玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.651.3111.1615.481.124.72N/A-
2024/91.6312.934.0913.830.044.60.61-
2024/81.44-5.511.1312.2-0.464.390.64-
2024/71.537.394.1910.76-0.674.850.58-
2024/61.42-25.51-15.679.23-1.444.980.51-
2024/51.9115.83-0.267.811.685.140.49-
2024/41.654.1116.515.912.324.420.57-
2024/31.5832.65-10.474.26-2.274.260.64-
2024/21.19-19.66-29.32.683.324.010.68-
2024/11.4811.3264.21.4864.24.620.59本月營收較去年同期增加,係工作天數增加所致
2023/121.33-26.13-20.3818.457.244.620.6-
2023/111.8121.61-0.8217.1110.224.850.57-
2023/101.48-5.12-4.1215.3111.694.470.62-
2023/91.569.7210.2213.8213.74.450.65-
2023/81.43-2.6510.3312.2614.174.580.64-
2023/71.46-13.08-1.6810.8314.695.060.57-
2023/61.69-11.895.539.3717.765.010.53-
2023/51.9135.3335.217.6820.835.090.53-
2023/41.41-20.06.45.7716.714.870.55-
2023/31.774.7534.684.3620.54.360.6-
2023/21.6986.6158.942.5912.434.270.61本月營收較去年同期增加,係工作天數增加所致
2023/10.9-46.02-27.270.9-27.274.40.59-
2022/121.67-7.9816.0117.220.525.040.5-
2022/111.8217.5634.8915.5321.034.790.52-
2022/101.559.0618.3813.7119.44.260.59-
2022/91.429.8315.4112.1619.534.20.57-
2022/81.29-13.2512.4310.7420.14.380.55-
2022/71.49-6.7130.759.4521.234.50.53-
2022/61.612.8846.117.9619.64.340.56-
2022/51.416.4914.486.3614.394.050.6-
2022/41.331.259.874.9414.363.70.66-
2022/31.3123.619.263.6216.113.620.62-
2022/21.06-14.618.22.320.413.750.6-
2022/11.24-13.933.231.2433.234.040.56-
2021/121.446.9811.4414.2716.294.10.5-
2021/111.353.1711.9312.8316.873.890.53-
2021/101.316.3314.6711.4817.473.690.56-
2021/91.237.022.3910.1717.843.520.65-
2021/81.150.8721.258.9417.253.380.68-
2021/71.144.243.797.7916.683.470.66-
2021/61.09-11.5515.06.6519.213.540.55-
2021/51.242.2135.955.5620.083.650.53-
2021/41.210.6859.474.3216.23.390.57去年同期受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響,致去年同期營收較低
2021/31.222.4224.123.115.133.110.66-
2021/20.985.13-5.641.91-4.073.210.64-
2021/10.93-27.98-2.370.93-2.373.430.6-
2020/121.37.4510.5512.27-8.973.640.53-
2020/111.215.71-0.9710.98-10.823.350.58-
2020/101.1413.49-16.939.77-11.913.090.62-
2020/91.06.04.128.63-11.23.050.76-
2020/80.95-13.64-16.337.63-12.883.00.78-
2020/71.115.5-7.256.68-12.372.960.79-
2020/60.954.55-7.415.58-13.312.620.96-
2020/50.9119.89-16.334.63-14.442.630.95-
2020/40.76-21.63-31.233.72-13.962.760.9-
2020/30.97-6.93-18.122.96-8.052.960.78-
2020/21.048.7829.811.99-2.213.170.73-
2020/10.96-18.44-22.910.96-22.913.340.69-
2019/121.17-3.752.7113.48-1.420.0N/A-
2019/111.22-11.32-12.8912.31-1.80.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.482023/10.92022/11.242021/10.932020/10.96
2024/21.192023/21.692022/21.062021/20.982020/21.04
2024/31.582023/31.772022/31.312021/31.22020/30.97
2024/41.652023/41.412022/41.332021/41.212020/40.76
2024/51.912023/51.912022/51.412021/51.242020/50.91
2024/61.422023/61.692022/61.62021/61.092020/60.95
2024/71.532023/71.462022/71.492021/71.142020/71.1
2024/81.442023/81.432022/81.292021/81.152020/80.95
2024/91.632023/91.562022/91.422021/91.232020/91.0
2024/101.652023/101.482022/101.552021/101.312020/101.14
N/AN/A2023/111.812022/111.822021/111.352020/111.21
N/AN/A2023/121.332022/121.672021/121.442020/121.3
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.36%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.46109.0921.05
24Q2 (19)0.22-47.62-37.14
24Q1 (18)0.4213.51-10.64
23Q4 (17)0.37-2.63-31.48
23Q3 (16)0.388.57-38.71
23Q2 (15)0.35-25.53-23.91
23Q1 (14)0.47-12.96-4.08
22Q4 (13)0.54-12.958.82
22Q3 (12)0.6234.7855.0
22Q2 (11)0.46-6.1258.62
22Q1 (10)0.4944.1281.48
21Q4 (9)0.34-15.054.55
21Q3 (8)0.437.93100.0
21Q2 (7)0.297.4120.83
21Q1 (6)0.2722.7312.5
20Q4 (5)0.2210.00.0
20Q3 (4)0.2-16.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.240.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.249.090.0
19Q4 (1)0.220.00.0

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