玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.9-40.12-7.8614.6442.693.63N/A-
2024/91.522.682.8213.7448.013.990.04-
2024/81.23-2.66-19.8112.2456.464.340.03本年展演節目較去年多
2024/71.26-32.13-53.5611.0174.984.10.03本期展演節目較去年同期少
2024/61.8587.64651.739.75172.243.430.04本期展演節目較去年同期多
2024/50.9969.796.447.9136.783.220.04本期展演節目較去年同期多
2024/40.58-64.7752.836.91187.066.520.02本期展演節目較去年同期多
2024/31.65-61.46327.596.33212.296.330.02本期展演節目較去年同期多
2024/24.291009.12309.654.67185.127.260.02本期展演節目較去年同期多
2024/10.39-85.01-34.780.39-34.783.570.04-
2023/122.58328.9165.3613.444.774.160.04本期展演節目較去年同期多
2023/110.6-38.41-5.6410.86-3.613.040.05-
2023/100.98-33.1831.4210.26-3.493.970.04-
2023/91.46-4.33268.919.28-6.115.70.03本期展演節目較去年同期多
2023/81.53-43.6251.597.82-17.64.490.04本期展演節目較去年同期多
2023/72.71998.6120.756.29-25.823.890.04-
2023/60.25-73.43-86.023.58-42.571.560.18本期展演節目較去年同期少
2023/50.93143.8400.683.34-25.421.70.17本期展演節目較去年同期多
2023/40.38-1.44108.712.41-43.851.810.15本期展演節目較去年同期多
2023/30.39-63.08-66.732.03-50.632.030.01本期展演節目較去年同期少
2023/21.0576.57-52.581.64-44.283.20.01本期展演節目較去年同期少
2023/10.59-62.0-19.340.59-19.342.790.01-
2022/121.56144.73336.7412.83324.642.940.01本期展演節目較去年同期多
2022/110.64-14.21491.9811.27323.011.780.02本期展演節目較去年同期多
2022/100.7487.56564.5110.63315.92.150.01本期展演節目較去年同期多
2022/90.4-60.682169.419.89304.523.650.01本期展演節目比去年同期多
2022/81.01-55.093927.049.49291.15.020.01本期展演節目比去年同期多
2022/72.2427.1144719.08.48253.214.20.01本期展演節目較去年同期多
2022/61.77852.215483.246.24159.922.130.02本期展演節目較去年同期多
2022/50.191.63-75.24.4788.831.530.03本期展演節目較去年同期少
2022/40.18-84.29-66.784.29164.543.550.01本期展演節目較去年同期少
2022/31.16-47.38610.814.1283.24.10.01本期展演節目較去年同期多
2022/22.21200.38745.512.94224.223.30.02本期展演節目較去年同期多
2022/10.74105.7413.680.7413.681.20.05-
2021/120.36231.71-88.963.02-68.930.580.1本期展演節目較去年同期少
2021/110.11-3.7-96.072.66-58.930.240.25本期展演節目較去年同期少
2021/100.11540.54-23.092.56-31.70.150.39-
2021/90.02-30.24-97.332.44-32.040.041.14本期因疫情影響展演節目較去年同期少
2021/80.031514.83-95.652.43-17.530.060.86本期因疫情影響展演節目較去年同期少
2021/70.0-95.09-99.712.41.480.780.06本期因疫情影響營收較去年少
2021/60.03-95.77-62.052.431.811.330.05去年展演節目較今年多
2021/50.7536.141481.062.3736.321.460.04本期展演節目較去年同期多
2021/40.55236.191291.261.62-4.110.970.06本期展演節目較去年同期多
2021/30.16-37.4293.231.07-35.11.070.06本期展演節目較去年同期多
2021/20.26-59.61-70.140.91-42.034.150.01本期展演節目較去年同期少
2021/10.65-80.02-6.480.65-6.486.630.01-
2020/123.2417.99347.69.72-39.76.130.01本期展演節目較去年同期多
2020/112.741786.8198.186.49-57.883.540.02本期展演節目規模較去年同期大
2020/100.15-77.77-75.83.74-73.31.380.04本期展演節目較去年同期規模小
2020/90.6513.511.393.6-73.191.780.03本期展演節目較去年同期多
2020/80.585.61-73.132.94-77.061.210.05本期展演節目規模較去年同期小
2020/70.55554.73-83.272.37-77.850.680.09本期展演節目較去年同期少
2020/60.0876.17-61.591.82-75.460.170.35本期展演節目較去年同期少
2020/50.0519.8-98.581.74-75.880.170.35本期展演節目較去年同期少
2020/40.04-53.3-96.581.69-56.21.00.06本期展演節目較去年同期為少
2020/30.08-90.33-82.971.65-38.91.650.04本期展演節目較去年同期少
2020/20.8726.5-48.361.57-28.972.290.03-
2020/10.69-4.435.360.6935.362.80.02-
2019/120.72-47.75-41.0616.1339.260.0N/A本期展演節目較去年同期少
2019/111.38130.38130.8515.448.780.0N/A本期展演節目較去年同期多
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.392023/10.592022/10.742021/10.652020/10.69
2024/24.292023/21.052022/22.212021/20.262020/20.87
2024/31.652023/30.392022/31.162021/30.162020/30.08
2024/40.582023/40.382022/40.182021/40.552020/40.04
2024/50.992023/50.932022/50.192021/50.752020/50.05
2024/61.852023/60.252022/61.772021/60.032020/60.08
2024/71.262023/72.712022/72.242021/70.02020/70.55
2024/81.232023/81.532022/81.012021/80.032020/80.58
2024/91.52023/91.462022/90.42021/90.022020/90.65
2024/100.92023/100.982022/100.742021/100.112020/100.15
N/AN/A2023/110.62022/110.642021/110.112020/112.74
N/AN/A2023/122.582022/121.562021/120.362020/123.24
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 101.52%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.3586.1147.58
24Q2 (19)1.8-2.17-43.57
24Q1 (18)1.84-63.13-6.12
23Q4 (17)4.99119.82679.69
23Q3 (16)2.27-28.8456.55
23Q2 (15)3.1962.7649.77
23Q1 (14)1.96206.2520.99
22Q4 (13)0.64-55.86-75.1
22Q3 (12)1.45-31.92-4.61
22Q2 (11)2.1331.488.12
22Q1 (10)1.62-36.96-15.18
21Q4 (9)2.5769.08307.94
21Q3 (8)1.52-22.84-32.44
21Q2 (7)1.973.1415.88
21Q1 (6)1.91203.17607.41
20Q4 (5)0.63-72.0-22.22
20Q3 (4)2.2532.350.0
20Q2 (3)1.7529.630.0
20Q1 (2)0.27-66.670.0
19Q4 (1)0.810.00.0

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