833.120.4-
2021/28.85-20.03-19.4319.911.0939.790.33-
2021/111.06-44.3426.9811.0626.9841.210.32-
2020/1219.8893.7775.67135.6926.6939.440.4212月營收較11月增長94%,主要係委託設計(NRE)收入增加所致
2020/1110.2610.32-18.31115.8120.9133.640.5-
2020/109.3-33.932.29105.5526.8335.230.48-
2020/914.0818.8286.0596.2529.8335.290.55今年9月較去年9月營收差異達50%,主要是今年9月NRE收入較去年9月增加
2020/811.8526.5838.7282.1723.4430.390.64-
2020/79.361.8914.8770.3321.227.850.69-
2020/69.19-1.2812.8160.9722.2329.270.68-
2020/59.3-13.6712.3651.7824.0732.090.62-
2020/410.78-10.1937.4642.4826.9733.760.59-
2020/312.09.2832.5331.723.7631.70.53-
2020/210.9826.0343.2119.718.9631.010.54-
2020/18.71-23.01-1.968.71-1.9632.590.51-
2019/1211.32-9.8915.32107.1-20.420.0N/A-
2019/1112.5638.16-1.2795.78-23.240.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/117.382023/120.872022/116.462021/111.062020/18.71
2024/217.62023/222.492022/213.612021/28.852020/210.98
2024/321.922023/321.932022/315.072021/313.212020/312.0
2024/416.932023/420.142022/417.772021/410.122020/410.78
2024/523.532023/521.492022/517.252021/510.832020/59.3
2024/626.732023/624.232022/618.792021/612.062020/69.19
2024/729.032023/722.132022/719.42021/712.242020/79.36
2024/819.452023/822.722022/820.142021/810.462020/811.85
2024/917.642023/923.252022/921.082021/913.142020/914.08
2024/1014.832023/1021.282022/1024.232021/1017.112020/109.3
N/AN/A2023/1119.792022/1125.422021/1116.752020/1110.26
N/AN/A2023/1222.082022/1231.182021/1215.232020/1219.88
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 481.52%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)64.5328.4918.66
24Q2 (19)50.22-28.87-7.03
24Q1 (18)70.612.9617.3
23Q4 (17)62.514.93-1.56
23Q3 (16)54.380.67-1.49
23Q2 (15)54.02-10.2511.5
23Q1 (14)60.19-5.220.62
22Q4 (13)63.4915.0219.48
22Q3 (12)55.213.9315.0
22Q2 (11)48.45-2.917.4
22Q1 (10)49.9-6.167.62
21Q4 (9)53.1410.71123.09
21Q3 (8)48.06.41213.73
21Q2 (7)45.1151.53141.23
21Q1 (6)29.7724.98134.59
20Q4 (5)23.8255.69114.79
20Q3 (4)15.3-18.180.0
20Q2 (3)18.747.360.0
20Q1 (2)12.6914.430.0
19Q4 (1)11.090.00.0

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