玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.8-0.81-0.338.9510.282.38N/A-
2024/90.83.122.688.1511.442.470.05-
2024/80.78-12.842.17.3512.492.730.05-
2024/70.89-15.72-0.026.5713.863.010.04-
2024/61.060.0515.935.6816.43.160.02-
2024/51.061.2721.044.6216.513.090.02-
2024/41.056.420.593.5615.232.860.02-
2024/30.9817.6820.262.5113.142.510.03-
2024/20.8419.8714.561.539.02.190.03-
2024/10.75.653.010.73.012.160.03-
2023/120.66-17.95-14.149.58-2.512.260.04-
2023/110.80.61-0.338.92-1.522.380.03-
2023/100.82.19-0.678.11-1.642.340.03-
2023/90.782.533.17.31-1.742.440.04-
2023/80.76-14.664.476.53-2.292.570.04-
2023/70.89-2.271.95.77-3.122.680.04-
2023/60.914.46-5.214.88-3.992.660.03-
2023/50.870.9-6.363.96-3.72.560.03-
2023/40.876.1-4.513.09-2.922.410.03-
2023/30.8212.1-3.592.22-2.292.220.04-
2023/20.737.79-1.621.41-1.522.170.04-
2023/10.68-11.94-1.40.68-1.42.250.04-
2022/120.77-4.760.899.823.982.380.04-
2022/110.810.275.699.064.252.370.04-
2022/100.86.0812.128.254.112.290.04-
2022/90.763.8914.387.453.312.360.05-
2022/80.73-16.7611.756.692.192.570.04-
2022/70.88-9.14.055.961.142.780.04-
2022/60.963.27.935.080.652.810.03-
2022/50.932.893.394.12-0.912.690.03-
2022/40.917.13-0.773.18-2.12.50.03-
2022/30.8514.39-1.862.27-2.622.270.04-
2022/20.748.02-1.141.43-3.072.190.04-
2022/10.69-9.88-5.070.69-5.072.210.04-
2021/120.76-0.22-2.829.450.652.240.05-
2021/110.766.37-8.938.690.962.140.05-
2021/100.728.22-8.487.922.032.030.05-
2021/90.661.5-11.447.213.212.160.07-
2021/80.65-22.5-10.926.544.972.390.06-
2021/70.84-5.7-1.385.897.092.640.06-
2021/60.89-1.140.45.058.652.710.03-
2021/50.9-1.258.984.1510.612.680.03-
2021/40.925.9514.533.2511.072.530.03-
2021/30.8615.2413.22.349.772.340.03-
2021/20.753.736.191.477.852.260.04-
2021/10.72-7.749.620.729.622.340.03-
2020/120.78-6.57.499.398.652.40.04-
2020/110.846.8915.088.68.752.370.04-
2020/100.784.7314.657.768.112.260.04-
2020/90.752.0918.76.987.422.340.05-
2020/80.73-14.218.416.236.212.480.05-
2020/70.85-3.9914.065.54.772.570.05-
2020/60.897.37.814.653.232.520.03-
2020/50.833.770.873.762.22.390.03-
2020/40.84.713.132.932.582.270.04-
2020/30.768.1-0.642.132.382.130.04-
2020/20.717.094.11.364.152.090.04-
2020/10.66-9.544.210.664.212.120.04-
2019/120.730.091.498.645.930.0N/A-
2019/110.736.58.617.916.360.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.72023/10.682022/10.692021/10.722020/10.66
2024/20.842023/20.732022/20.742021/20.752020/20.71
2024/30.982023/30.822022/30.852021/30.862020/30.76
2024/41.052023/40.872022/40.912021/40.922020/40.8
2024/51.062023/50.872022/50.932021/50.92020/50.83
2024/61.062023/60.912022/60.962021/60.892020/60.89
2024/70.892023/70.892022/70.882021/70.842020/70.85
2024/80.782023/80.762022/80.732021/80.652020/80.73
2024/90.82023/90.782022/90.762021/90.662020/90.75
2024/100.82023/100.82022/100.82021/100.722020/100.78
N/AN/A2023/110.82022/110.812021/110.762020/110.84
N/AN/A2023/120.662022/120.772021/120.762020/120.78
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 211.62%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)5.215.320.09
24Q2 (19)4.51-14.2613.32
24Q1 (18)5.2629.5617.15
23Q4 (17)4.06-6.24-5.8
23Q3 (16)4.338.79-7.68
23Q2 (15)3.98-11.36-2.69
23Q1 (14)4.494.18-6.07
22Q4 (13)4.31-8.1-1.6
22Q3 (12)4.6914.6712.74
22Q2 (11)4.09-14.443.54
22Q1 (10)4.789.134.14
21Q4 (9)4.385.29-6.21
21Q3 (8)4.165.32-13.33
21Q2 (7)3.95-13.94-0.75
21Q1 (6)4.59-1.71-12.07
20Q4 (5)4.67-2.71-8.43
20Q3 (4)4.820.60.0
20Q2 (3)3.98-23.750.0
20Q1 (2)5.222.350.0
19Q4 (1)5.10.00.0

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